Asia-Pacific

War for Hong Kong talent is Taiwan’s to lose

3 June 2020

The island’s proximity and cultural similarity should appeal to Hong Kongers fleeing Beijing’s crackdown. For its part, the $600 bln economy needs to plug a severe labour shortage and boost investment. But warm political gestures could be offset by bad immigration policies.

Once in a lifetime is our hopeful prediction

2 June 2020

Humanity either learns key lessons from the pandemic, corrects course and becomes a more resilient species. Or it tears further apart and expands the divisions in society that predated Covid-19. In a new e-book on what will change, Breakingviews takes the more optimistic view.

E-book: Once in a Lifetime?

2 June 2020

Humanity either learns key lessons from the pandemic, corrects course and becomes a more resilient species. Or it tears further apart and expands the divisions in society that predated Covid-19. In a new e-book on what will change, Breakingviews takes the more optimistic view.

Corona Capital: Bank fears, Payments M&A, Coal

2 June 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: A new U.S. regulator wants cities to reopen to prevent bank robberies. Western Union may bid for struggling rival MoneyGram. And the pandemic is hastening the decline of U.S. coal.

Even a chastened SoftBank leans on engineering

2 June 2020

Boss Masayoshi Son is scrambling to clean up his “foolish” and costly WeWork mess. Instead of just selling some Alibaba shares, though, he’s using derivatives linked to them to raise $11.5 bln. The transactions are fiddly, but in this case may be a good use of creative finance.

NetEase fortifies itself against global disarray

2 June 2020

The $51 bln video-game producer is ready to raise $2.6 bln in Hong Kong. Quarantined customers have helped it defy a U.S. backlash against Chinese stocks. A secondary listing closer to home, following a tougher trail blazed by Alibaba, should add a useful layer of protection.

Corona Capital: Tech diversity, CNN’s middle age

1 June 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: As big U.S. technology companies’ CEOs speak out about racial inequality, working from home trends could give them a chance to make a real difference; and 24/7 news network CNN feasts on Covid-19 as it turns 40.

India Insight: Mukesh Ambani sets high bar for Jio

1 June 2020

At $68 bln, the tycoon’s telecom operator is being valued like a tech startup. It’s backed by A-list investors from KKR to Facebook, and more are queuing up. Growth has been impressive. But the wannabe super-app could encounter serious competition in the country’s digital race.

U.S. sanctions on China are means without an end

29 May 2020

President Trump says he may penalize PRC officials linked to a new security law for Hong Kong. The first move of its kind would escalate tensions. Yet it probably won’t deter Beijing and could spur retaliation. Unlike tariffs, there's also no clear goal beyond punishment.

Review: MMT lives up to some of its promises

29 May 2020

“The Deficit Myth” clearly explains why governments should aim to balance the economy, not the budget. Stephanie Kelton’s book comes at a good time, as huge deficits will help limit the pandemic’s damage. Unfortunately, Modern Monetary Theory suffers from narrowness and naivete.

German carmakers step on Chinese electric pedal

29 May 2020

VW is taking big stakes in two Chinese EV firms, while Daimler may invest in battery-maker Farasis Energy’s $480 mln IPO. Demand remains tepid, oil is too cheap, and the targets look richly priced. But these deals lock in supply, and position both to compete with Tesla in China.

Corona Capital: Saving/not spending, Pandemic Pig

29 May 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: what to make of falling spending and the growing taste for meat alternatives.

China can live with a less special Hong Kong

28 May 2020

The entrepôt's unique autonomy brought prosperity without Beijing having to cede control of the economy and people. Hong Kong’s importance has dwindled, however, and may even be holding China back. A U.S. move to strip its special status only shows how disposable that status is.

Chinese online tutor gets lesson in multiplication

29 May 2020

GSX Techedu deflected one sloppy short-seller attack and a second sensational one. A third from Muddy Waters calling the $7 bln company a fraud hit as Luckin buckled and Congress moved on U.S.-listed Chinese stocks. Growing scepticism will require targets to have strong defences.

TikTok’s best move is a clean break from ByteDance

28 May 2020

The video app’s Chinese parent is shifting power away from the People’s Republic. That’s unlikely to win over American lawmakers suspicious TikTok will collect consumer data and send it back to Beijing. ByteDance’s most realistic political option is to sell its rising star.

Vacant arenas fortify TV’s financial grip on sport

28 May 2020

When games restart, distancing rules will mean emptier soccer and baseball stadiums. Sports which rely less on live crowds, like golf or Formula 1, may benefit. More home viewers should further boost the value of media rights, already worth $51 bln, and offset lost ticket sales.

Big Tech faces a post-virus global tax onslaught

28 May 2020

The OECD’s efforts to fashion a fairer global tax system are at risk of stalling. France and Britain already levy charges on the revenue of Facebook, Amazon and others. With public debt soaring and the pandemic boosting Big Tech’s sales, a messy patchwork of levies could ensue.

Viewsroom: Hong Kong crunch

28 May 2020

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo declared the Asian financial hub no longer autonomous from China, days after Beijing unveiled plans to ban sedition and subversion there. Breakingviews columnists in the city untangle what it means amid the trade war, pandemic and protests.

Corona Capital: GE cash burn, Macy’s lifeline

28 May 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: General Electric’s cash flow will be more negative than expected as Covid-19 damages its aviation and power businesses; and U.S. department-store chain Macy’s borrows more, buying time but not much else.

Hong Kong financiers face Man Group’s terror

28 May 2020

During China’s 2015 crash, police detained the China chief of the British hedge fund and others; some state media blamed foreigners for sabotaging markets. Beijing’s proposed new security law will extend this attitude to Hong Kong. Bankers should worry as much as protesters.