EMEA

Permira will have to work to exit classified hole

22 Sep 2023

The buyout firm has teamed up with Blackstone to take Norway’s Adevinta private. Its initial outlay in 2021 is under water after a tech downturn battered the $11 bln company’s valuation. Permira’s hopes of a decent return rest on turbocharging sales and tangibly hiking margins.

UFC’s Saudi challenge may be less than a body blow

22 Sep 2023

After its WWE merger, the mixed martial arts promoter’s $15 bln parent TKO faces a smack from Saudi-backed PFL. But the latter is targeted more at non-US fans, a lesser market for UFC. Saudi may also struggle to scale up enough to deliver the knockout blow it managed with golf.

Capital Calls: US budget

21 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy is siding with hardline conservatives to fund the government. Empowering the further-right flank narrows the already slim odds of new Ukraine aid, cannabis reform and crypto clarity.

Listing duo offers followers a cautious playbook

21 Sep 2023

Chip designer Arm and grocery delivery company Instacart have secured relatively successful stock launches, offering hope of a wider reopening of the IPO market. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how cornerstone investors and lowly valuations helped.

Central banks start game of chicken over rate cuts

21 Sep 2023

Officials in Sweden and Norway hiked borrowing costs, while their British peers didn’t. All hinted policy will stay tight, fearing that stoking expectations of an early start of the loosening cycle may fuel inflation. An economic slowdown may prompt rate-setters to be less tough.

Oil spike offers only a brief boon for Fed and MbS

21 Sep 2023

Crude prices are up 25% since July, swelling the Saudi crown prince’s budget. Fed boss Jay Powell wins too: he can use it to justify inflation-busting high rates. Yet long-term, a surfeit of energy demand over supply will complicate life for both central bankers and oil tsars.

Saudi’s $700 bln PIF is odd sort of sovereign fund

21 Sep 2023

Hyperactive transactions, erratic funding and an unusual asset mix set the kingdom’s Public Investment Fund apart from more cautious state-run investors. As Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman tries to reach $2 trln by 2030, the PIF will keep making headlines – both good and bad.

Anti-obesity drugs can shrink more than patients

20 Sep 2023

Wegovy and other weight-loss treatments could transform public health. That may hurt medical, food and fitness companies, while potentially affecting activities from drinking to gambling. This shrinking revenue demands a new investment concept: total unaddressable markets.

Capital Calls: Disney, Cazoo

20 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: Boss Bob Iger’s $60 bln splash on theme parks and cruises invites further scrutiny of the Magic Kingdom’s wild cash flow ride; the UK-based online car retailer, valued at $7 bln in a SPAC deal two years ago, is handing the keys to bondholders.

Britain is tossing aside its last green trump card

20 Sep 2023

PM Rishi Sunak may defer UK targets for electric vehicles and eco-friendly houses. Juicy US subsidies had already dented Britain’s claims to net-zero leadership, but political backing was a clear signal for green investment. Watering that down is an act of financial self-harm.

UBS bondholders tee up risky goldfish impression

20 Sep 2023

The $84 bln bank may issue contingent convertible bonds, months after a state-led takeover of Credit Suisse burned the defunct lender’s debt. Market prices suggest it may not pay a big penalty for Switzerland’s sins. That invites bank overseers to burn other CoCos in future.

Capital Calls: Four-day workweek

19 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: US Senator Bernie Sanders joined striking autoworkers in urging a conversation about shortening the workweek. Rising productivity has long enabled labor to win fewer hours. With disruptive new technologies rising, bigger victories make sense.

How Ukraine’s banks can survive another war

19 Sep 2023

The country’s former central bank Governor Valeria Gontareva explains on The Exchange podcast how the radical steps implemented in 2014 helped Ukrainian lenders withstand the Russian invasion and kept the financial system afloat, and why Ukraine needs to keep reforming.

Sunak and Bailey agree on higher UK rates, for now

19 Sep 2023

The PM and the Bank of England chief both favour raising borrowing costs in the short run to curb price growth. But their paths may soon diverge. Downing Street would love easier monetary policy before an election in late 2024. The BoE cannot relent until inflation hits 2%.

Big oil lawsuits are riskier than quitting tobacco

18 Sep 2023

California is suing fossil-fuel companies, alleging tens of billions in climate-related damages. Decades of litigation forced tobacco firms to pay up. The tension is that, while global warming’s ravages imply higher costs, US oil production is crucial amid tightening supply.

Capital Calls: Planet Fitness

18 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: The gym chain’s share price hit a three-year low on news of its longtime boss’s exit. Rising interest rates have made it costlier to open new locations. Boosting prices could help, as it has at rival Life Time.

Prosus CEO exit leaves Tencent elephant in room

18 Sep 2023

Bob van Dijk has quit as boss of the $380 bln Chinese giant’s top investor. Interim CEO Ervin Tu can call for more asset sales to boost Prosus’ returns. But without a plan to move on from a status quo where Tencent makes up three-quarters of the portfolio, its valuation will lag.

SocGen chief gives investors risky cold shower

18 Sep 2023

The 19 bln euro French bank’s new CEO Slawomir Krupa wants his bank to run with lower costs by 2026. Société Générale’s below-par valuation might then recover. But lowly growth forecasts in the meantime make this an unappetising blend of thin gruel today, with only future hope.

Less ethical US foreign policy requires new logic

18 Sep 2023

When Joe Biden took office he promised to put human rights at the heart of international affairs. The president is now cosying up to regimes like Vietnam to contain China and build new supply chains. That makes sense, but Biden should explain his approach better, says Hugo Dixon.

Guest view: Bank balance sheets hide climate risks

15 Sep 2023

While regulators fret about lenders’ exposure to higher interest rates, the dangers from global warming are building in the shadows. Unless banks reset their financial statements, investors and the planet will be worse off, writes Natasha Landell-Mills of Sarasin & Partners.