George Hay coordinates European financial coverage and writes about macroeconomics, the euro zone and UK/European financial policy. He covered European banks for Breakingviews during the financial crisis, and has also worked as a correspondent for AFX News and at United Business Media. He attended Edinburgh University and his work has been recognised at the UK’s Business Journalist of the Year Awards.
As the year closes, oil prices have fallen to well below highs that riled the U.S. president. The risk is OPEC supply cuts and sanctions on Iran will send them back up. Yet scope to influence the kingdom on output – as well as its behaviour in the region - gives him a hedge.
The commodities giant’s combative boss says he will retire in 3 to 5 years. It’s unclear who will replace him, even after a recent reshuffle. With a U.S. subpoena and other woes weighing heavily on the stock, Ivan Glasenberg may yet be tempted to consider a much bolder overhaul.
After two sharp corrections in 2018, U.S. earnings multiples are near 10-year averages. Yet aside from the dot-com bubble, U.S. stock valuations have never been higher in cyclically adjusted terms. With leading economic indicators stretched, they may be built on sand.