Dividends

Boeing needs MAX insurance more than a dividend

22 January 2020

The $175 bln aircraft giant’s new CEO, David Calhoun, says he won’t cut its $4.6 bln a year dividend. Yet Boeing will burn cash as long as the 737 MAX remains grounded. Borrowing more can paper over problems, but cutting the payout would be prudent in case of further delays.

Sinking Thyssenkrupp needs more than a quick lift

21 November 2019

The German group’s shares fell after it cut its dividend. Selling its elevator unit will raise cash but leave a loss-making rump. With restructuring, the steel-to-ships maker could be worth much more than the current 7.5 bln euros, but boss Martina Merz faces an arduous climb.

New Molson Coors boss mounts Big Beer’s laggard

26 September 2019

The $12 bln brewer’s valuation trails industry peers. A renewed emphasis on marketing might make the difference but could mean less cash for controlling family shareholders. Incoming CEO Gavin Hattersley’s prior record, though, may leave a thirst for higher returns unquenched.

Centrica’s CEO exit is only partially deserved

30 July 2019

Under-fire boss Iain Conn will leave the UK utility next year. Had he quit oil and gas production sooner, Centrica shares might not have dived 70% during his tenure. But preparing an ageing utility for the energy transition while battling state price caps was a thankless task.

Gazprom payout pledge yet to catch fire

31 May 2019

After a management shake-up, the $78 bln gas company says it will pay out half its net income in dividends in coming years. That would please the state, which has been pushing the issue. But the implied dividend yield of 15% suggests investors doubt the bonanza will happen.

Cash is the real prize in oil-patch showdown

26 April 2019

Forget diversification and other strategic chimeras as the rationale for Chevron and Occidental’s $38 bln battle for shale driller Anadarko. It’s all about sating oil investors’ irrational fixation on dividends. Bigger Chevron can pay more, Occidental has the greater need.

Aviva dividend move ends new CEO’s brief honeymoon

7 March 2019

The UK insurer will adopt a flexible approach to payouts rather than distributing a fixed ratio. Investors might have been less vexed had Maurice Tulloch, a company veteran who got promoted, been more specific on what he planned to do with the wiggle room apart from cutting debt.

Plunging GAM shares belie elusive value

13 December 2018

With shares down 80 pct this year, the Swiss asset manager could be a takeover target. Cost savings alone are worth more than its market value. Yet uncertainty may lead clients to pull money, leaving a buyer with little. Fund group valuations are especially blurry in a panic.

GE’s new boss struggles to find the bottom line

30 October 2018

The ailing conglomerate missed sales and earnings estimates and notched a $23 bln loss after a massive power writedown. A 90 pct dividend cut will conserve much-needed cash and shows CEO Larry Culp is serious. Still, there’s little evidence of a turnaround in sight.

AB InBev debt detox points to flat future

25 October 2018

The Bud owner halved its dividend to pay down a debt mountain from buying SABMiller. This should free up $4 bln annually, but it could take eight years to hit its leverage targets. Any more trouble in emerging markets will mean an even longer wait for clear heads.

Lloyds offers shareholders a binary Brexit dare

22 October 2018

The UK bank may buy back 2 billion pounds-worth of stock next year, according to the Financial Times. That could boost annual returns to nearly 15 percent and justify as much as a 40 pct boost to Lloyds' share price – as long as the UK can avoid a messy split from Europe.

Thames Water’s nationalisation barrier has a leak

3 September 2018

The utility is reining in dividends and spending 12 bln pounds to restore ropey infrastructure. Given a Labour government under current opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn might nationalise the sector, caution is wise. But Thames’ inability to cut bills still leaves it an outlier.

Brexit dividend will be cashed in euros

6 July 2018

Nine months before Britain is due to leave the European Union its departure terms remain unclear. Prime Minister Theresa May’s latest plan cannot provide the certainty businesses seek: hence the shifting of investment and people elsewhere. Banks look set to lose whatever happens.

HSBC capital surplus may be hiding in plain sight

26 June 2018

The Asia-focused bank’s shareholders are disappointed by new CEO John Flint’s pledge to merely maintain dividends. A Bank of England review of capital rules is one reason to be cautious. But even with tougher requirements, HSBC could still afford to substantially raise payouts.

Fiat Chrysler investors fear capital-junkie return

1 June 2018

Shares fell 7 pct despite boss Sergio Marchionne's pledge to pay a dividend, cut costs and double profit by 2022. The new plan also includes 9 bln euros for electric cars and a U.S. finance unit. That may worry owners that the CEO’s successor could fall off the spending wagon.

UK slide raises Santander’s modest bar to success

24 April 2018

Net profit in its British unit dropped 21 pct, blotting the Spanish bank’s solid first quarter. Strong growth in Brazil and Spain, however, more than made up for Brexit-related jitters. More of the same should allow Santander to hit its full-year earnings and dividend targets.

Legal woes could impair SocGen’s 2020 vision

29 March 2018

The French lender says it is close to settling with U.S. regulators over investigations relating to Libya and Libor. A sanctions-busting probe could pose a sterner test, though. Any fine above 1.8 bln euros could threaten SocGen’s capital target – and put pressure on dividends.

Ares tax switcheroo may attract few copycats

15 February 2018

The manager of $106 bln in alternative assets is going to pay U.S. corporate tax rather than elect for partnership treatment. That should boost its investment appeal – and, for Ares, the numbers add up. The likes of Blackstone, with lumpier earnings, probably have less to gain.

Intesa dividend pledge depends on Italian growth

6 February 2018

The country’s biggest bank promises 6 bln euros of net profit in 2021 thanks to a push into wealth and insurance products. If CEO Carlo Messina keeps his word, payouts to shareholders over the next four years will be 50 percent higher. But only if there are no upsets at home.

UK pension watchdog needs new tools, and backbone

24 January 2018

Prime minister Theresa May vowed to punish groups that fail to protect retirement benefits, like collapsed outsourcer Carillion. New tools could include fining companies or curbing payouts. But the regulator can do more with the powers it already has to make companies fill gaps.