Geely’s cruise-control ride is coming to an end 22 Aug 2018 Volvo's Chinese sister cranked out another solid set of results, with profit up 54 pct to nearly $1 bln. Margins expanded and its domestic market share grew. At nine times expected earnings, Geely fetches a premium to global peers. It’ll have to raise its EV game to justify it.
BMW has good reason to take driver seat in China 20 Aug 2018 The German auto group may raise its stake in its Chinese JV, after the state moved to scrap foreign ownership rules. Spending $3.6 bln now would boost margins and give it a greater share of profit from China-made cars. That’s particularly valuable given U.S. trade tensions.
Saudi’s investment fund: the view from 2023 20 Aug 2018 The kingdom wants to expand the assets of its Public Investment Fund by 60 percent by 2020 as it diversifies away from oil. That involves it taking some big, risky bets. Breakingviews imagines the letter its chief executive will write five years hence.
Revamped U.S. deal reviews are skid risk for Tesla 16 Aug 2018 Saudi help in a buyout could spur national-security scrutiny under new powers. Tesla’s tech might be deemed critical, while D.C. also worries about China's ambitions. Rules and pilot programs are works in progress, but it's another uncertainty for CEO Elon Musk’s convoluted plans.
How could a Tesla buyout pay off for investors? 15 Aug 2018 They might want to double their money in five years after taking the $60 bln electric-car maker private. Run the numbers with Breakingviews' new calculator to see what Elon Musk's company would have to achieve to make that happen.
Global dominance is key to Tesla buyout payoff 15 Aug 2018 Investors taking a company private often aim to double their money in five years. For that, Elon Musk would have to drive a sevenfold rise in vehicle sales, Breakingviews calculates, making Tesla as big as BMW and in command of almost half estimated all-electric car production.
Tesla is risky vehicle for Saudi reform drive 14 Aug 2018 The Gulf state wants to diversify away from oil and might help take the auto group private, reckons CEO Elon Musk. That’d be a mistake. Tesla could flop even if electric cars take off, and Musk’s buyout price is too high. There are cheaper ways to play the energy transition.
Musk missive reveals more than he might like 13 Aug 2018 Tesla’s CEO has given extra details about his mooted buyout of the $59 bln electric-car maker, including that the Saudis want to finance it. Yet how he’s handled the disclosures, and his too-free definition of “secured” financing, confirm how ill-suited he is for his public role.
Summer lulls offer false sense of security 10 Aug 2018 That, at least, is the lesson of August 2008. A complacent Citi exec claimed the lender had more than enough capital, Merrill handed one banker a $40 mln guarantee, GM’s CEO was talking up its prospects - and the Fed was worried about inflation. The hubris didn’t last long.
Viewsroom: Tesla’s wild and crazy ride 9 Aug 2018 CEO Elon Musk’s tweet about wanting to take the company private is causing a stir. Unorthodoxy aside, its volatile boss and weak corporate governance means Tesla is better off the public roads. Plus, Pakistan’s likely new leader Imran Khan will have to go hat in hand to the IMF.
Good riddance to a publicly traded Tesla 8 Aug 2018 CEO Elon Musk wants to take the electric-car maker private. That’s where it belongs. Tesla loses money, routinely reneges on promises, engages in execrable corporate governance – and Musk’s outbursts on calls and Twitter are a liability. The market is better off without Tesla.
Tesla buyout would need to go short on leverage 7 Aug 2018 Elon Musk wants to drive the unprofitable electric-car maker off the public market at a $72 bln sticker price. Banks would balk at lending much more than a third of that, so he’d need to persuade shareholders to stay and big investment funds to jump in. That’s eminently doable.
Vulnerable Toyota enjoys a moment in the sun 3 Aug 2018 Japan's largest automaker earned nearly $6 bln last quarter, a 7 pct bump. That’s a relief after Nissan, where a drop in U.S. sales weighed. Still, executives are right to strike a cautious tone while Trump's trade guns remain aimed at Tokyo: Toyota is less protected than rivals.
Singapore’s Grab cashes up for a bigger taxi fight 2 Aug 2018 The ride-hailing firm won one battle when it pushed U.S. giant Uber out of Southeast Asia. Much of its latest $1 bln funding round will be spent in Indonesia, where Grab is up against local rival Go-Jek. That country is where the region's tech landgrabs will be won or lost.
Elon Musk ekes out Tesla breathing space 1 Aug 2018 The electric-car maker burned less cash last quarter, but owed more to suppliers and has debt coming due. The volatile CEO reckons Tesla will avoid having to raise more equity. But investors are already punishing the scourge of “bonehead” analysts for taking on the dare.
Ferrari proves it can run mostly on autopilot 1 Aug 2018 New CEO Louis Camilleri inherits a firm in fine shape from Sergio Marchionne. While FCA cut guidance after its ex-boss’s death, Ferrari posted strong results, even if it qualified its outlook as “aspirational”. The Italian supercar maker looks nonetheless poised to motor ahead.
How Sergio Marchionne saved Fiat and Chrysler 30 Jul 2018 The automakers’ former boss, who has died at 66, rescued both from the wrecker’s yard. His push for breakups and consolidation also helped produce better shareholder returns than his main rivals. A new selection of Breakingviews columns offers a taste of his 14-year tenure.
Viewsroom: Sergio Marchionne’s legacy 26 Jul 2018 The sudden death of Fiat Chrysler’s CEO has robbed the car industry of one of its most colorful – and successful – leaders. Antony Currie, Rob Cox and Lisa Jucca look back over his 14 years at the wheel and discuss what’s on the road ahead for his successor Mike Manley.
Tariff truce leaves EU carmakers stuck in low gear 26 Jul 2018 Volkswagen, BMW and Daimler’s collective value rose about $7 bln after U.S. President Donald Trump seemed to relent on auto tariffs. It’s a minor victory. Transatlantic peace may not last, while Trump’s trade battle with China will still prove disruptive for the German trio.
Ford’s pain deserves more blame than GM’s 25 Jul 2018 While the largest U.S. automaker’s stock lost almost 5 pct after it said tariffs helped make commodities pricier, Ford has been warning about these costs for a while. But its deeper-seated problems in Europe, China and elsewhere warrant more severe punishment from shareholders.