Private credit paints a new scream for banks 22 Apr 2024 Lending against wealthy patrons’ art has been dominated by financial institutions. Sotheby’s $700 mln sale of bonds backed by such loans offers non-bank rivals a template to upend the status quo. A rebounding securitization market can feed this machine, if it fits a careful mold.
CVC insiders’ delayed payday is still pretty sweet 22 Apr 2024 The soon-to-list buyout shop will bar employees from selling stakes for three years, and then only let them do so slowly. It helps get IPO investors on board, and suits bosses too. By the time they cash out, CVC should be worth a lot more than its 13 to 15 bln euro float price.
CVC may leave some money on the table – for once 15 Apr 2024 Valued in line with private-market peers EQT and Blackstone, the group could be worth 20 bln euros. Yet its IPO is raising little new money, and selling shareholders will keep big stakes. That gives CVC a reason to play it safe, unlike when it’s selling portfolio companies.
Blackstone dodges worst of Asia’s exit angst 8 Apr 2024 It plans to float more businesses in India this year, including a diamond certification firm at up to 6 times the value it paid last year. Apart from being one of the region’s biggest private equity investors, it is one of the least exposed to China. That strategy is paying off nicely.
UAE flips own script with $4 bln oil pipeline deal 5 Apr 2024 Abu Dhabi’s $100 bln fund, Lunate, bought KKR and BlackRock’s 40% stake in ADNOC’s infrastructure arm. In recent years the UAE has raised cash from foreign investors by selling minority stakes in its oil giant. The latest deal does the opposite.
Sergio Ermotti has a path to Wall Street-style pay 28 Mar 2024 UBS handed its CEO $16 mln for nine months’ work last year. That’s more than his European rivals, but less than the bosses of US lenders like Morgan Stanley, whose valuation the $100 bln Swiss bank aspires to. Tweaked terms next year give Ermotti a chance to narrow the gap.
Bank crises proved a mixed blessing for rivals 21 Mar 2024 It’s 12 months since Silicon Valley Bank failed and Credit Suisse collapsed into the arms of UBS. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how bigger banks gorged on these lenders’ carcasses – and how the system’s underlying weaknesses have not gone away.
Even bitcoin has room for VIPs 19 Mar 2024 Digital asset manager Grayscale has become a victim of its own crusade for US ETFs tracking the cryptocurrency. The exodus from its trailblazing trust now exceeds $10 bln because of low-fee rivals. It’s offering goodies to keep customers, but a premium fund also holds value.
Credit Suisse carcass feeds many hungry mouths 15 Mar 2024 In the year since it collapsed, competitors have carved up the Swiss bank’s employees and clients. UBS grabbed most of the spoils, but Santander, Deutsche Bank and others have also moved in. Lasting benefits, though, depend on survivors showing restraint when activity picks up.
L&G is an insurer with a fossil fuel-style problem 6 Mar 2024 The $18 bln UK group has underperformed European rivals. New CEO António Simões at least has a booming business in taking on corporate pension schemes. But like Shell and BP’s oil fields these are a finite resource, necessitating a durable Plan B.
UK $4 bln insurance mash-up may yet motor 28 Feb 2024 Direct Line rejected a cash and share offer from its $8 bln Belgian rival Ageas. The target’s depressed share price suggests it has good reason to hold out for more. And synergies related to the two groups’ capital should give Ageas scope to hike its offer.
St James’s Place mess may spark a Lloyds reunion 28 Feb 2024 The UK wealth manager’s shares fell 33% after a $539 mln charge to compensate angry clients. Given these payouts may not worsen, St James’s Place looks to be in play. Lloyds Banking Group, which once owned part of SJP and wants to expand in wealth, could be first in the queue.
European bank property buffers rest on two big ifs 28 Feb 2024 Lenders like BNP and ING sit on $1.5 trln of commercial property loans, which look vulnerable to high interest rates. Longer leases give EU players more breathing space than US counterparts. Yet averting a crisis requires a mixture of falling inflation and a revival of offices.
Russia risk looms over Euroclear profit windfall 22 Feb 2024 The Brussels-based clearing house is a reluctant depository for sanctioned Russian assets. It made 5.7 bln euros before tax last year thanks to cash sitting on its balance sheet. But the bonanza also makes it a target. A blow to financial stability would far exceed one-off gains.
HSBC’s yawning discount is too harsh 21 Feb 2024 The $155 bln lender took a big impairment on its stake in China’s BoCom bank. That aside, shareholder returns have been consistently strong and look set to remain so. The successful push into Asia beyond Hong Kong suggests boss Noel Quinn is riding geopolitical waves well, too.
Investors are yet to fully embrace UBS’s promise 6 Feb 2024 The $93 bln Swiss bank is restarting dividends and share buybacks after delivering 30% of total planned cost savings from the Credit Suisse merger in 2023. Yet investors don’t seem fully convinced it will hit its returns targets. Speeding up the integration this year would help.
JPMorgan succession is a high-stakes soap opera 1 Feb 2024 The US’s largest bank shuffled its business leaders, sparking speculation as to who might eventually take over from boss Jamie Dimon. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain why it matters, even if Dimon’s eventual successor is unlikely to fill his shoes.
Julius Baer pops myth of private bank prudence 1 Feb 2024 CEO Philipp Rickenbacher is leaving the $12 bln Swiss wealth manager after bad lending led to a $700 mln writedown. It’s a reminder that serving rich clients is not risk-free. Money managers will have to provide more clarity on loan books or give up lucrative but dicey practices.
Blackstone is calling the bottom, almost 25 Jan 2024 The $1 trln asset manager snapped its year-plus dry spell in new investments, client inflows and earnings. A sturdy economy bolsters boss Steve Schwarzman’s bet that 2023 will be marked as a low point. There’s just one precious piece of the puzzle missing: fee growth.
Capital Calls: SAP, Abrdn 24 Jan 2024 Concise views on global finance: The German software giant is cutting 7% of its workforce, sending shares to an all-time high; outflows at the British fund manager accelerated in the second half of 2023, exacerbating the company’s effort to turn itself around.