Columns

Why the dollar keeps winning in the global economy

28 Feb 2023

The greenback’s share of foreign exchange reserves is at 59%, a two-decade low. Challengers to its role as the world’s means of exchange abound. Yet the globalised financial system bolsters its lynchpin status. Absent major shifts in capital flows, the U.S. currency will thrive.

A post-Erdogan Turkey could come in from the cold

27 Feb 2023

Investors shunned the country as the president let inflation rip. He strained relations with the West by cosying up to Putin and did too little on climate change. An opposition win in coming elections, more likely after the recent earthquake, may change all that, says Hugo Dixon.

Hong Kong spreads its wings, and its bets

23 Feb 2023

Expats are sizing up their future in the Asian financial centre, but with reservations. No wonder then that the city’s leader John Lee is pitching for more business from mainland China and from places beyond the West. It would put a new spin on Hong Kong’s global aspirations.

K-pop showdown amplifies shareholder voices

22 Feb 2023

A hostile takeover of South Korean music label SM by rival Hybe, which manages global boy-band sensation BTS, is heading to a ballot. The fierce saga exposes corporate governance woes that plague Asia, but also some unlikely progress. Whichever side prevails, investors win.

Rolling EU debt would boost investment and markets

21 Feb 2023

European Union bonds to fund 900 bln euros in pandemic aid have cheered investors. The bloc needs ongoing debt sales to buoy traders’ confidence, invest cross-border and challenge the U.S. dollar. Separating borrowing plans from spending rows could make the politics possible.

Even a weak Russia is a problem for Europe

20 Feb 2023

A year after Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine, Europe seems destined for an arms race and further economic decoupling from its neighbour. But extra defence spending, lost business and rebuilding costs will be minor compared to a scenario where Moscow crushes Kyiv, says Hugo Dixon.

Economic war with China would be MAD

14 Feb 2023

The prospect of mutually assured destruction averted nuclear conflict during the Cold War. Hopefully, fear of the economic equivalent will stop a showdown with China. But after the shooting down of a Chinese balloon, tensions are rising and errors are possible, says Hugo Dixon.

Japan’s next central bank chief may rue promotion

13 Feb 2023

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda retires in April. His successor’s first task will be to tweak monetary policy without wrecking the $5 trln economy, upending markets or crippling the BOJ’s balance sheet. And that’s just the start of a long to-do list.

Green subsidy race may be what the world needs

6 Feb 2023

High carbon taxes would be the best way to combat climate change. In their absence, subsidies are a good second best. As the global elephants – the U.S., EU and China – roll out financial aid, the key will be to ensure some fair play so others don’t get trampled, says Hugo Dixon.

Trying to bankrupt Russia could backfire

30 Jan 2023

Now that Western allies are supplying tanks to Ukraine, why not also ramp up sanctions on Russian oil and gas? Because doing so would carry big economic risks – and that could undermine Western willingness to continue its vital military support for Kyiv, says Hugo Dixon.