Macri’s likely defeat a warning to LatAm reformers 25 October 2019 Argentines are expected to oust would-be reformer Mauricio Macri in Sunday’s elections, which follow weeks of violent protests across the region. In the post-commodity-boom era, Latin American reformers need to find a new identity that is neither leftist nor too austere.
Viewsroom: WeWork’s future may lie in China’s past 24 October 2019 Beijing-based Kr Space switched from renting out space held on long-term leases to selling services after the shared-office market crashed. Following suit may help WeWork stem losses. Also: climate change and Canada’s election. Plus: the gloomy IMF and unrest in Latin America.
Ecuador violence tests new IMF chief’s resolve 9 October 2019 Days before Kristalina Georgieva presides over her first annual meeting, President Lenin Moreno fled the capital as IMF-backed austerity measures sparked riots. Balancing support for the tough choices he’s making, while improving the IMF’s standing in the region, will be tricky.
Ecuador exit an irksome speck in OPEC’s eye 2 October 2019 Saudi Arabia may shrug off the latest departure from the oil-producing group over which it presides. Ecuador has other priorities that make it expedient to detach. But the net effect is bad for OPEC, because it’s a reminder that the value of membership is dwindling.
Latam oil opening demands hedged bets 2 May 2018 The region's growing receptiveness to foreign investment in its energy assets could be a dream come true for oil majors. Political winds can change, though, and there is no perfect blend of hydrocarbon potential and legal certainty. Brazil and Mexico will do better than the rest.
Latin America needs leaders who can say “adios” 4 April 2017 A reluctance to cede power is a common failing in a region known for strongmen and weak institutions. Protesters who torched Paraguay’s Congress over the issue last week had the right idea, if wrong method. Rulers’ refusal to let go clouds prospects in Ecuador and Venezuela too.
Latin America trumps populism – for now 22 February 2017 Ecuadoreans denied a first-round election victory to their leftist president's chosen successor. As in Brazil and Argentina, that opens the door to a traditional pro-business candidate. But growing U.S. demagoguery gives the region's politicians an excuse to ramp up nationalism.
Latam’s poor need institutions more than saviors 26 February 2016 Leftist Bolivian leader Evo Morales, in office since 2006, lost a referendum that could have let him preside over the Andean nation until 2025. Self-perpetuation in power, even by pragmatists who slash poverty, shortchanges the poor. Good governance and rule of law matter more.
Letter to the Editor: Ecuador’s so-called Miracle 22 September 2014 An Ecuadorean consultant takes issue with Rob Cox’s column on President Rafael Correa’s stewardship of the South American nation over the past seven years, pointing to erosion of freedom of the press, greater control over the judicial system and unchecked government spending.
Rob Cox: Ecuador economic "miracle" meets maturity 11 September 2014 President Rafael Correa’s experiments in modern socialism helped the country cut poverty, grow and prosper. But his investment-led model has run its course. Now he has to soften his defiance of international norms, from the bond market to the World Bank, to keep progress alive.
Ecuador winning bond market forgiveness too easily 19 May 2014 Low inflation, scant supply and an improving economy may be driving appetite for a planned $700 mln offering. But the country defaulted on $3.2 bln of debt only six years ago. While absolution – or amnesia – may be good for deadbeat regimes, it raises global financial risk.
Assange asylum is a political freebie for Ecuador 17 August 2012 The country’s leftist government has annoyed the U.S. by granting asylum to the WikiLeaks founder. Given that its oil exports, mineral exploration and loan funding are increasingly dominated by China, which suggested Assange for the 2010 Nobel, it’s also not totally surprising.