Saudi Arabia

Saudi fund’s prudence pivot is only half complete

20 Aug 2024

The $925 bln Public Investment Fund is spending more money locally. That should do more to help Saudi’s diversification push than past international forays. But the domestic projects are often speculative, implying low returns and a continued shortage of foreign co-investors.

Middle East reignites Santos’ M&A pipe dreams

4 Jul 2024

Shares of the $17 bln Aussie driller jumped on a Bloomberg report that Aramco and ADNOC are each studying bids. That may yet lure in BP, Chevron and others. But the return on investment remains as ho-hum as when Santos CEO Kevin Gallagher opened the door to a deal last year.

Aramco’s $12 bln share sale is borne of necessity

31 May 2024

Saudi Arabia is selling an extra 0.6% slice of the $1.9 trln oil giant. Riyadh needs cash because budget concerns have delayed projects to diversify its economy. The company’s low valuation versus global rivals makes the timing suboptimal. At least buyers get an attractive yield.

Saudi expands strategic toolbox with Lenovo deal

29 May 2024

A PIF unit is the sole investor in the laptop maker’s $2 bln convertible bond. It pays no interest and can’t be swapped for stock until 2027. The real value to the kingdom is Lenovo’s pledge to build a new factory and regional HQ there to bolster Riyadh’s manufacturing goals.

Through Aramco, Peak China courts Peak Oil

26 Apr 2024

Buying a 10% stake in petrochemical firm Hengli will ramp up the Saudi giant’s presence in the People's Republic. Aramco is boosting ties with an important long-term customer. Beijing gets to tout foreign inflows as other sources dry up. It's a critical match.

ESG is ghost at global retailers’ annual feast

19 Apr 2024

LVMH, Amazon and peers gathered in Paris for the industry’s yearly shindig. The growth areas in the $30 trln sector are Shein-style cheap garments and the Middle East. Both jar with retailers’ previous focus on environmental, social and governance factors.

UAE flips own script with $4 bln oil pipeline deal

5 Apr 2024

Abu Dhabi’s $100 bln fund, Lunate, bought KKR and BlackRock’s 40% stake in ADNOC’s infrastructure arm. In recent years the UAE has raised cash from foreign investors by selling minority stakes in its oil giant. The latest deal does the opposite.

Wanda’s mall deal bags petrodollar safety net

2 Apr 2024

Wang Jianlin has found the hottest new shoppers in town. ADIA and Mubadala are taking control of his mall unit for $8.3 bln, alongside existing owners led by buyout firm PAG. Gulf money is emerging as an important lifeline for buyers and sellers in China.

Middle East AI dream depends on luring brainpower

22 Mar 2024

An abundance of cheap energy to power data centres gives artificial intelligence startups reason to consider the Gulf. But to become a force in AI, Saudi Arabia and the UAE will have to design their own advanced chips. Attracting talent to the region will require more than money.

PGA political golf drama is Saudi’s Trump card

12 Feb 2024

Senators accused former Citi banker Michael Klein and other consultants of siding with PIF over an agreement with the PGA and its investments in the US. While the golf tie-up remains in flux, political scrutiny is intensifying. A delay could work in the Saudis' favor.

Oil investors are adrift in Red Sea rip currents

9 Feb 2024

Crude prices at around $80 a barrel are lower than in early October despite conflict in Gaza, attacks on shipping vessels off Yemen, and US-Iran tensions. That reflects expectations of weak demand and ample supply, underpinned by lax sanctions. All three could soon change.

Red Sea oil tension may revive Russia-Saudi spat

22 Jan 2024

Exchanges of fire between Yemen’s Houthis and the US military have hiked costs for Moscow to ship oil via the Suez Canal to China and India. One upshot could be Russia loses market share to Saudi Arabia. That may reopen the sort of tensions that led to the duo’s 2020 price war.

Davos holds up funhouse mirror to shifting world

22 Jan 2024

Delegates from the Middle East and India made a splash at last week’s World Economic Forum, reflecting their wealth and investment appeal. Europeans and Chinese were subdued. Big Tech looks the winner from AI. This year’s Swiss conflab arguably exaggerated more than it distorted.

Spain’s Saudi telecoms shield is pricey and futile

20 Dec 2023

Madrid is buying 10% of Telefonica to protect it from the kingdom’s stake-building. But Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez already has tools to block the Gulf investor taking a board seat or a bigger share. Splurging taxpayer money unnecessarily looks risky for a new government.

Saudi’s best foreign investment will be in Gaza

19 Dec 2023

The kingdom is known for flashy punts on Western sports and blue chips. But its real need is foreign cash to help diversify away from oil. If Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman were to use Saudi money to help Palestinians rebuild post-war, US goodwill may prompt an FDI spike.

Altice’s best hope will be a Middle East lifeline

18 Dec 2023

Telecoms tycoon Patrick Drahi is dismantling his empire to cope with a $60 bln debt wall. Attracting new investors may be tricky given low growth and a corruption scandal. Luckily Gulf states like the UAE and Saudi Arabia are flush with cash and keen to grab Western assets.

Saudi’s Indian cricket play works for both sides

30 Nov 2023

The kingdom is looking to invest as much as $5 bln in the Indian Premier League. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss what it means for the sport and how it sizes up against Riyadh’s growing global sporting ambitions.

 

With Saudi, India can push new cricket boundaries

20 Nov 2023

India is on course to dominate the sport despite its defeat in the cricket World Cup final at the weekend. The kingdom has discussed a deal valuing the Indian Premier League at $30 bln, per Bloomberg. It’s a wise departure from Riyadh’s heavy-handed approach to sports investing.

Labour is weak link in Israeli economic defences

14 Nov 2023

The Middle Eastern country has withstood the financial pain of a war with Hamas, William Wechsler at the US think tank the Atlantic Council says in this Exchange podcast. But as the conflict continues, an increasing labour shortage will pile pressure on the economy.

Israel’s war is a risk and opportunity for Saudi

31 Oct 2023

Hamas’s attacks complicate Mohammed bin Salman’s aim to build relations with the Israeli state, Gulf expert Kristian Coates Ulrichsen says in this Exchange podcast. But if the Saudi crown prince can use his leverage to help Palestinians, it may help his image at home and abroad.