Peter Thal Larsen
Peter is Asia Editor of Reuters Breakingviews, based in Hong Kong. He oversees coverage of financial services and regulation. Prior to joining Reuters, Peter spent 10 years at the Financial Times. From 2004 to 2009 he was the FT’s banking editor, leading the paper’s award-winning coverage of global banking during the credit crunch. Between 2000 and 2004 Peter reported for the FT from New York. He played a leading role in the paper’s coverage of the 9/11 attacks and their aftermath. A Dutch national, Peter has degrees from Bristol University and the London School of Economics. Follow Peter on Twitter @Peter_TL
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Assume the economy expands as briskly in the next 20 years as in the past decade. Its share of world GDP could top 35 percent, a Breakingviews calculator shows. A static workforce would have achieved heroic productivity gains. If it doesn’t, China’s slowdown has only just begun.
The list of global banks deemed systemically important has hardly changed since 2011. But membership now comes with ever-larger capital requirements and increased regulatory meddling. In an attempt to escape, some lenders will decide to become smaller or less interconnected.
Even with a slowing economy the People’s Republic offers lots of growth for home-grown corporations. Hostile regulators, stronger rivals, and cultural differences discourage foreign expansion. Though some will take the plunge anyway, in most cases overseas growth can wait.
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- Haitong's global ambitions start from low base
- Australia joins global race to top on bank capital
- Blackstone and GIC strike new sort of partnership
- China solar saga puts foreign lenders in the shade
- Faulty air bags puncture Takata financial cushion
- Investors carried away with HK Exchange's options