Vinci should be wary of Veolia bear hug 16 Jun 2006 The French water company has come out with a headline synergy number that suggests a deal might create some value. But there's no details about where these benefits would come from. Veolia needs to spell them out if it wants to be taken seriously.
Vinci right to reject Veolia approach 15 Jun 2006 The deal to merge the French water utility with the construction company lacks industrial logic. But it may make some political sense. What s in it for Vinci? There is nothing Veolia could do that it couldn't copy itself.
Has Eads bitten off more than it can chew? 14 Jun 2006 Delays in the jumbo jet won t just hit the European aerospace giant s earnings. Its credibility has taken a hit too. But this might help Eads get a knockdown price on BAE's 20% stake in Airbus.
Veolia’s mooted bid for Vinci lacks logic 13 Jun 2006 Both the French water and construction firms used to be a part of Generale des Eaux, now Vivendi. It s hard to see why, or how, Veolia would want to resurrect the old order. There is precious little overlap, and financing might be tricky.
KKR shouldn’t get greedy with German crane IPO 12 Jun 2006 It has knocked the group into shape and demand for Demag Cranes' whizzo port technology is strong. It's offering shares in Demag Cranes at E26E31 each. That isn t a steal, but KKR should be able to hoist it at the low end of the range.
Vinci management clean-up isn’t over yet 2 Jun 2006 The chairman has resigned, ending an unseemly squabble with the CEO and boosting the French construction firm s quoted value by E1bn. That s a good day s work. But Vinci needs to go further still. It s cronypacked board is also begging for change.
Bouygues’ E2bn Alstom purchase looks smart 27 Apr 2006 One might ask why a 21% stake in the engineering firm is needed in order to build global power plants. But there's a bigger potential prize. By helping the French state sell out of Alstom to satisfy EU rules Bouygues' reward could be Framatome, the stateowned nuclear supplier.
US homebuilders offer value trap 27 Mar 2006 Some investors suggest that US house builders like KB Home and MDC could soar if the American market enjoys a Britishstyle soft landing. But this argument ignores a massive supply glut in the overbuilt US housing market. Homebuilder buyers beware.
Sacyr tries romance to smooth cross-border M&A 2 Mar 2006 The Spanish construction firm has France s Eiffage in its sights. It could go hostile but wisely is using sweet talk instead. That is partly a sign of protectionist times. But it s also pragmatic: most of Eiffage s business is with the French state.
Shareholders hold Lafarge to ransom 10 Feb 2006 The French building products group remains deadlocked with investors in its $3bn purchase of the rest of its US business. Judging by the past, Lafarge will raise its bid. Like others buying back minorities, it seems designed to draw out the hot money.
BPB should talk if Saint Gobain raises 14 Nov 2005 The UK plasterboard group may think it is worth over 800p a share. But it should negotiate if the French group sweetens its offer to 760p. Talks might allow BPB to squeeze an even higher offer. The alternative for shareholders is a choice between a disappointing bid, and no bid.
Cracks appear in America’s McMansion market 8 Nov 2005 The country s biggest maker of luxury homes, Toll Brothers, warned that home sales in 2006 will be lower than expected. This bodes ill for the housing market's health, as Toll s affluent customers were supposed to be less sensitive to rising mortgage rates.
Pilkington right to reject NSG offer 3 Nov 2005 The £2bn price tag for the UK glassmaker is a reasonable first offer. But Pilkington can make a good case for more. The smaller Japanese competitor is unlikely to win without a management endorsement. It should pay up, if it can.
BPB’s proposed capital return is a distraction 5 Oct 2005 The UK plasterboardmaker s extra £250m payout distracts from the debate about value, where it was making headway. The promise of higher dividends should buoy estimates of BPB s fair value. But BPB must prove it deserves a decent premium on top of that.
BPB shouldn’t increase its capital return 2 Oct 2005 The UK plasterboard group needs capital for investment, having trumpeted its future growth in its defence against SaintGobain s £3.6bn bid. Besides, there s little evidence to suggest that returning capital creates real value. Investors can see through the earnings enhancement.
BPB bases its case on valuation 14 Sep 2005 The UK plasterboard maker s wants to repel Saint Gobain s 720p per share offer. But not by offering more cash or higher profit forecasts. Instead, it is arguing that Saint Gobain's 720p a share bid is too little. Shareholders seem to agree.
Saint Gobain’s bid for BPB lacks muscle 31 Aug 2005 The French conglomerate s offer document neither scolds the current management nor promises added value. It just says that the 720p offer price for the UK plasterboard maker is generous. But it may take more cash to seduce BPB s shareholders.
Saint Gobain makes £3.7bn hostile bid for BPB 3 Aug 2005 The French conglomerate was given short shrift by the UK plasterboard maker, so it is taking its 720p a share bid direct to shareholders. This looks like an opening bid. Investors are likely to hold out for more.
Saint Gobain still has plans for BPB 2 Aug 2005 The French conglomerate would like a recommendation from the UK building products group. But not at any price. If the two sides can't agree, Saint Gobain could go direct to shareholders.
Saint Gobain mulls £3.5bn bid for BPB 22 Jul 2005 At 16 times forward earnings, that may not look cheap for a business at the top of its cycle. But BPB's growth could be worth even more. The French materials conglomerate is expected to offer a big premium for the British plasterboard maker. The British plasterboard leader called the Fench material conglomerate's offer "unwelcome". But a higher price might change its mind. A price of 16 times forward earnings may not look cheap for a business at the top of its cycle. But BPB's growth could be worth even more.