Anglo-U.S. trade exposed to specialness deficit 9 Jan 2017 The UK’s “special relationship” with America gets more crucial as it moves towards a clean break with Europe. Transatlantic imports and exports are balanced – which should please President-elect Donald Trump – yet Britain has more to lose. Finance looks particularly vulnerable.
Mercedes now biggest, but BMW is still better 9 Jan 2017 After 11 years, the offshoot of Germany’s Daimler recaptured its position as the world’s largest premium carmaker by volume. Rival BMW may have sold fewer cars in 2016. But it still beats Daimler in important ways, like meeting operating margin targets 26 quarters in a row.
Air Products has promising formula for Chinese M&A 9 Jan 2017 The $31 bln gas giant is circling Hong Kong-listed Yingde. Inbound Chinese M&A has all but evaporated but Air Products' timing is good: big debts and a boardroom fight have shrunk the target's market value to $700 mln. An existing Chinese presence would help de-risk any deal.
Review: Undermining the foundations of rationality 6 Jan 2017 Economists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky changed our understanding of how people make decisions. "The Undoing Project" by Michael Lewis is a vivid and insightful account of their partnership. However, it also raises questions about why faith in rational humans is so enduring.
Regional pain makes UK consumer credit risks real 6 Jan 2017 The BoE's chief economist says a merely moderate rise in housing finance means consumer borrowing risks are contained. But unemployment is up in Scotland and northern England, where faster-growing personal loans matter more. Banks' pricing competition could worsen the reckoning.
Brexit could derail UK’s anti-corruption push 6 Jan 2017 Britain's keenly awaited anti-graft strategy has been delayed. The UK had looked to be making headway in reducing the billions of pounds laundered through London. The risk is this gets lost in the rush to quit the EU - or even that UK shadiness is seen as worth clinging to.
Sports Direct undercuts exec pay ideals 6 Jan 2017 The retailer’s bosses receive an apparently model mix of low salaries and performance-based awards. The former CEO’s fixed pay was less than a twentieth of Martin Sorrell’s at WPP. Yet an exemplary pay mix has failed to deliver either shareholder returns or good governance.
Volkswagen’s legal risk is rising in two ways 5 Jan 2017 U.S. investors can sue the German carmaker for Dieselgate damages on their home soil, a domestic judge has ruled. The first problem: VW’s 8 bln euros of unprovisioned legal liabilities will go up. The second: American litigation may have a lower bar to success than in Germany.
Buyout firms find new sauce to sweeten returns 5 Jan 2017 Private equity managers are borrowing against their own stakes in companies on margin, according to bankers. The leverage helps spruce up their returns. But investors could also face new kinds of risks.
Le Pen’s post-euro pitch is naïve but beguiling 5 Jan 2017 Far-right presidential hopeful Marine Le Pen wants to reintroduce a national currency in France alongside the euro. Her plan would face huge obstacles and involve big risks. Yet the idea of a painless reversal of the single currency project may seduce voters in France and beyond.
Bank fine-fighting begins to have some logic 5 Jan 2017 Barclays is battling U.S. authorities over charges it mis-sold mortgage bonds. UBS has contested accusations it aided tax evasion in France. With fewer outstanding legal bills and regulators habitually levying huge penalties, lenders have more to gain from pushing back.
Breakingviews predicts a shaken-up world in 2017 3 Jan 2017 After the upheavals of 2016, governments, companies and investors face unfamiliar terrain. Once-unthinkable scenarios, good or bad, now seem possible. From the U.S. economy to European elections, from M&A to magic mushrooms, our financial insights offer a guide to the year ahead.
Euro zone revival carries sting in tail 4 Jan 2017 After years in the doldrums, increased business activity and slightly rising prices are good news for the single currency area. Besides, inflation is still a long way below the European Central Bank target. But a sustained pickup would expose the euro zone's two-speed recovery.
More EU banks will be bailed out rather than in 4 Jan 2017 Monte dei Paschi's 9 bln euro recap using public funds seems at odds with reforms making creditors pay. Various loopholes make it just about kosher. Yet these fudges - plus the difficulty of nailing down when a bank is truly bust - imply more states will pay for lender follies.
Next’s retail crisis has distinctly British twist 4 Jan 2017 The clothing chain warned pre-tax profit may fall 14 percent this year. As well as Next's own problems, that's down to Brexit-related inflation, higher business rates and wage bills. British shoppers have also embraced online retail more readily than in some other markets.
Germany’s thriving job market no solace for Merkel 3 Jan 2017 Unemployment has fallen to its lowest since 1981, and the number of people in jobs is at a record. Chancellor Angela Merkel presided over this happy state but will struggle to leverage it in upcoming elections. Voters are more focused on less predictable flows of migrants.
Thruppence: Ten buzzwords to expect in 2017 3 Jan 2017 The dawn of a new populist era will bring even more corporate jargon and political euphemisms to the global lexicon. Think "import substitution" after trade barriers go up, or "fiscal space" as doublespeak for blowing through budgets. Breakingviews columnists place some bets.
Jain’s low-key Cantor role pins hopes on upside 3 Jan 2017 Ex-Deutsche Bank boss Anshu Jain is joining scrappy capital markets firm Cantor Fitzgerald. Though not the high-profile job he might have coveted, the German lender's travails during his stint in charge suggest why. Privately-held Cantor can grow outside the limelight.
Millennial princes snatch at power in Gulf 3 Jan 2017 Ageing monarchs may hand greater powers to a younger, more progressive generation in 2017. Falling oil revenues and ballooning budget deficits are forcing sheikhdoms to make overdue economic and social reforms or risk financial meltdown. Millennial thinking could help.
Exec pay is crying out for a race to the bottom 3 Jan 2017 Battles against corporate excesses are worthy but come unstuck all too quickly. Bosses keep getting paid more than their predecessors. To save capitalism, some could tender their services more cheaply. The tradition of the $1 CEO serves as a template. Even better: work for free.