BREAKINGVIEWS

U.S. sanctions on China are means without an end

29 May 2020

President Trump says he may penalize PRC officials linked to a new security law for Hong Kong. The first move of its kind would escalate tensions. Yet it probably won’t deter Beijing and could spur retaliation. Unlike tariffs, there's also no clear goal beyond punishment.

Civil unrest puts U.S. economy in a vicious circle

29 May 2020

Violence broke out in Minnesota after an African American man died in police custody. Minorities are disproportionately represented in U.S. Covid-19 deaths, and job losses are hitting these groups hard. Unrest may make reopening tough, making the country’s wealth gaps even worse.

Mall-to-retailer relationships will get creative

29 May 2020

Brookfield Asset Management launched a $5 bln fund to invest directly in retailers. It’s an effort to salvage some of the Canadian mall owner’s top customers. As Neiman Marcus and J.C. Penney march into bankruptcy, other real estate owners will rethink traditional rents, too.

German carmakers step on Chinese electric pedal

29 May 2020

VW is taking big stakes in two Chinese EV firms, while Daimler may invest in battery-maker Farasis Energy’s $480 mln IPO. Demand remains tepid, oil is too cheap, and the targets look richly priced. But these deals lock in supply, and position both to compete with Tesla in China.

Virus bailouts will be messier than past rescues

29 May 2020

Governments are ponying up trillions of dollars to save lockdown-hit firms. Further assistance looks inevitable as economies falter. States will demand higher taxes and jobs in return, putting them at odds with private owners. And lending to smaller firms creates bigger tensions.

China can live with a less special Hong Kong

28 May 2020

The entrepôt's unique autonomy brought prosperity without Beijing having to cede control of the economy and people. Hong Kong’s importance has dwindled, however, and may even be holding China back. A U.S. move to strip its special status only shows how disposable that status is.

Chinese online tutor gets lesson in multiplication

29 May 2020

GSX Techedu deflected one sloppy short-seller attack and a second sensational one. A third from Muddy Waters calling the $7 bln company a fraud hit as Luckin buckled and Congress moved on U.S.-listed Chinese stocks. Growing scepticism will require targets to have strong defences.

Amazon steers towards self-driving leverage

28 May 2020

Jeff Bezos’s $1.2 trln behemoth is one of the obvious big buyers of autonomous vehicles. Acquiring startup Zoox would give it an even bigger say in how the technology gets rolled out. That would also help deepen its customers’ dependence on Amazon’s fast and cheap shipping.

Twitter can’t please everyone but still has to try

28 May 2020

Fact-checking a President Trump tweet has put founder Jack Dorsey in a political spotlight he had previously avoided. A spring clean of tweets is good for business in the long term. But unlike peers, Dorsey needs to please shorter-term investors too, like activist fund Elliott.

Exxon climate activists can call in reinforcements

28 May 2020

Environment-linked resolutions won less backing at the $193 bln energy firm’s annual meeting on Wednesday than at rivals’. Replacing directors is the next logical step. It’s a task traditional activists are more used to – and Exxon’s poor financial record could pull them in.

Activist curve will get flattened by the pandemic

28 May 2020

Dozy boards are crying out for prodding as Covid-19 ravages businesses. But balance sheets will need to be more, not less, robust. And pushy investors can hardly point to great returns. After years of barging down doors, they should prepare to have more slammed in their faces.

Boohoo’s shopping spree needs to nail more looks

28 May 2020

The $5 bln UK online fashion group is buying out minority investors in peer prettylittlething for $400 mln. The fair price counters short-seller warnings of an overly generous payout. Yet the retailer will need to stretch beyond skin-tight tat to justify its own rich valuation.

TikTok’s best move is a clean break from ByteDance

28 May 2020

The video app’s Chinese parent is shifting power away from the People’s Republic. That’s unlikely to win over American lawmakers suspicious TikTok will collect consumer data and send it back to Beijing. ByteDance’s most realistic political option is to sell its rising star.