Asia-Pacific

China’s EU reply cuts odds of damaging tit-for-tat

8 Oct 2024

Days after Brussels voted for electric-vehicle tariffs, Beijing penalised European brandy. Pork, dairy and pricey cars may be next. Yet the moves are well-flagged. And more damaging retorts, like hitting luxury or $9 bln of aircraft-linked imports, seem unlikely for now.

Decoding the puzzle of SoftBank’s Masayoshi Son

8 Oct 2024

The Japanese tycoon shaped global technology while building and losing vast fortunes. How does he keep going? In the first episode of Breakingviews’ new podcast, The Big View, former FT editor Lionel Barber discusses what he uncovered in his biography of Son, ‘Gambling Man’.

China’s stock euphoria is primed to disappoint

8 Oct 2024

Mainland bourses staged a weaker-than-expected rally after a week-long holiday and shares in Hong Kong plunged. Valuations are cheap and funds remain underweight. But China is vulnerable to more boom-and-busts until Beijing girds its economic pledges with fiscal stimulus.

Hong Kong bourse can go harder on tycoons

8 Oct 2024

Proposed rules aim to make companies listed on the $5 trln market more accountable to independent shareholders. But the changes don’t fully ensure investors’ ability to scrutinise deals or increase their say in board appointments, leaving moguls’ influence unnecessarily intact.

Rio boss may be about to eat his M&A words

7 Oct 2024

Jakob Stausholm is in talks to buy Arcadium Lithium, soon after saying deals only make sense if cost cuts cover the premium. On that score, he can perhaps offer a 40% bump, valuing his prey at $4.2 bln. With one investor wanting double that, Stausholm faces an unpalatable choice.

China’s consumers regain some lost lustre

7 Oct 2024

Daily cross-border travel is forecast to rise 19% for this year's Golden Week holiday, above pre-Covid volumes. Gamblers have also returned to Macau. Consumption bright spots are scarce, but more middle-class spending will stir hopes that Beijing's stimulus might gain traction.

Tokyo Metro IPO is a big deal with big caveats

7 Oct 2024

Japan’s largest listing in half a decade comes to market with rising passenger traffic and solid earnings to back its $2 bln share sale. The subway operator also carries a sizable debt load and a massive stock overhang that raises questions about the government's ownership.

EV tariffs are only the first step in EU-China war

4 Oct 2024

Despite internal squabbles, member states voted for levies on imported Chinese battery cars. That may help onshore production, but doesn’t tackle China’s clout in hybrid vehicles and batteries. New trade battles are likely: autos and their supply chains are in the firing line.

Hong Kong economic pain is marginal gain for LME

4 Oct 2024

Port activity and land prices have fallen so far that the London Metal Exchange is eyeing warehouses in the financial hub. That may spur more Chinese buyers to use the bourse. But despite more than a decade of Hong Kong ownership, storage in mainland China remains out of reach.

China and India reveal emerging market mistakes

3 Oct 2024

Investors often assume stocks in developing countries track economic growth, while valuations are a guide to future returns. The diverging path of Chinese and Indian equities over the past decade shows the flaws in this approach. Better to pay attention to capital efficiency.

Hybrids snag precarious pole position at BYD

3 Oct 2024

The $122 bln automaker is on track to sell more models powered by both a battery and gasoline than pure electric vehicles this year. Accelerating exports help drive sales of hybrids. But competition, climate goals and protectionism all complicate an overseas push.

Bain jets towards first-class lounge Down Under

2 Oct 2024

The private equity firm is selling 25% of Virgin Australia to Qatar Airways for an undisclosed sum ahead of an IPO. Fold in last year’s dividend recap and assume it’s growing like larger rival Qantas, and the airline is en route to delivering Bain a sky-high 40%-plus return.

AI’s next feat will be its descent from the cloud

2 Oct 2024

Tech giants hoping to spend $1 trln on data centres are struggling to secure power supplies and space. That bolsters the case for smaller artificial intelligence models that can run on devices, not a remote platform. Phone and laptop makers from Apple to Lenovo stand to benefit.

Murdoch leaves Rightmove little room for error

1 Oct 2024

The Australian tycoon’s REA Group walked away after four rejected bids for the UK property listings portal, prompting the latter’s shares to slump. Rightmove can get to the offer price if it grows revenue at 11% a year and keeps its 75% margin. But that’s not simple to do.

Autos’ car crash ups the likelihood of EU airbags

30 Sep 2024

Stellantis and Volkswagen delivered big profit warnings, amid falling demand for cars. Their woes may encourage policymakers to vote through tariffs on Chinese rivals and go easy on EU carbon fines. But falling output and strained consumers mean carmakers need self-help too.

China plays perilous game of pump the stock market

30 Sep 2024

Shares in consumer and real-estate firms have jumped more than a fifth after the latest round of state support raised hopes of a broad recovery. The risk is that when policymakers in Beijing flesh out their plans, the details will fall short of what investors are expecting.

India’s Swiggy tries enticing IPO bargain hunters

30 Sep 2024

The money-losing food delivery group is eyeing a valuation of up to $15 bln, or 10 times forecast sales, in its debut. That’s a sensible discount to profitable and faster-growing rival Zomato. The bet is that customer loyalty and improving earnings will help Swiggy catch up.

Japan’s next PM keeps rate hikes on track

27 Sep 2024

The country’s central bank will welcome news that Shigeru Ishiba is the new prime minister. His rival had blasted tighter monetary policy. Governor Kazuo Ueda is in no rush to raise borrowing costs from 0.25% but the political leadership is unlikely to attack him when he does.

Hong Kong property tycoons enter brave new world

26 Sep 2024

Embattled developer New World may replace its CEO, the third-generation scion of the founding Cheng clan, amid a deepening real estate slump. Such a move is nearly unheard of in the city dominated by family-run conglomerates. It will put peers like Henderson Land on notice.

China’s march to strong yuan is long and perilous

26 Sep 2024

President Xi Jinping wants a more powerful currency. This means increased usage of the renminbi in global payments and central bank reserves, rather than replacing the dollar. But Beijing’s desires for bigger forex heft clash with its need to keep a tight grip on the economy.