ThyssenKrupp can forge better steel deal with Tata 14 Jun 2018 The German group has outperformed its Indian rival since they agreed a European steel joint venture last year, and now produces more than twice as much EBITDA. Tata could pay cash or give up dividends to close the gap. Walking away from the hefty synergies would be too painful.
China starts trading debt for growth 14 Jun 2018 Shadow bank lending slowed sharply in May, and investment growth slipped to just 6.1 pct. For now, Beijing’s target of increasing GDP by 6.5 pct annually is safe. But officials will be thinking about creative ways to keep credit flowing, even as they discourage riskier behaviour.
Hong Kong could teach China tech some manners 14 Jun 2018 Sina plans a secondary listing in the city, under new rules welcoming Chinese tech outfits traded overseas. In New York, the $7 bln web portal and its peers can issue super-voting stock on a whim and skip annual general meetings. The Fragrant Harbour will be less soft.
Emerging markets can mostly dodge Fed bullet 13 Jun 2018 U.S. central-bank tightening has a history of causing global turmoil, as in the 1980s Latin debt crisis. But developing countries can largely handle a rate hike, with flush reserves and reduced dollar-based debt. Troubles in Argentina and Turkey are essentially home-brewed.
Hadas: This should be an anti-dollar moment 13 Jun 2018 Discontent with the world’s dominant currency is not new, but the Trump effect is something new. A trade circuit free from the U.S. president’s idiosyncratic America-first policies is urgently needed. The euro and renminbi can provide a base, but the politics are unpromising.
Toyota plots yet another jittery ride-hail route 13 Jun 2018 The Japanese carmaker is investing $1 bln into Asian startup Grab. It’s the latest in a slew of deals that mostly reflect manufacturer fears about where things are headed in autonomous driving and beyond. As GM’s fading Lyft alliance shows, though, the path is far from clear.
Toshiba’s $6 bln buyback signals welcome change 13 Jun 2018 The electronics group will retire more than it raised from hedge funds last year. While it was flush with cash after selling a memory chip unit, the new CEO had plenty of reasons to hoard. That he didn’t aligns Toshiba with Japan’s broader push to be more investor-friendly.
CKI’s $10 bln bid can snare Australian prey 13 Jun 2018 The Hong Kong giant is circling Australia's top gas pipeline firm. A 33 pct premium ought to satisfy APA’s board, especially as tougher rules bite. The odds are good for Victor Li’s first big deal since he took over from father Li Ka-shing at parent company CK Hutchison.
New ZTE regime could climb out of big hole 13 Jun 2018 The Chinese telecoms company lost some $3 bln of market value after its reprieve from a U.S. death sentence. That suggests concerns about the clean management sweep. If, however, ZTE can find decent leadership and stay out of trouble – big ifs – a 5G rollout holds real promise.
China will tightly control even looser capital 13 Jun 2018 Money is moving more freely in and out of the country as fears that sparked a 2015 clampdown wane. Greater sums can be invested abroad while daily limits from Hong Kong to mainland markets quadrupled to $8 bln. Official signals suggest, however, that the easing will be tortuous.
Ralph Lauren’s growth track runs through China 12 Jun 2018 The clothier aims to boost revenue by $1 bln by 2023. The 16 percent target seems bold given the label’s recent woes and upheaval in the retail sector. But the quintessential American brand’s provincialism may be its saving grace. It has room to expand in the People’s Republic.
Trump and Kim’s TV diplomacy lacks definition 12 Jun 2018 A meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korea’s leader was mostly for the cameras. "Denuclearization" remains a distant prospect. Still, engagement reduces the risk of ruinous conflict and might even pry open Pyongyang’s closed economy, benefiting neighbours.
Valuing Xiaomi 12 Jun 2018 The Chinese smartphone maker is heading toward one of the biggest IPOs in years. A $75 bln valuation is being reported as a possibility. Run the growth, profitability and earnings multiple numbers to see how such a lofty figure might be achieved.
Chinese deal offers DRC miners a rare sign of hope 12 Jun 2018 State-backed CITIC has poured $560 mln into Robert Friedland’s Ivanhoe Mines. That is an unusual endorsement of the Democratic Republic of Congo, following a punitive new mining code. The move suggests a compromise is still likely, which would benefit Glencore and Randgold too.
Only a bold call dials up $75 bln Xiaomi valuation 12 Jun 2018 The Chinese company would have to deliver another year of soaring handset sales and double revenue from internet services. Superior profit margins and premium multiples also must be assumed, a Breakingviews calculator shows. Anything less and the IPO will have the wrong number.
Trump trade spleen makes foreign firms great again 11 Jun 2018 A fragile G7 detente imploded over his steel tariffs and an adviser's dig that there’s a “special place in hell” for Canada’s Trudeau. Because retaliation pushes up costs, the levies hurt U.S. firms more than they help. It’s rivals like Chinese ag firm COFCO that will profit.
HSBC’s new CEO strives for profitable banality 11 Jun 2018 John Flint’s plan to lift return on tangible equity above 11 pct, while investing up to $17 bln in technology and China, is hardly radical. Yet aiming for more than modest revenue growth could be reckless. It should be enough to maintain the bank’s premium to its European peers.
Trump-Kim parley has a downside for Xi 11 Jun 2018 A breakthrough in Singapore between the mercurial U.S. and North Korean leaders would be an economic win for Seoul and others in the region. China might even profit from the détente. President Xi Jinping also could lose negotiating leverage, though, as trade tensions escalate.
CFIUS proves it is not a one-way bet after all 11 Jun 2018 The U.S. security panel cleared China Oceanwide’s $2.7 bln takeover of Genworth, after nearly two years of waiting and as Washington and Beijing feud over trade. The insurer’s shares carried a 30 pct discount, showing just how hard it is to price regulatory risk right now.
China’s giant battery-maker can outrun IPO hype 11 Jun 2018 CATL shares rose by the maximum 44 pct in its market debut. While such ardour is common in China’s frothy markets, the $12 bln local champion could live up to high expectations. Its success will also rev up demand for the next listings that ride the global electric vehicle boom.