Exxon and gas markets tell different stories 26 Apr 2024 CEO Darren Woods denies fossil fuels are in decline, thanks to growing populations and rising petrochemicals demand. Yet a glut of natural gas – which reined in quarterly profit at Exxon and rival Chevron – is a real problem, and one that could weigh on prices for a long time.
Thoma Bravo UK cyber deal looks a little too good 26 Apr 2024 The buyout firm finally agreed a takeover of long-term target Darktrace, an IT security specialist. Despite the generous-looking 44% premium on offer, the buyer’s returns seem juicy given a nascent US push. That may raise the chance of shareholders asking for more money.
CVC’s Darwinian pay policy puts rivals on the spot 26 Apr 2024 The buyout shop, which manages $200 bln, allocates 40% of fund profits to staff on a deal-by-deal basis, rather than pooling the spoils. Rivals say it hurts teamwork, but CVC’s returns suggest it works. If the newly public firm keeps out-raising peers, others may follow suit.
Who can serve up the Goldilocks recipe for AI? 25 Apr 2024 Investors slapped down Facebook owner Meta for hefty spending on artificial intelligence with uncertain returns. Conversely, they have feted chipmaker Nvidia for its real-life revenue from AI tools. Microsoft and Alphabet are doing a decent job of landing in the middle.
Detroit’s revenue engines finally start to fire 25 Apr 2024 Ford and GM haven’t grown US electric sales since 2022, despite investing billions of dollars. But under the hood, GM’s new models are gaining momentum, and Ford is focusing on its cash-generating trucks and vans. It helps that they are accelerating in different directions.
US economy is a victim of its own success 25 Apr 2024 The United States emerged as the world’s growth engine at the IMF summit last week. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists debate whether this debt-fuelled strength means that interest rates will stay high for longer and how that could raise the risk of a recession.
Vote no to bashing proxy advisers 25 Apr 2024 Corporate leaders at JPMorgan and AstraZeneca bridle when ISS and Glass Lewis criticize their governance. No wonder: Some high-stakes shareholder votes this year will be uncomfortable for feather-bedded bosses. Proxy firms are problematic, but they do more good than harm.
Meta’s spending habits have strange power to shock 24 Apr 2024 The Instagram owner lost 16%, or $200 bln, of market cap after saying 2024 capex could hit $40 bln, more than flagged earlier. Maybe a debut dividend dazed investors, but boss Mark Zuckerberg’s track record leaves little doubt he’ll run full throttle into a cutthroat AI race.
Silicon Valley models value of noncompete ban 24 Apr 2024 A new FTC rule forbids US companies from stopping employees joining a rival, or starting one. Freeing up opportunities for a fifth of the workforce should boost pay. California’s tech hub also showcases other benefits of labor mobility. Intel, for example, exists because of it.
TikTok’s fate matters only up to a point for Meta 24 Apr 2024 Under a new US law, owner ByteDance is likely to sell the app without its secret sauce, suffer a ban or win a court challenge. Mark Zuckerberg’s social-media colossus should capitalize on the first two scenarios. Even the third allows it to make decent headway against its rival.
How one firm made child’s play of tricky M&A games 24 Apr 2024 Imagine buying a company without tedious negotiations, rival bids or pricey premiums. A Saudi investor pulled it off by snapping up enough shares to gain control of US retailer The Children’s Place. The feat will be hard to replicate, but there’s now a model for deal masterminds.
Tesla thumbs a ride on uncertain low-cost future 23 Apr 2024 Elon Musk’s automaker is accelerating a plan to make cheaper electric car models. Yet its recent performance disappointed, and rivals like GM are resurgent. Tesla wants investors to believe the future will be better than the present, and as good as the past. It’s a stretch.
Cruise-ship IPO bets the rich will always float 23 Apr 2024 Viking is seeking an $11 bln valuation in its US listing — a premium price relative to the larger Carnival and Royal Caribbean. As ballast, it offers a focus on high-end customers and less debt than peers. Investors will be reliant on the whims of the few, in more ways than one.
Kate Spade deal veto is lucky dip for trustbusters 23 Apr 2024 US competition cops want to stop Tapestry, owner of the handbag brand, from buying rival Capri. The $8.5 bln merger is a tempting target: well-known products, few political issues, and none of Big Tech’s mighty resources. That offers a chance to road-test novel legal theories.
World economy’s star athlete may run out of puff 23 Apr 2024 The IMF crowned the United States as the champion of global growth at last week's summit. A predicted rise in GDP of 2.7% this year is welcome as Europe and China struggle. But high debt and hard-to-repeat gains in productivity and the workforce will limit American staying power.
ValueAct’s reputation gamble in Japan pays off 23 Apr 2024 The U.S. fund prefers to chide companies in private but publicly lost its temper last year with Seven & i. Now the $34 bln owner of the 7-Eleven convenience outlet is spinning out its superstores. It vindicates an unusual move for ValueAct, though the financial reward is muted.
Private credit paints a new scream for banks 22 Apr 2024 Lending against wealthy patrons’ art has been dominated by financial institutions. Sotheby’s $700 mln sale of bonds backed by such loans offers non-bank rivals a template to upend the status quo. A rebounding securitization market can feed this machine, if it fits a careful mold.
Paramount’s sale cries out for intervention 19 Apr 2024 Shari Redstone is mulling a deal for control of the $8 bln media company with unclear upside for other shareholders. The math can just work, but a bid from Apollo would offer a safer payday. The choice is clear, even if independent investors can do nothing but press their case.
Winner’s curse unfairly haunts $7 bln paper deal 19 Apr 2024 UK-based Mondi dropped its pursuit of DS Smith, handing victory to rival US bidder International Paper. The victor’s shares have lagged the sector, suggesting its investors see little value in the deal. If the promised cost savings appear, that view may be too pessimistic.
ESG is ghost at global retailers’ annual feast 19 Apr 2024 LVMH, Amazon and peers gathered in Paris for the industry’s yearly shindig. The growth areas in the $30 trln sector are Shein-style cheap garments and the Middle East. Both jar with retailers’ previous focus on environmental, social and governance factors.