Calculators

Deal odds in the face of market pain

19 May 2022

Market pain is changing the math for arbitrageurs, as targets' shares may drop further if mergers fail. A Breakingviews calculator shows the odds of a deal going through. Run the numbers here.

How much is Wise worth?

5 Jul 2021

The money-changing app is listing in London without setting a price. Its worth depends largely on how much more foreign-exchange business CEO Kristo Käärmann can win from banks. A Breakingviews calculator shows Wise is due a roughly 20% upgrade from last year’s $5 bln price tag.

Calculator: Didi’s valuation drive

16 Jun 2021

China’s Uber is hoping its IPO will raise $10 bln, which would give it a $100 bln price tag. Justifying that target on current form requires a rich valuation multiple on par with the one sported by Southeast Asian super-app Grab. Barring that, Didi will need to accelerate growth.

AT&T’s value gap

19 May 2021

The telecom giant ditched its content ambitions, merging assets with Discovery. That has crystalized the amount of value that the new company has to increase before AT&T shareholders can get their money back.

Exxon Mobil-Chevron deal options

10 Feb 2021

The two U.S. energy giants have discussed combining. Either one could buy the other at a premium, or they could try a merger of equals. The financial shape of the combined company would be different in each case.

Wells Fargo: Finance’s dark horse

14 Jan 2021

Charlie Scharf is intent on cutting costs at the scandal-plagued U.S. lender he runs – and there’s a lot of lost ground to recover. This calculator shows how much Wells Fargo could be worth if he can bring it in line with more efficient rivals.

Ant’s valuation hill

9 Sep 2020

The Chinese fintech giant could raise up to $30 bln in what would be the world's largest IPO. Its value is largely predicated on fees for matching customers to financial services providers. At current rates, $275 bln is possible, but even small changes could make a big difference.

European banks’ bad-debt pain threshold

27 Apr 2020

The continent’s major lenders have bigger capital buffers and are getting help from regulators. However, their balance sheets are expanding and income is dropping, while many borrowers are at risk of default. This calculator shows what level of bad loans banks can safely absorb.

Oil producers face their moment of truth

9 Apr 2020

After sparking a destructive price war last month, Russia and Saudi will discuss output cuts. Failure to agree could see supply bust through storage limits, sending prices below $20 a barrel. But, as a Breakingviews calculator shows, the required reductions are unprecedented.

Robo-taxis’ earnings horsepower

3 Mar 2020

General Motors reckons autonomous cabs can be a $1 trln market in the United States alone. That requires some heady assumptions about how cheap running such a service can be, and how many people can be persuaded to ditch car ownership for robo-rides.