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Wednesday, 22 February 2012

BREAKINGVIEWS

Obama in Denver

Obama’s corporate tax plan is a good start

22 February 2012

The president’s proposal to reduce the rate paid by companies to 28 pct and eliminate many loopholes gets the debate moving in the right direction. But there’s plenty of room to improve the plan, too. For one thing, it would make global competition tougher for domestic firms.

Chris Christie, governor of New Jersey

Christie imperils reformist mojo and state coffers

22 February 2012

The governor’s budget paints a rosy picture of the Garden State, but overlooks thorny issues like underfunded pensions. A politician planning ahead for an election is no surprise, yet leaves Chris Christie putting New Jersey’s future - and a tough-talking reputation - at risk.

Shell pays up for a foothold in Mozambique gas

22 February 2012

The oil giant has offered $1.6 bln for gas explorer Cove Energy – a 70 pct premium but loose change for Shell. The assets are attractive and Shell has the know-how to exploit them. If Asian gas prices stay high and exploration projects deliver, the toppy price could be worth it.

China data show slowdown that Asian markets ignore

22 February 2012

Investors are using newly minted euros and yen to buy shares in Asian exporters. But Chinese manufacturing has been slowing for four months, with exports especially weak. Markets look vulnerable to bad news from Europe or the U.S. – or to surprises from Asian central banks.

A GM sign is seen outside the Medved General Motors car dealership in Arvada, Colorado

GM tie-up could keep Peugeot family at the wheel

22 February 2012

The French carmaker had to do something after burning through 1.5 bln euros of cash in six months. It needs greater scale to take on Volkswagen. Fiat was a potential partner. But a non-equity tie-up with GM is a way to let the Peugeot family to keep control.

AT&T board lets CEO off hook for bad call

22 February 2012

Randall Stephenson’s total pay fell to $22 mln last year from $27 mln in 2010. That’s a light slap given the $4 bln break fee for the badly botched bid for T-Mobile USA. Investors can show their displeasure with directors for failing to hold the boss accountable – and should.

BP's Deepwater catharsis finally on the horizon

22 February 2012

A minority partner’s deal with the U.S. government is a promising sign ahead of a critical civil trial opening on Feb. 27. Extreme financial penalties look priced into BP stock whatever the verdict. So too is a big management discount. There’s lots of upside if BP isn’t thwacked, and its board restores credibility.

A man walks past a logo of Alibaba (China) Technology Co. Ltd at its headquarters

Alibaba $2.5 bln buyout looks opportunistic

22 February 2012

The 46 pct premium founder Jack Ma has offered to take the Chinese e-commerce company private is decent, but the shares are far below former highs. Minority shareholders have few options, but Ma’s wily dealmaking may haunt him if he returns to float his crown jewel, Taobao.

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange

Happy stock highs belie bonds teetering on edge

21 February 2012

With the Dow Jones industrial average crossing the 13,000 level for the first time since before the crisis and Britain’s FTSE 100 index headed toward 6,000, equity investors are smiling. Many may be wondering if the run can be sustained. But debt buyers may face the real danger.

BREAKINGVIEWS TV ON INSIDER

Features

Martin Hutchinson, Breakingviews, Columnist

"Coming Apart" diagnoses dystopia but lacks cure

21 February 2012

Charles Murray’s latest book traces the division of U.S. society into two distinct classes - the elite and the rest. He persuasively argues the latter group has lost its traditional virtues and sees a European future. That would be a happy, if optimistic, outcome for the economy.

Wayne Arnold, Breakingviews, Asia Strategist

Five phases of China hard-landing denial

17 February 2012

China watchers have yet to face up to the country’s real estate problems. While politicians fret about too-expensive houses, economists still think 2012’s GDP will grow 8.3 percent. Faith in China’s ability to avert a property-led credit crisis rests on shaky assumptions.

Columns

Edward Hadas, Economics Editor

Ethical economy: Don't obsess about GDP measures

22 February 2012

The official statistics show the average American was 103 pct richer in 2011 than in 1971. Wealth has increased, but this sort of precision is spurious. It is a mistake to obsess about the numbers and, worse, for rich countries to steer economic policy according to them.

Hugo Dixon, Editor

Hugo Dixon: How to help the Syrians

20 February 2012

What started as a non-violent struggle against the Assad regime is descending into sectarian civil war which is drawing in foreign powers. The best way of minimising carnage is to revert to a non-violent campaign. Even if that’s unlikely, outsiders shouldn’t inflame the situation.