Australia

Weaker Aussie jobs clear fiscal spending path

19 September 2019

More people worked Down Under in August, mostly because of an increase in part-time positions. Overall unemployment ticked higher to 5.3%. It makes another interest rate cut more likely, but goosing government outlays would be a more effective option for the cooling economy.

Dairy deal Down Under unlocks China prize

17 September 2019

State-backed Mengniu wants to buy Bellamy’s, a maker of infant formula, for some $980 mln. The premium looks frothy, and such tie-ups have soured before. But if local ties mean licences and an Aussie brand lures wealthy buyers, shareholders are right to bet on success.

Airlines flash economic warning lights Down Under

22 August 2019

Profit at Qantas and Air New Zealand fell, hurt both by pricey fuel and headwinds at home. Corporate and discount travellers alike are pulling back, and neither carrier is offering much future guidance. Any benefits of rock-bottom interest rates are taking time to trickle down.

BHP boss makes himself tougher act to follow

20 August 2019

The miner reported a record $3.9 bln final dividend alongside its highest earnings in five years. Even as CEO Andrew Mackenzie conserves cash ahead of economic clouds and the end of his tenure, he has fulfilled shareholder return pledges. Any successor will face harder choices.

Iron ore feels the pinch of Beijing’s restraint

15 August 2019

Prices of the steel ingredient have cooled, as a supply squeeze fades but a hoped-for Chinese boost to demand remains elusive. Mainland growth is lacklustre, but construction has yet to rev up in response. Stimulus this time may not mean more bridges: bad news for Rio and peers.

Australia’s largest bank deserves reality discount

7 August 2019

CBA reported a disappointing 5% drop in full-year earnings and dashed hopes for a special dividend. That reflects slower growth and higher costs Down Under. Yet the $95 bln lender still trades at roughly twice its book value. A correction is underway, and overdue.

KKR gets a biscuit LBO do-over Down Under

2 August 2019

The private equity fund that invented the cookie buyout is acquiring Campbell's Australian snacks unit for $2.2 bln. It’s less audacious than the $25 bln RJR Nabisco deal 30 years ago. But if KKR can scrape out decent growth and profitability, this one may prove tastier.

Glencore coal split could scratch multiple itches

2 August 2019

The $42 bln giant is the largest thermal coal exporter, at a time when miners are under growing pressure to clean up. Splitting out that business would help, and can also lift a depressed valuation. It might even make sense for boss Ivan Glasenberg to lead the carve-out himself.

Aussie monetary future is everyone else’s past

31 July 2019

Australia managed to avoid the ultra-low rates other countries have shouldered for years. Now growth is slowing, and it is up against the limits of conventional policy. An improvement in second-quarter inflation and a cheerier end to 2019 won't change the need for new tools.

Macquarie is both target and role model on pay

24 July 2019

Aussie watchdogs are cracking down on bank remuneration, and a group of shareholders plans to contest Macquarie’s pay at this year’s shareholder meeting. That’s odd, because Macquarie’s practices are pretty sensible – and its rewards pale versus poorer performers on Wall Street.

RBS turnaround boss can repeat trick Down Under

19 July 2019

Ross McEwan has been named CEO of National Australia Bank, the lender worst hit by a bruising inquiry into misconduct. He's a welcome arrival at a low point. But he'll need to draw on his Edinburgh nous to rebuild trust and overhaul the group, as the economy cools.

Rio sounds copper warning from Mongolian steppe

16 July 2019

The miner's flagship Oyu Tolgoi expansion will be up to 30 months late, and could cost as much as a third more than planned. It’s a fresh blow to a project that has been bruised by local politics. The latest snag is a reminder of why the red metal has become so hard to dig up.

Potash makes better sense for BHP than shale

20 June 2019

The miner is weighing whether to press ahead with a $20 bln Canadian project, its most significant investment in years. BHP shareholders, scarred from past blunders, are understandably wary. There may be a case, though, that potash will be more like iron ore than fracked oil.

Iron ore complicates Australia’s growth challenge

12 June 2019

The rising price of the steel ingredient has yet to boost investment in mining, or wages. But it is making the local dollar more resilient to trade tensions and a rate cut. That means the economy, expanding at its slowest annual rate in a decade, is even harder to revive.

Rare earths expose the trouble with next-gen M&A

6 June 2019

Beijing's threat to squeeze sales of the minerals has boosted $1.3 bln Lynas, one of few non-Chinese producers. That’s a blow for suitor Wesfarmers. It's also a reminder of how limited targets and opaque prices have challenged corporate heavyweights looking to tap new metals.

Thrice-ditched Aussie telco has its work cut out

5 June 2019

Swedish fund EQT has dropped its toppy $2.3 bln bid for Vocus after due diligence. Shares dropped 20%. It’s the third financial buyer to walk since 2017. It casts doubt on the target’s efforts to integrate deals. New boss Kevin Russell has to find a way to dial up confidence.

Aussie rate cut demands fiscal backup

4 June 2019

The RBA trimmed its benchmark interest rate to a record low 1.25% from 1.5%. Another chop is expected, which would bring closer the limits of conventional monetary policy. It puts the onus on Scott Morrison’s government to loosen purse strings and avoid mistakes made elsewhere.

Macau mogul picks up Crown jewels for a song

30 May 2019

Lawrence Ho is buying 20% of his former partner’s Australian casino operator for $1.2 bln, less than rival Wynn earlier indicated it might pay. A bet Down Under could play well for the New York-listed group but James Packer’s partial exit is a raw deal for other shareholders.

Aussie telco buyout exhibits fibre-optic fever

28 May 2019

Sweden’s EQT has offered to buy Vocus for $2.3 bln, a 35% premium to its undisturbed price and far higher than 2017 bids from KKR and Affinity. The price reflects hype around fancy fibre networks, which may not last. Shareholders will be grateful for the opportunity to exit.

Mother Earth loses the Australian election

20 May 2019

Prime Minister Scott Morrison's coalition held power over a Labor party that campaigned on climate change and was tipped to win for over a year. Some wealthy seats backed the cause, but most voters were alarmed at the economic cost. It’s a bad sign for the world from Down Under.