BREAKINGVIEWS

BoE wrangle reflects rate setters’ identity crisis

22 June 2018READY SOON

The opposition Labour party wants the Bank of England to include productivity targets in its mandate. The idea seems flawed - monetary policy is a weak tool for boosting efficiency. But it reflects a growing political dissatisfaction with independent yet impotent central banks.

Saudis’ OPEC tightrope has trade war safety net

22 June 2018

The kingdom’s desire for oil output hikes faces pushback from Iran, its usual antagonist. Even if it strikes a deal in Vienna on Friday, lost supply from Venezuela may still push up prices. Riyadh’s saving grace could come if a trade war between the U.S. and China saps demand.

America Inc. may want to revise China growth plans

22 June 2018

Trade tensions might hit the U.S. stock market from another angle. A Communist Party tabloid just published an op-ed warning Beijing could target DJIA constituents such as Apple and Boeing. The scope of retaliation is limited by economics, but big expansion could be curbed.

Mongolian coal IPO may keep wandering

22 June 2018

The Central Asian nation revived plans to list its prize mine, seven years after it tried at a $15 bln valuation. Coal prices have rebounded from 2015 lows and Chinese demand is strong. With just one big customer and years of false starts, though, investors will need convincing.

U.S. sales-tax fix has global parallels

21 June 2018

The Supreme Court scrapped precedent and said states can force retailers to collect levies on sales to residents even if the sellers aren’t physically present. States will regain a tax base eroded by geographical arbitrage and the internet – two causes of worldwide tax tensions.

Tax reform puts utilities’ good credit at risk

21 June 2018

Debt investors have long favored power companies because their regulated monopoly status provides good assurance of payback. But tax cuts are limiting companies' billing power and their ability to deduct investment spending. Natural disasters add an extra layer of risk.

People’s Fed will provide armor in economic dip

21 June 2018

Chairman Jay Powell says he’ll speak in plain English about what the U.S. central bank does. He also admits the Fed doesn’t have all the answers. Demystifying it should strengthen its credibility. That will be handy when the economy turns and politicians are pointing fingers.

Intel scandal matters little today, a lot tomorrow

21 June 2018

The ouster of CEO Brian Krzanich for a relationship that breached company policy need not be a disaster. It shows the relevant rules apply to all, and Intel can run itself smoothly for a while. Mounting tech challenges, however, make it critical to find the right replacement.

Trade war tariffs eat Daimler’s homework

21 June 2018

The carmaker’s tariff-induced profit warning is odd, since Chinese duties would hit U.S. cars but not imports from elsewhere. Daimler’s statement could cover for poor performance, or make a political point about a trade war’s costs. Expect other companies to try the same.

Chanel lifts lid on impressive treasure chest

21 June 2018

The private luxury brand opened its books for the first time to reveal larger-than-expected sales of $9.6 billion and a plush 28 percent operating margin. The display nixes fears the Parisian label is flagging. Claims it is not preparing for an IPO or sale are less convincing.

Saudi index win is stepping stone not step change

21 June 2018

Adding the kingdom to MSCI’s emerging markets index helps Riyadh internationalise its capital market by potentially sucking an extra $44 bln into domestic stocks. Yet the catalyst for a real transformation – a domestic listing of oil giant Aramco – remains up in the air.

Altice’s $2.9 bln towers sale locks in 5G premium

21 June 2018

Patrick Drahi’s telecoms group has secured a high price for the possible sale of stakes in its French and Portuguese mobile towers. It’s a vote of confidence from private investors like KKR in new superfast networks. But it only makes a modest dent in Altice’s $36 bln debt pile.

Aussie ad deal offers signs of a frothy M&A market

21 June 2018

France’s JCDecaux is bidding $800 mln for APN Outdoor, disrupting the target’s own dealmaking. Australia is an appealing market and this could be a smart deal for the suitor. But the flurry of activity, and the exuberant reaction of JCDecaux shares, sends a worrying message.