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Shelling out

27 January 2016 By Andy Critchlow

More than 80 percent of Shell shareholders approved the tie-up with gas group BG on Jan. 27. That implies they think oil will recover to $60 a barrel, twice its current level. Cost savings help support the deal, but it still requires an optimistic frame of mind.

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Shellter in the storm

20 January 2016 By Fiona Maharg-Bravo

The Anglo-Dutch oil major’s Q4 earnings will fall at least 42 percent – weaker than expected. BG had some bright spots, bolstering Shell’s case to buy its smaller rival. Low oil prices give the $47 bln tie-up an inauspicious start, but the deal probably will still go through.

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Reading the futures

15 January 2016 By Fiona Maharg-Bravo

If oil languishes at $30, then Shell’s bid for BG probably destroys value. But if investors were that pessimistic, they wouldn’t be holding Shell shares. With the long-term strategic merits of the deal intact, it should still gain shareholder approval.

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