Hugo Dixon is a columnist and entrepreneur. His most recent book is "The In/Out Question: Why Britain Should Stay in the EU and Fight to Make it Better." He founded Breakingviews in 1999, and was editor and chairman until it was acquired by Thomson Reuters in 2009. He continued to edit it until 2012. Before founding Breakingviews, Hugo spent 13 years at the Financial Times, the last five as Head of Lex. He began his journalistic career at the Economist. Follow him on twitter: @hugodixon
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David Cameron needs to realise this as he builds up to the referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU, which could take place as early as next year. The UK prime minister may get little from set-piece renegotiation of Britain’s EU relationship; reforms are more promising.
It owes around 324 billion euros. The government doesn’t seem to have a credible plan for reaching agreement with its creditors. Nor does it appear to have thought out how to default while containing the collateral damage.
David Cameron’s Conservatives are clear victors. A new coalition with the pro-European Lib Dems isn’t needed. Tory eurosceptics may push the prime minister to take an excessively tough line with the EU in the runup to the referendum he has promised on the UK’s membership.
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