A Breakingviews calculator predicted 14 of the 16 teams that made the soccer tournament’s knockout stage. But the analysis of player values, home support and participation did not foresee defending champion Germany’s early exit. The data now points to Brazil lifting the trophy.
Who will lift soccer’s ultimate trophy in Russia this summer? Breakingviews ranked the 32 contenders according to player values, population, home support, and participation in the sport. Put them all together, and Germany is best placed to successfully defend its crown.
Nestlé, P&G and their peers are pumped far above their long-term valuations. Collectively, the biggest 10 would lose almost $350 bln of market value if history reasserted itself. A squadron of activists offer support, but Unilever’s earnings wobble hints at brittle share prices.