United Kingdom

Andrew Bailey’s silence is hurting UK homeowners

12 Jul 2023

Traders’ confusion over the Bank of England’s decisions is sending market interest rates wild. That has pushed the cost of a popular mortgage to a 15-year high. To limit household pain, the governor needs to ditch his usual reticence and tell markets that they are wrong.

History is against UK and Spanish telecoms M&A

12 Jul 2023

Vodafone and Orange have deals worth $40 bln on antitrust agencies’ desks. Europe has only once approved a similar merger without competitive remedies, which involved a tiny Dutch player. The telcos may have to make big concessions, undermining their tie-ups, or accept defeat.

UK growth plan aims pea-shooter at monster problem

11 Jul 2023

Finance minister Jeremy Hunt wants Britain’s $2.5 trln pension system to invest more in private equity and startups. His scheme avoids the risky idea of forcing managers into buying British assets. But it’s too fuzzy and timorous to solve the country’s dismal lack of investment.

BT’s vacant CEO job will only appeal to masochists

10 Jul 2023

Less than two months after releasing a turnaround plan that failed to convince investors, boss Philip Jansen said he will leave. There are no clear alternatives to his strategy of laying fibre broadband and cutting costs. Tricky shareholders will only add to the new broom’s pain.

UK could borrow a leaf from Canada’s mortgage book

7 Jul 2023

High levels of housing debt have left British borrowers exposed to rising interest rates. One way to avoid this problem is to fix payments as a proportion of the loan. Some Canadian lenders offer such adjustable-term mortgages, Edward Chancellor writes. The UK could follow suit.

Ocado has better options than a cheap sale

7 Jul 2023

Bid hopes have pumped up the $6 bln grocer-cum-warehouse operator’s shares. Yet retailers like Amazon would struggle to buy a company that also works for competitors. CEO Tim Steiner could instead sell the UK business, letting the market value Ocado more like rival AutoStore.

UK’s leaky water model faces a growing storm

5 Jul 2023

Thames Water’s financial strife has put privately held UK utilities under the spotlight. The sector’s huge investment needs mean bills have to rise yet further. Politicians are likely to ramp up their scrutiny of shareholder returns, and the model of private ownership itself.

Canary Wharf’s pivot looks like a tall order

3 Jul 2023

HSBC’s exit has set tongues wagging about the London financial hub’s demise. To thrive, its main landlord needs to manage a refinancing hump, and the estate needs a sustainable Plan B. Absent these, the Docklands may see the sort of upheaval it experienced in 1992, 2004 and 2015.

UK water meltdown resurrects bank crisis dilemmas

29 Jun 2023

The government may take over indebted 18 bln pound utility Thames Water. Funding a big potential capital hole via bills and taxpayer cash injections could be as politically toxic as 2008-era bailouts of RBS and peers. But imposing losses on creditors may spark even more turmoil.

UK banks are appropriate airbag for mortgage crash

27 Jun 2023

British politicians are starting to call out lenders that have delayed passing on higher rates to savers, even as they charge borrowers more. Bank share valuations already implied such windfalls might be temporary. The sector’s rising margins justify some political arm-twisting.

Eni’s bet on gas comes at an acceptable price

23 Jun 2023

The Italian group and Var Energi, in which it holds a 63% stake, are buying Neptune Energy for $4.9 bln. The seller’s private equity owners once hoped for an IPO at twice that level. Bulking up in fossil fuels carries risks, but Eni’s price at least creates some sort of buffer.

Firefighting leaves central banks on shaky ground

22 Jun 2023

Policymakers in the UK, Switzerland, Norway and Turkey all hiked rates on Thursday. Stubborn inflation gives them little choice, even though they may cause recessions. In London and Ankara, ratesetters’ job is made much harder by politicians’ own failures and need for scapegoats.

Masayoshi Son’s new AI push merits a pinch of salt

22 Jun 2023

The SoftBank founder said he would place further bets on artificial intelligence after taking a pause. Some of his investments may pay off. But Arm is his only real AI win from a $112 bln portfolio, his credibility has taken a knock, and his war chest is smaller than it looks.

UK has little wiggle room on mortgage aid

21 Jun 2023

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is under pressure to cushion the 1.7 trln pound home loans market from high interest rates. Taxpayer support would spook markets and add to the Bank of England’s inflation headache. Targeted relief from banks would do less damage – but have less impact.

Credibility crisis requires BoE to write new plot

20 Jun 2023

The Bank of England’s inflation outlook is faulty because it relies on traders’ expectations. That leads markets to overreact to data, causing pain for homebuyers and firms. Adopting the US system, where policymakers make predictions, would curb policy mistakes and volatility.

Comcast rejigs media script after falling from Sky

16 Jun 2023

The $173 bln cable giant is discussing a cash dowry to lure buyers for its pay TV operator’s German arm. That would remove a distraction as CEO Brian Roberts hunts for a new deal. A sale may be hard to reach. But it’s better to cut the cord sooner than later.

Man United sale heads into messy added time

15 Jun 2023

The Premier League soccer club is in the final stages of a tense bidding war. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists debate the merits of offers from a Qatari suitor and chemicals tycoon Jim Ratcliffe, and what options minority investors face if they are shut out.

Shelved soda ash IPO is a UK wake-up call

15 Jun 2023

Turkish-owned WE Soda dropped plans for an $800 mln London listing after a cool reception from prospective shareholders. The firm blamed their cautiousness. The truth is that Britain’s attempts to fiddle with listing rules to revive the IPO market aren’t fooling shrewd investors.

Vodafone’s do-or-die UK deal is a risky bet

14 Jun 2023

The $24 bln telecoms firm is merging its UK mobile business with CK Hutchison’s Three to create Britain’s largest network. It is promising investment to win over competition watchdogs. It could backfire, but CEO Margherita Della Valle has few easy ways to please weary investors.

‘Love Island’ maker can be saved by bold coupling

14 Jun 2023

ITV CEO Carolyn McCall is under pressure amid a scandal and a depressed share price. A breakup of the $4 bln broadcaster might help, but looks tricky. Bulking up the studio unit could create more value, if McCall can find a way to keep dividend-loving investors on side.