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Text size [+][-]  Tuesday February 9 2010GLOBAL EDITION

Considered view
24 Jun 2008 14:59

Allowed to defrost

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Iceland’s GDP shrank 3.7% in the first quarter compared to a 0.3% increase in the last quarter, the biggest quarterly contraction in nearly five years. Iceland's annual consumer inflation rate is at 12.3% and the central bank increased its interest rates to 15.5% in April. The central bank predicts 2.5% contraction of the economy with a 7% fall in household spending.

The Icelandic krona is the worst performing currency against the euro in 2008 having fallen nearly 30%. Icelandic Prime Minister Geir Haarde said on June 24 that the currency is poised to stabilise at a "stronger level" after falling to below "equilibrium" and dismissed suggestions that Iceland should adopt the euro.

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A shrinking economy is no fun, but that’s the payback for years of financial excess. Still, it could be worse. Tough government action has probably forestalled default or bank failure. Iceland can join the eurozone to keep future bubbles away. For the US and UK, it isn’t as easy.

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