ECB has the least worrying inflation problem 1 Oct 2021 Euro zone consumer prices rose 3.4% in September, strengthening the hand of those who want boss Christine Lagarde to wind up emergency monetary stimulus. But structural unemployment is higher, the economy less robust and fiscal policy less stimulative than in the United States.
Easing crisis leaves Lagarde with tough transition 30 Sep 2021 The European Central Bank boss will have to fall back on a pre-pandemic bond-buying scheme once its emergency purchase programme runs out. The former is less flexible and may force Christine Lagarde to choose between flouting rules or curtailing support to the fragile economy.
German election offers more continuity than chaos 8 Sep 2021 A three-way coalition may lead the EU’s largest economy after September’s poll. A grouping of left, right, or green lawmakers could take months to form and shirk reforms at home and in Europe. Climate change and the pandemic aftermath will still shape policy for the better.
Ferrari’s new boss faces early electric test 2 Aug 2021 The EU wants to ban new fossil fuel-powered cars from 2035. That’s likely to force incoming CEO Benedetto Vigna to accelerate the $42 bln sports-car maker’s plans to shift to battery power. How to do that without denting its luxury margins will require some deft driving.
ECB’s old problem will defy new strategy 22 Jul 2021 Boss Christine Lagarde revealed the practical consequences of tweaking her inflation target: interest rates may stay at record lows for even longer. But given ultra-easy policy has failed for years to make prices rise faster, the chances of hitting her new goal are no better.
EU dirty money watchdog sounds less toothless 21 Jul 2021 Brussels wants to set up a single agency to prevent future Danske Bank-style scandals. The new body will take time to set up and could be watered down by politicians. But direct oversight of the EU’s riskiest financial entities and scope to levy big fines are a step forward.
European airlines’ CO2 pleas deserve cold shoulder 16 Jul 2021 Trade body IATA is moaning about EU plans to curb emissions by making jet fuel more expensive. Ideas that may add 3% to operating costs over several years aren’t a grounding order. And most of the changes would merely remove existing freebies to align aviation with other sectors.
Lagarde’s green turn may not need to be that sharp 16 Jul 2021 The ECB boss’s 293 bln euro corporate bond programme may soon tilt toward environmental saints and away from sinners. Too heavy a hand could distort markets and inflate green bubbles. But it’s a big enough change for it not to matter if, as seems likely, the intervention is mild.
ECB has reason to leapfrog Fed on digital currency 14 Jul 2021 President Christine Lagarde took the first step towards an electronic euro. China and some others are moving faster. But the innovation may be more useful in the euro zone than in the United States, especially if the ECB can impose negative interest rates directly on households.
The Exchange: American-EU relations return to warm 13 Jul 2021 After four frosty years, Washington and Brussels are back to cooperation on foreign and economic policy, with some big trade wins already on the scoreboard, Ambassador Stavros Lambrinidis tells Rob Cox in an interview hosted by the European-American Chamber of Commerce New York.
EU carbon border levy limbers up for a soft launch 13 Jul 2021 The European Commission will this week set out plans for making companies that export goods to the bloc incorporate the rising cost of carbon. It’s likely to pull its punches. That’s not ideal, but even a watered-down levy would still set an important precedent.
Giant leap for ECB is small step for euro zone 8 Jul 2021 The central bank tweaked its inflation target to stress how much it hates falling short of 2%. And boss Christine Lagarde wants to do her bit to fight climate change. The shifts may be a big deal for a cautious institution, but they won’t produce a revolution in terms of results.
ECB’s risky loan crusade has limits 5 Jul 2021 Top European watchdog Andrea Enria is worried about banks’ exposure to highly indebted buyouts. He’s right to focus on a fast-growing market with weak investor protections. But clamping down risks further undermining sickly lenders and may only push the problem elsewhere.
Vaccine passports are a patchy travel fix 1 Jul 2021 European Union passes went live on Thursday. But even within the bloc there are quibbles over standards and risks from viral variants. At a global level, rifts are amplified. Even with a central authority and consensus on approved jabs, governments can impose their own curbs.
Capital Calls: GameStop is a SPAC now 22 Jun 2021 Concise views on global finance: The meme-stock video-game retailer has raised more cash, making it look like an overvalued cash shell.
Capital Calls: Netflix, Flackless SPAC 21 Jun 2021 Concise views on global finance: The streaming service strikes an agreement with Steven Spielberg’s Amblin Partners; Helicopter-taxi company Blade’s phony spokesperson speaks poorly to investors.
EU bond ban is smarter way to police errant banks 16 Jun 2021 The bloc froze 10 lenders out of its first recovery bond sale because of past market-rigging, the FT reported. The direct hit for JPMorgan and others is small. But they can only rejoin the fold by proving they’ve changed. That’s a keener incentive to stay clean than fines.
Capital Calls: Platinum Equity, FTC chair, Tui 16 Jun 2021 Concise views on global finance: The buyout firm acquires textbook company McGraw Hill and the maker of Singer sewing machines; Joe Biden’s pick for the Federal Trade Commission brings swagger; and another capital hike will still leave the German holiday group heavily indebted.
EU bonds will take shine off Germany’s over time 15 Jun 2021 Investors flocked to buy the maiden issue of the bloc’s 800 bln euro joint funding programme. But the yield is higher than Berlin’s, implying it’s not yet Europe’s safest asset. Closing the gap requires more liquidity and a sustained political commitment. Both seem likely.
The Exchange: EU Trade Commissioner Dombrovskis 8 Jun 2021 With vaccination programs catching up with America and Britain, Europe is poised to rebound, the former Latvian premier, who is also responsible for an “Economy that Works for People,” tells Rob Cox in an interview hosted by the European-American Chamber of Commerce New York.