Congo digs deep hole with overhaul of mining law 8 Mar 2018 The world's top cobalt producer is right to update rules written after a ruinous war. But the dramatic shift to bring in more taxes also reneges on an earlier promised 10-year "stability clause". Unpredictable swings damage an already battered image, and put investment at risk.
Revamped ENRC should set its sights low 8 Mar 2018 The colourful Kazakh miner, renamed ERG after it delisted under a cloud in 2013, is testing a recovering commodities market. A fresh IPO sounds a non-starter, but selling a stake in one of its operations could fly. If so, it would help the group trim almost $6 bln of debt.
India’s bankruptcy regime requires pragmatic touch 6 Mar 2018 Essar Steel could fetch $6 bln, with bids from groups led by ArcelorMittal and Russia's VTB. Both suitors sit awkwardly with tough rules barring defaulters from buying stressed assets. However, it is better to get good proceeds for creditors than to be purist and fail.
Trade tensions curb spirits in U.S. energy sector 5 Mar 2018 OPEC is breaking bread with U.S. shale producers at an industry confab in Houston. It’s a sign of American wildcatters’ influence on the global market. But infrastructure bottlenecks and Trump’s new tariffs threaten to prevent drillers from taking full advantage of their clout.
Trump’s incoherent strategy dooms tariff crusade 2 Mar 2018 The U.S. president defended his steel and aluminum duties, arguing trade wars are “easy to win.” But his tax cuts increase the budget deficit and the country’s reliance on foreign capital, almost guaranteeing a worsening trade balance. The conflicting tactics are self-defeating.
Battery-powered IPO should be handled with care 2 Mar 2018 Ganfeng Lithium is coming late to the electric vehicle party. The Chinese miner and battery maker wants to raise at least $1 bln in Hong Kong as competition to make power cells intensifies and prices are peaking. Investors will want to know it isn't just cashing out at the top.
Miners face a multibillion-dollar growth debate 28 Feb 2018 The big diggers have emerged from 2017 in rude health: BHP, Rio and Glencore's combined net debt is down to a third of where they ended 2013. The challenge is how to go beyond better payouts. Geology and high prices mean the next phase of growth may be unorthodox.
Chesapeake solidifies shale role as OPEC sandfly 22 Feb 2018 The shale producer pumped more crude at lower costs in the last quarter – then sold it for more money. It can partly thank oil cartel OPEC, which has helped prices edge up. The Oklahoma-based driller joins a growing list of little wildcatters that are becoming a big annoyance.
Glencore is a weather vane for mining M&A 21 Feb 2018 The Swiss commodity group’s once-swollen net debt is below cash flow, but it will only decide later this year whether to hike dividends further. That leaves CEO Ivan Glasenberg scope to look for deals. If Glencore can’t find any decent ones, its peers probably won’t either.
Revived Santos can turn from prey to predator 21 Feb 2018 Full-year results show the $9 bln Australian gas producer is on the mend, with a narrowing net loss, less debt and more cash. That vindicates last year’s rejection of an opportunistic bid. The next challenge is shifting focus to growth - which could send Santos hunting for deals.
BHP’s good news visible despite coal smudge 20 Feb 2018 Production woes and other setbacks took the shine off $4.1 bln of first-half earnings at the world's largest miner. Yet BHP still offers investors high returns on capital, a solid balance sheet and cash from likely selloffs. Plus a pushy investor is keeping management focused.
OPEC’s widened tent would still be built on sand 16 Feb 2018 Oil-exporting countries are working to expand their alliance with Russia and others longer term, the UAE oil minister says. That’s just as production numbers show U.S. drillers are set to pump more oil this year. OPEC’s tent can widen, but it will still face a production gale.
Why bank investors give a FICC about volatility 16 Feb 2018 Global fixed income trading revenue declined 11 pct last year, Coalition data shows. It’s a big reason investment banks again failed to cover their cost of capital. Market ructions will reveal whether a cyclical upturn is near – or whether banks need to accept structural decline.
Chinese gold mining IPO is a dubious prospect 13 Feb 2018 A Hong Kong listing will help pay off a $1 bln purchase in Argentina, enabling Shandong Gold to do more deals. But high-quality mines are costly and the sector’s M&A track record is poor. Buyers will need to believe the state-owned firm is unusually good at sifting for bargains.
Rio Tinto is due to unearth new growth ideas 7 Feb 2018 The $100 bln miner's latest results reveal a company cranking on all cylinders. Decade-high profitability led to nearly $10 bln in dividends and buybacks last year. Before long, though, investors may want boss Jean-Sébastien Jacques to find some other smart uses for the money.
Elliott’s fresh attack on BHP misses its target 7 Feb 2018 The activist fund has been nipping at the heels of the world's largest miner for months. Now it argues that unifying listings in London and Sydney could mean a $22 billion boost. It’s a lot of distraction and cost for an unproven gain. Simplicity is unlikely to be so lucrative.
BP’s biggest hazard is size envy 6 Feb 2018 After years of Gulf of Mexico-related strife, the UK group is recovering. With oil prices high enough to pay comfortably for investments and dividends, the energy giant may be tempted to ramp up new projects in a bid to become bigger than Shell. That would be a mistake.
Vietnam’s Thatcherism could use an extra push 2 Feb 2018 PV Power is the latest successful privatisation for Asia's fastest growing economy. Despite a broad anti-graft campaign, stake sales are going gangbusters, as is the local stock market. That makes it easy to refrain from enacting deeper reforms, but they'd help sustain momentum.
ADM bite at Bunge would be meal of many courses 22 Jan 2018 A $30 bln-plus merger of the two grain traders would boost profit in an unhelpfully oversupplied market. It would, though, also give rival Glencore, regulators and farmers a chance to push their own recipes. A single, clean takeover isn’t likely – but a few smaller ones could be.
Cobalt tax grab will send carmakers on a diversion 12 Jan 2018 The Democratic Republic of Congo, supplier of two-thirds of the world's cobalt, aims to more than double royalty charges. That's bad news for electric cars: the metal is a key battery ingredient. The move could backfire, however, by accelerating exploration of alternatives.