Budget deal leaves EU isolated in Ukraine aid push 2 Feb 2024 The EU avoided a crisis by salvaging its 50 bln euro funding plan for Kyiv after Hungarian strongman Viktor Orbán fell in line. Europe is, however, isolated in its drive to support Ukraine, as long as a $61 bln similar aid package is stalled in the US Congress.
American unions can’t bargain with the inevitable 1 Feb 2024 Workers in industries from coffee to movies rose up in 2023, but long-term trends are working against organized labor. Some, like auto workers, are a threat to employers. But even there, a combination of legal and societal shifts make for a less-united future.
Financial fallout is hardwired into new nuclear 26 Jan 2024 France’s EDF wants help with the costs of its Hinkley Point C plant, which now exceed 30 bln pounds. Britain can say no, but needs the power. Globally nuclear capacity is supposed to treble by 2050, but future investor, state and customer spats on overruns look inevitable.
Indonesia’s nickel policy looks fragile 26 Jan 2024 Outgoing President Joko Widodo's push to embed the country into electric-vehicle supply chains is under scrutiny ahead of elections next month. Global companies face an anxious wait to see if the policy will be fine-tuned; beyond the polls other threats are piling up too.
Gary Gensler crafts SEC into a mighty sandcastle 25 Jan 2024 The chief US securities watchdog has outpaced predecessors in making rules and extracting penalties from firms like Morgan Stanley and D.E. Shaw. But his aggressive approach has inflamed a wider war on regulation. Gensler’s accomplishments could yet wash away.
ECB is battling an imaginary wage spiral 24 Jan 2024 European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is set to hold rates this week because she fears rising salaries will boost inflation. Yet euro zone workers are getting raises of just 3.8%, down from a year ago. Frankfurt may not want to cheer bigger pay, but it can ignore it.
Red Sea oil tension may revive Russia-Saudi spat 22 Jan 2024 Exchanges of fire between Yemen’s Houthis and the US military have hiked costs for Moscow to ship oil via the Suez Canal to China and India. One upshot could be Russia loses market share to Saudi Arabia. That may reopen the sort of tensions that led to the duo’s 2020 price war.
It will take more than Draghi to boost EU growth 22 Jan 2024 Europe can’t decide if it will be more competitive with open markets or heavily protected national champions, and it wants Mario Draghi to pick. Italy’s former PM is more likely to reflect than resolve tensions among members. But the bloc can’t up its game behind closed doors.
Davos holds up funhouse mirror to shifting world 22 Jan 2024 Delegates from the Middle East and India made a splash at last week’s World Economic Forum, reflecting their wealth and investment appeal. Europeans and Chinese were subdued. Big Tech looks the winner from AI. This year’s Swiss conflab arguably exaggerated more than it distorted.
Capital Calls: Birkenstock 19 Jan 2024 Concise views on global finance: The German sandal maker gets a reality check from investors three months after its much-hyped IPO.
Global risk pile-up penetrates Davos bubble 18 Jan 2024 Nearly 3,000 movers and shakers have converged on the Swiss resort amid crises in the Red Sea, Gaza and Ukraine. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss how Davos-goers unable to ignore these perils are nervously anticipating another Trump presidency.
China’s war on corruption turns into high wire act 18 Jan 2024 Xi Jinping is declaring victory in his decade-long war on graft. He has made more progress than India and the US over the same period by some global standards. Yet the decision to double down on cleaning up the finance sector when the economy is weak could come at a heavy cost.
US Steel deal stokes fiery stakeholder standoff 17 Jan 2024 The $14 bln sale to Nippon Steel is riling workers and politicians. A rival Cleveland-Cliffs bid will attract trustbusters. Staying independent would anger shareholders and squeeze automakers. It epitomizes today’s fraught M&A, but the Japanese buyer is in the strongest position.
Time for EU to assist its solar panel industry 17 Jan 2024 Meyer Burger’s stock tanked 35% after it threatened to shut Europe’s biggest photovoltaic plant unless it gets German incentives. Stuck between US subsidies and cheap Chinese products, continental players are weak. Turning support for fossil fuels into green aid would help.
Economics is pushing US swing voters to pick Trump 16 Jan 2024 The real estate mogul won the Iowa caucus, the first Republican primary in the presidential race. The midwestern state is not a battleground, but hotly contested areas favor him over President Joe Biden. That may be because their residents feel poorer than four years ago.
Reparation bonds could unlock $300 bln for Ukraine 15 Jan 2024 The US and EU are struggling to keep writing mega cheques to Kyiv and reluctant to hand over frozen Russian central bank assets. One alternative is for Ukraine to sell bonds backed by future claims for reparations. It could then use the cash to defend itself against Moscow.
Taiwan navigates new waters with old map 15 Jan 2024 Lai Ching-te has won his independence-leaning party an unprecedented third term. That tees up a deterioration in the island’s relationship with China and will refocus global minds on the costs of a possible confrontation. It puts pressure on Lai to find new ways to minimise risks.
Fujitsu’s tricky UK dilemma: double or quits 12 Jan 2024 The $29 bln Japanese firm’s faulty accounting system led to the convictions of Post Office workers. With 7% of global sales in Britain, Fujitsu may need to offer compensation. But if its reputation means it can’t secure future state contracts, that might not be worth it.
The spectre of Donald Trump hangs over Davos 12 Jan 2024 The former US president is not among the 2,800 business and political leaders converging on the Swiss resort. But his possible return to power will pervade debates about Ukraine, China, and climate change. In 2016, Davos laughed off the idea of a Trump presidency. Not this time.
Political push would unlock EU defence M&A spree 10 Jan 2024 Despite decades of gradual consolidation, Europe’s military industry is fragmented. The sound balance sheets of players like Thales or Leonardo make them fit to team up. A key merger hurdle would be removed if war at the borders pushes governments to align their defence policies.