Saudi Arabia

Saudi is far from the last Western bank bagholder

21 Mar 2023

Credit Suisse’s rescue by UBS will cost top shareholder Saudi National Bank over $1 bln. Abu Dhabi’s ADIA and Singapore’s GIC and Temasek also caught a falling knife after buying Western banks in 2007. Politics, and the Gulf’s growing oil riches, imply further loss-making punts.

Interlopers may yet crash the Gulf bank fee party

22 Dec 2022

The Middle East is one of the globe’s few healthy IPO markets. To relative outsiders like Barclays, it may look like big U.S. and domestic banks will grab the best mandates. Yet Saudi Arabia’s insistence that foreign banks base themselves in Riyadh presents an opportunity.

Gulf’s World Cup love-in has uncertain shelf life

25 Nov 2022

Egypt and Turkey used the tournament to smooth over old differences, and ex-rivals Saudi Arabia and Qatar are getting along. Riyadh may even use its new oil heft to put $5 bln in cash-strapped Ankara’s central bank. The risk is new tensions, perhaps over Iran, upend the goodwill.

Saudi Credit Suisse deal is fair Buffett imitation

2 Nov 2022

The kingdom’s biggest lender is ponying up $1.4 bln to help the weak bank raise capital. It’s not getting the sweet terms the Sage of Omaha extracted from Goldman in 2008 but the returns are still in his ballpark. And if Credit Suisse struggles, a breakup may limit the downside.

Sovereign debt greens yet net-zero pledges darken

13 Oct 2022

Saudi Arabia’s wealth fund is the latest public body to issue securities to fund renewable assets. Strong buyer demand and the chance to flaunt action on climate change explain the boom. Yet national decarbonisation targets remain weak, and green bonds do little to improve them.

There’s method to Saudi’s $38 bln gaming madness

11 Oct 2022

Riyadh says it will splash out to become “the ultimate global hub” for gaming by 2030. Saudi and the freewheeling sector are peculiar bedfellows. But with a petrodollar windfall and falling valuations, the kingdom has a good opportunity to make its unlikely vision happen.

Petrodollar rush may disappoint Western financiers

20 Sep 2022

In prior energy booms, like in the 1970s, the proceeds wound up in U.S. banks and bonds. OPEC’s $907 bln haul in 2022 is smaller, and winners like Saudi Arabia need cash to pivot away from oil. Bankers may not see a developed world equities and debt bonanza on the same scale.

Saudi can win two ways in global energy reshuffle

13 Jul 2022

U.S. President Joe Biden will plead for more oil on his visit to the kingdom. Riyadh may be tempted to say no. But with China and India buying cheaper Russian crude, diverting shipments could boost selling prices. Close ties could also unlock more western capital for Saudi.

LIV Golf finds that Saudi money can’t buy love

23 Jun 2022

The rebel league is Riyadh’s latest PR pitch to the global business crowd. Fairways lined with gold have managed to hook a handful of names. But a lack of major broadcast deals and top drawcards like Tiger Woods or Rory McIlroy means LIV is likely to miss the financial cut.

Western bankers’ long wait for Gulf gold pays off

20 Jun 2022

Not long ago, U.S. and European lenders’ Middle East jobs meant low-paid work and no play. Now, oil-funded deal flow in Riyadh and Dubai is robust even as it falls elsewhere. That’s a boon for the likes of JPMorgan and Citi, who stuck it out and are now boosting their teams.

Global stability partly hangs on Saudi reinvention

25 May 2022

The kingdom’s efforts to shape its image go so far as branding a café at Davos bearing the crown prince’s name. Worldwide demand for oil and gas amid the Ukraine war gives Saudi extra power and a chance to realign itself politically. There’s much more work to do.

Aramco is the old new Apple

11 May 2022

The Saudi oil company has overtaken the tech giant as the world’s largest by market capitalization, knocking smartphone maker Apple down the charts. But judging by fellow oil majors, Aramco’s value probably isn’t much different than a decade ago – it’s just more visible.

Aramco health adds spice to Saudi’s yuan dilemma

21 Mar 2022

Riyadh’s $2.3 trln oil giant is looking to hike output. If the kingdom starts to price some crude sales in yuan instead of dollars, higher Chinese exports could increase its stocks of renminbi. That could focus Saudi minds on whether to hitch its future to Beijing or Washington.

Saudi’s MbS will eventually take Biden’s call

10 Mar 2022

America cannot plug the shortfall from cutting off Russian oil. Increased output from OPEC, and particularly Saudi Arabia, is key. De facto leader Mohammed bin Salman isn’t eager to help the U.S. president, but needs the endorsement of Western cash to transform the economy.

Rising IPO tide could lift all Gulf boats

20 Jan 2022

Riyadh, Abu Dhabi and Dubai are fighting it out to be the region’s listing venue of choice. But recent evidence suggests much greater foreign investor interest in Gulf IPOs in general than previous misfires like Aramco. The competitive tension may wind up being good for everyone.

Riyadh will flip from No-Go to FOMO for business

21 Dec 2021

Lifestyle reasons mean bosses have long preferred Dubai to the Saudi capital as a Gulf HQ. A mix of the kingdom’s financial promise and government strong-arming means that could start to change. The city’s social scene is already slowly making it less of a punishment posting.

Aramco pipeline is net win for BlackRock and Saudi

7 Dec 2021

The oil giant is raising $15.5 bln by selling 49% of the cash flow from its gas pipes to the fund giant and partners. Backing from blue-chip investors helps Riyadh unlock international finance. For BlackRock, a 10%-plus return compensates for supporting a major carbon emitter.

Reliance-Aramco no-deal is sign of the ESG times

22 Nov 2021

A Saudi plan from 2019 to invest $15 bln into the Indian company’s refining arm is being re-evaluated as Reliance’s green ambitions complicate matters for both sides. The impasse reflects the hectic pace of the energy transition, and the cheap capital available to fund it.

Newcastle bid suits Saudi more than UK soccer

7 Oct 2021

A consortium led by the kingdom’s Public Investment Fund may buy the northeastern club for 305 mln pounds. Saudi Arabia gets a storied team for a low price, and cheap PR. Yet having another deep-pocketed sovereign backer will further distort competition in British soccer.

Bill Gates bets luxury hotels are plague resistant

9 Sep 2021

The billionaire who predicted a pandemic snagged half of Saudi Prince Alwaleed’s stake in the Four Seasons chain, valuing it at $10 bln. That’s a big price since Gates helped take the group private in 2007 and a sign one of the richest guys thinks fancy suites offer protection.