Americas

Coty’s listing treatment is just cosmetic

26 Sep 2023

The $10 bln US-traded beauty firm is going against the tide with a dual listing in Paris. That may give it more visibility with European investors and the funds will cut its debt. But it won’t reduce the risk of its luxury clients boosting their own cosmetic and perfume arms.

EU regulators have tech giants in their sights

26 Sep 2023

Brussels is taking on the likes of Amazon and Apple with a slew of new rules aimed at curbing market dominance and taking back control over data. Former EU Commission economist Bertin Martens explains to The Exchange podcast how the industry giants could be forced to open up.

Amazon’s AI bulk-up merits the risk of a bust-up

25 Sep 2023

An agreement to plow up to $4 bln into artificial-intelligence startup Anthropic could give the tech giant’s cloud arm, crucial to its valuation, a growth boost. Despite the risks of a costly AI arms race or catching regulators’ ire, placing this catch-up bet makes sense.

Hollywood’s brief thaw belies a long winter

25 Sep 2023

The film and TV writers’ union has tentatively agreed to a contract. That will gin up content production for streaming services that came to a screeching halt during a five-month strike. The trouble is the entertainment complex from acting to distribution is flawed.

Entain’s troubles may entice MGM into a fresh punt

25 Sep 2023

Shares in the $8 bln gambling firm fell 10% after an unexpected sales warning. An Australian slowdown and regulatory heat in the UK, its biggest market, are tricky to fix. But the more Entain’s stock sinks, the more $13 bln MGM may consider renewing its dormant bid interest.

Western rival to Belt and Road has much to prove

25 Sep 2023

The G7’s $600 bln plan to compete with China’s flagging investment push has launched splashy railway and energy schemes in Africa and Asia. But governments and private investors haven’t put up much cash. It’s also unclear how poor countries will avoid debt traps, says Hugo Dixon.

Carmakers will blink first in union standoff

22 Sep 2023

The UAW is expanding strikes at GM and Stellantis, but not at Ford, where the union sees progress. Divide-and-conquer will stretch labor funds and selectively boost the financial impact – some $48 mln a week at the F-Series pickup manufacturer alone. Workers have the upper hand.

Uncle Sam risks recession by a thousand cuts

22 Sep 2023

A government stoppage would shave a sliver from US economic expansion. Restarting student loan payments will have a similar effect. Add striking autoworkers, high oil prices and costly mortgages, and 0.8% growth forecast for the fourth quarter and 0.5% in early 2024 look shaky.

Permira will have to work to exit classified hole

22 Sep 2023

The buyout firm has teamed up with Blackstone to take Norway’s Adevinta private. Its initial outlay in 2021 is under water after a tech downturn battered the $11 bln company’s valuation. Permira’s hopes of a decent return rest on turbocharging sales and tangibly hiking margins.

UFC’s Saudi challenge may be less than a body blow

22 Sep 2023

After its WWE merger, the mixed martial arts promoter’s $15 bln parent TKO faces a smack from Saudi-backed PFL. But the latter is targeted more at non-US fans, a lesser market for UFC. Saudi may also struggle to scale up enough to deliver the knockout blow it managed with golf.

M&A spillover in India-Canada fight hurts everyone

22 Sep 2023

As bilateral relations sour over a murder, tycoon Sajjan Jindal is going slow on his planned $8 bln consortium bid led by JSW Steel for Vancouver-based Teck’s coal assets. The stalling hurts the buyer and the seller, and India’s diversification ambitions a bit more.

Capital Calls: US budget

21 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy is siding with hardline conservatives to fund the government. Empowering the further-right flank narrows the already slim odds of new Ukraine aid, cannabis reform and crypto clarity.

Rupert Murdoch will redefine chair emeritus

21 Sep 2023

The 92-year-old media mogul is ceding his role co-running the Fox and News Corp boards, accepting the retirement honorific as his son Lachlan takes charge. By tiptoeing out, he at least cements succession. There can be no doubt, however, that his ongoing presence will be felt.

Cisco’s $28 bln spelunking yields dicey deal

21 Sep 2023

Buying data and security outfit Splunk could increase recurring revenue at the $215 bln networking giant. Cisco is also paying a low multiple. But the two don’t have much overlap, and Splunk’s cloud-based business needs work. Cisco bears execution risk, which hinges on growth.

Listing duo offers followers a cautious playbook

21 Sep 2023

Chip designer Arm and grocery delivery company Instacart have secured relatively successful stock launches, offering hope of a wider reopening of the IPO market. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how cornerstone investors and lowly valuations helped.

Oil spike offers only a brief boon for Fed and MbS

21 Sep 2023

Crude prices are up 25% since July, swelling the Saudi crown prince’s budget. Fed boss Jay Powell wins too: he can use it to justify inflation-busting high rates. Yet long-term, a surfeit of energy demand over supply will complicate life for both central bankers and oil tsars.

Fed clarity effectively sends a strong buy signal

20 Sep 2023

Benchmark US interest rates probably will hover around 5.5% for a while. A stable cost of capital gives companies, consumers and investors good reason to stop putting off decisions any longer. It should help resolve valuation ambiguities and restart M&A, IPO and housing activity.

Anti-obesity drugs can shrink more than patients

20 Sep 2023

Wegovy and other weight-loss treatments could transform public health. That may hurt medical, food and fitness companies, while potentially affecting activities from drinking to gambling. This shrinking revenue demands a new investment concept: total unaddressable markets.

Capital Calls: Disney, Cazoo

20 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: Boss Bob Iger’s $60 bln splash on theme parks and cruises invites further scrutiny of the Magic Kingdom’s wild cash flow ride; the UK-based online car retailer, valued at $7 bln in a SPAC deal two years ago, is handing the keys to bondholders.

Instacart under-promises in hope of overdelivering

19 Sep 2023

The grocery delivery service’s shares started trading at $42 apiece, 40% higher than where it priced last night. That may seem wacky, but at $14 bln, Instacart is still reasonably valued. In this market, it’s a wise strategy for boss Fidji Simo.