Microsoft’s G42 deal puts UAE in America’s AI tent 16 Apr 2024 The $3 trln software giant is paying $1.5 bln for a minority stake in Abu Dhabi-based artificial intelligence group G42. Microsoft gets years of cloud storage business. But it also implies an end to the Gulf state’s effort to be a neutral AI counterparty to China and the US.
Salesforce’s activist makeover faces trial by M&A 16 Apr 2024 A swarm of pushy investors last year pushed the software firm into cutting costs, returning capital, and de-emphasizing dealmaking. Now it’s mulling a takeover of $11 bln Informatica, the WSJ says. The price will signal whether founder and CEO Marc Benioff has changed his ways.
Microsoft-backed IPO breaks rule of 40 at bad time 16 Apr 2024 Cybersecurity firm Rubrik is going public despite failing the sector’s metric to judge success. Sure, the company backed by the $3 trln giant is starting to rely on stable subscriptions. But it’s burning cash. Based on others that flout the rule, a low valuation is in store.
Austerity is a bad economic answer at a worse time 16 Apr 2024 While the global economy is running hot right now, the International Monetary Fund warns that long-term growth will be below its 3.8% pre-pandemic trend. The problem is, a familiar prescribed fix of budget cuts and high rates has failed in the past and would do so again today.
Look out for a return of the US bond rollercoaster 16 Apr 2024 As short-term interest rates spiked, longer-term borrowing costs have lagged. The yield on three-month US Treasury bonds has exceeded the return on 10-year securities for 76 weeks, a near record. If this anomaly unwinds, falling bond prices could hurt fund managers and Uncle Sam.
Oil traders make risky bet on calm in Middle East 15 Apr 2024 Crude prices fell after Iran attacked Israel, probably because the Islamic Republic telegraphed its strikes in advance. Still, the unprecedented move may elicit an Israeli response. With oil supplies tightening, regional tensions and prices could yet reset at a higher level.
Goldman’s plan B unexpectedly upgraded to a B-plus 15 Apr 2024 A bond-trading surge helped lift quarterly earnings at David Solomon’s firm to $4.1 bln. Investors prefer stabler revenue sources, and Goldman’s pitch that markets activity is less volatile is born of necessity. Still, it helps that traditional banking has lost some shine.
Prysmian finds sparky US fix for dim cable outlook 15 Apr 2024 The world’s biggest maker of telco and power lines is buying a cash-rich US rival. At $4 bln, the deal is not cheap, and heavy investment in grids has slowed. Still, adding heft to the more attractive North America market should improve the $15 bln Italian company’s prospects.
Middle East is complicating West’s grand strategy 15 Apr 2024 The U.S. and its allies wanted to focus on Russia and China. But the Gaza war - and now a conflict between Iran and Israel - is distracting them. It has also undermined support from poorer nations and boosted Donald Trump’s chances of returning to the White House.
JPMorgan wrestles with the tyranny of expectations 12 Apr 2024 The biggest US bank is avoiding being pinned down on where the economy will go next. Problem is, that’s now the overwhelming focus for investors gauging the banking business. Boss Jamie Dimon only stands to lose from staking a position. The best he can do is plan for the worst.
Market forces knock ominously on US realtors’ door 12 Apr 2024 Home buyers will soon find it easier to negotiate fees they pay to 1.5 mln agents – a move that might have happened earlier in a less distorted market. Some brokers will earn more. But the reforms are likely to shrink the fee pool, which is tricky for ancillary firms like Zillow.
Sotheby’s next hot auction: a Picasso-backed bond 11 Apr 2024 The auctioneer owned by Patrick Drahi is selling securities backed by collectors’ hoards. With only $34 bln of art-based lending, there’s scope to reach more borrowers. But there are good reasons why art, which is hard to verify and value, has resisted slice-and-dice financing.
How Boeing’s woes change everything but planes 11 Apr 2024 Grave problems with the jetmaker’s 737 MAX have sparked a crisis. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain whether rival Airbus offers a template for policymakers, the impact of a US export champion floundering, and why others may struggle to capitalize.
Big banks turn inflationary lemons into lemonade 11 Apr 2024 Stubbornly high consumer prices may delay US monetary easing, a boost to lenders like JPMorgan or Citi that thrive amid high rates. Further relief could come from the dilution of tough new capital rules. For smaller banks, exposed to stressed borrowers, life tastes more sour.
Motor-racing deal faces quick antitrust pitstop 11 Apr 2024 F1 owner Liberty Media is doubling down on sports broadcasting rights with its $4.5 bln buy of MotoGP’s parent. CVC’s 2006 attempt to own both racing series got an EU antitrust black flag. The rise of streaming channels means mogul John Malone will have an easier ride this time.
How Patrick Drahi can clamber out of his debt hole 11 Apr 2024 The tycoon’s Altice telecom empire is straining under $60 bln of borrowings, and creditors of its French unit are gunning for a fight. Yet loose bond terms, and the debt’s low trading prices, lend Drahi an escape route. He just needs to hope investors have short memories.
Powell’s rate cuts may go from steady to steep 10 Apr 2024 Inflation hit 3.5% in March, making a June cut to borrowing costs unlikely. But Fed Chair Jay Powell is running out of time. A decrease in September would be seen to favor President Biden. The November decision is one day post-election. The only other option: take bigger whacks.
EU tech rules bite ever-closer to Apple’s core 10 Apr 2024 As Brussels gains new powers and enforces a March music-streaming ruling, the European Union can finally force Apple to change how the iPhone works with outside developers. A US antitrust case adds pressure. Users may not like the results, which means investors should care too.
Norwegian fund’s podcast guru plays both sides 9 Apr 2024 Nicolai Tangen, head of the country’s $1.6 trln sovereign vehicle, has a side gig hosting interviews with corporate leaders like Elon Musk. The jaunty chats give CEOs cover with one of their few engaged investors. At least the fund is not afraid to vote against his guests.
Tech FOMO prices at a disturbingly high level 9 Apr 2024 Destiny Tech100, a newly listed fund with only $53 mln of stakes in private firms such as SpaceX and OpenAI, is now worth about $700 mln. Investors are clearly overeager to get in earlier on hot trends. A multiple of 13 times net asset value resets the Silicon Valley hype bar.