Britain’s global trade dream is second-best option 27 Jan 2017 Prime Minister Theresa May is hoping her meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump will open up a trade deal with the United States. China and others may follow. But the resulting boost to UK exports will probably be too small to replace those it risks losing by leaving the EU.
Sky’s rising costs highlight Murdoch bid’s appeal 26 Jan 2017 The pay-TV group's operating profit dropped 9 pct in the six months to December as pricey soccer rights kicked in. An unappealing mix of higher content costs and greater customer churn in the UK should make Sky investors look more favourably on Fox's 11 bln pound takeover offer.
RBS takes baby step on road to U.S. redemption 26 Jan 2017 The UK bank's latest $3.8 billion charge almost doubles provisions relating to alleged mis-sellling of U.S. mortgage securities. The final cost could be far higher, since RBS is probably a year away from a settlement. Still, the extra bit of balance sheet clarity is welcome.
Trump can teach May about the art of the deal 25 Jan 2017 A trade pact between the UK and the United States could be helpful to both. The faster it comes, the less comprehensive it would be. Yet what an accord between the two leaders might lack in scope would be made up for by the creation of a clear loser: Europe.
London bankers may dodge one-way trip to Frankfurt 25 Jan 2017 UK-based bankers accompanied by EU colleagues might still be able to advise continental clients after Britain leaves the bloc. The ruse might allow financial institutions to keep more staff in London. But both national and European laws would have to remain accommodating.
Brexit sceptics win battle but will lose the war 24 Jan 2017 Pro-EU campaigners succeeded in their quest to give parliament a say on triggering Brexit. The catch is that Prime Minister Theresa May will probably win a vote. Besides, her opponents would struggle to prove suboptimal outcomes like EEA membership are better than May's vision.
BT’s Italy scandal is more than a wrong number 24 Jan 2017 The UK telecom found alarming levels of collusion, incompetence and fraud at an Italian business that had been closely vetted by itself and external auditor PwC. The collapse in BT’s shares – far more than the actual losses – shows a pressing crisis of trust, not just accounting.
UK industrial strategy needs to go big or go home 23 Jan 2017 Theresa May is right to try and revive Britain's industry - not least because its financial services cash cow is en route to the slaughterhouse. Infrastructure, exchange rates and regional stimulus would be helpful priorities. Otherwise the squeakiest wheels may get the grease.
Five things Davos Man will get wrong this year 23 Jan 2017 Each January the politicians, financiers and company bosses who gather in the mountains offer a snapshot of elite thinking. However, this "Davos consensus" is often wide of the mark. From Donald Trump to Xi Jinping, here are five widely-held views that will probably be mistaken.
Calm words won’t stop bankers leaving London 20 Jan 2017 The City is a big source of UK tax revenue and the European Union's main capital market. Both sides have good reasons for a sensible post-Brexit agreement on financial services. Unless they first extend the timetable, banks will not wait for a deal before moving staff.
Viewsroom: Davos goes topsy-turvy 19 Jan 2017 Team Trump is AWOL at the World Economic Forum's annual alpine shindig while Theresa May's Brexit plan has people on edge. That left it to China's Xi Jinping to defend globalization. Elsewhere, U.S. bank earnings disappoint. And Snapchat considers making investor rights disappear.
Pearson chief Fallon gets an F 18 Jan 2017 The education publisher's shares fell almost 30 pct after a profit warning from boss John Fallon - not his first. A hit to textbook sales through retailers should have been foreseen, and Fallon's tenure has been bad for investors. This latest shocker puts him on the naughty step.
Premier Foods’ problems are home baked 18 Jan 2017 The Mr Kipling owner said full-year profit would be 10 pct lower as sales disappoint. Prices for ingredients are on the up, which can partly be blamed on Brexit. But the food manufacturer has more bread-and-butter issues - high debt and supermarkets' new promotion tactics.
Theresa May takes a Brexit big bath 17 Jan 2017 New company bosses often take major writedowns to give themselves a fresh start and flatter future earnings. In saying Britain could walk away from the EU’s single market, the prime minister is on the same page. Investors can now use the clean-break scenario as their base case.
Rolls-Royce finally emerges from dark clouds 17 Jan 2017 The UK engine maker is finally taking off. Rolls is more upbeat about its 2016 profit and cash generation, the first positive surprise in a while. And a 671 pound settlement for bribery charges is costly yet manageable. Encouraging signs that boss Warren East is getting a grip.
Slow burn pays off for BAT and Reynolds 17 Jan 2017 British cigarette maker British American Tobacco has bumped its offer for its U.S. rival, offering $49 bln for the shares it doesn’t already have. The deal should easily hit BAT’s return targets, even if savings aren’t huge. Reynolds was right to hold out.
Trump may force Germany to do more for Europe 16 Jan 2017 Donald Trump is threatening to slap U.S. import tariffs on German cars. For all the economic pain, this could give the EU a new lease of life. Internal pressure failed to make Berlin spend more or give fiscal concessions to southern Europe. External threats might work better.
Sterling crash mystery lacks suspect – and victims 13 Jan 2017 There was no single trigger for the sudden 9 percent drop in the value of the pound on Oct. 7, a committee of central bankers has found. Big banks avoided major losses, and other markets were unaffected. Investors will have to learn to live with sharp but short-lived gyrations.
Regulators try to save fund lemmings from selves 12 Jan 2017 Customers of open-ended investments rely on false promises of liquidity that tend to evaporate in market panics. The Financial Stability Board has some ideas for addressing the ensuing risks. Its ideas are sound, but would be superfluous if fund managers did their jobs.
UK retailers’ discount detox may be short-lived 12 Jan 2017 Strong sales at Marks & Spencer and Debenhams show efforts to wean customers off promotions are bearing fruit. More full-priced sales mean better margins. But the temptation to hoist the “sale” signs may return as inflation and weaker growth squeeze UK consumers.