US bid has paper-thin lead in packaging M&A race 5 Apr 2024 Tennessee-based International Paper pegged the savings from a proposed all-share deal with DS Smith at $500 mln. If they’re viable, they help keep the US group’s investors on side. The onus is now on rival bidder Mondi to offer more, or show its own cost cuts would be higher.
Ben & Jerry’s rocky ESG road bucks vanilla trends 4 Apr 2024 The purpose-driven ice cream brand is being scooped out of Unilever as corporate activism increasingly invites controversy. And yet the maker of flavors like Empower Mint has grown faster than its parent. Social values, especially when authentic, can mix well with financial aims.
A Dr Martens sale may cause multiple blisters 4 Apr 2024 An investor thinks the struggling $1 bln UK bootmaker could sell itself. Low valuations may woo buyers, but a bid is unlikely to make up for a 75% share slide since the group’s IPO. A rushed exit may also dampen top investor Permira’s effort to list sneaker brand Golden Goose.
Thames Water fix requires everyone to take a bath 4 Apr 2024 One way to repair the ailing UK utility is to hike consumer bills. The government could also hose the holders of the group’s 17 bln pounds of net debt. That might make the politics of the sorry saga marginally less toxic – and even give Thames a shot at luring new investors.
Capital Calls: Green vehicles 3 Apr 2024 Concise views on global finance: French shipping and logistics heavyweight CMA CGM has acquired a 10% stake in Flexis, a joint venture set up by Volvo and Renault to develop electric vans in Europe.
Germany sovereign pension fund is sound but small 3 Apr 2024 Berlin will borrow to invest up to 200 bln euros in global equities to help pay for the retirement of the country’s fast-ageing population. The vehicle’s modest size will limit its long-term impact, but Europe can learn from this blend of public and private schemes.
TSMC’s most complex engineering task is itself 3 Apr 2024 The $625 bln chipmaker has built a monopoly in advanced semiconductors by staying in Taiwan. Now it’s expanding abroad, spurred by subsidies and US-China tensions. Despite higher costs, it can generate decent returns. The bigger challenge will be keeping its technological edge.
Soho House’s private party may prove disappointing 2 Apr 2024 Executive Chair Ron Burkle could bless a de-listing of the loss-making $1.1 bln chain of members’ clubs, which he reckons will one day generate handsome earnings. He’s only right if the new sites, like São Paulo and Bangkok, prove as popular as the older ones. It’s a gamble.
Profitability is next sacrifice at inflation altar 2 Apr 2024 Central bankers want LVMH, Pepsi and others to pay higher wages without raising prices. Bottom lines in the euro zone already have dipped to 40% of output, the lowest rate since 2020, and Big Tech accounts for most US margin growth. CEOs and investors can expect leaner times.
Wanda’s mall deal bags petrodollar safety net 2 Apr 2024 Wang Jianlin has found the hottest new shoppers in town. ADIA and Mubadala are taking control of his mall unit for $8.3 bln, alongside existing owners led by buyout firm PAG. Gulf money is emerging as an important lifeline for buyers and sellers in China.
Capital Calls: Motorcycle M&A 1 Apr 2024 Concise views on global finance: John Malone’s Liberty Media is buying Dorna, the parent of motorcycling racing championship MotoGP, for 4.3 billion euros. It’s hard to see how the media mogul can make the deal work.
Central banks’ noise helps dollar – and Joe Biden 28 Mar 2024 In February, traders’ hopes of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve sent the currency lower. But it has risen 1.8% in March, partly due to policymakers’ mixed messages. Until the fog clears, the greenback will rule forex markets. That curbs US inflation and may benefit the president.
Sergio Ermotti has a path to Wall Street-style pay 28 Mar 2024 UBS handed its CEO $16 mln for nine months’ work last year. That’s more than his European rivals, but less than the bosses of US lenders like Morgan Stanley, whose valuation the $100 bln Swiss bank aspires to. Tweaked terms next year give Ermotti a chance to narrow the gap.
UK’s leaky coffers are Thames Water’s lifeboat 28 Mar 2024 The utility is drowning in $19 bln of debt and may collapse in 2025 if its regulator doesn’t approve higher bills. A nationalisation could be the best solution but the government isn’t flush with cash. Unless PM Rishi Sunak breaks his fiscal rules, consumers will have to pay up.
Eni’s green shoots are taking time to blossom 28 Mar 2024 Italy’s $53 bln energy major trades at a discount to rivals. An overhang from Rome’s potential stake sale and falling gas prices are drags. But CEO Claudio Descalzi’s plan to raise cash by spinning off energy transition-focused business units is also yet to fully shape up.
Europe’s IPO window opens slowly for buyout barons 28 Mar 2024 CVC floated beauty retailer Douglas, whose shares fell, while EQT received a warmer welcome for skincare group Galderma. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how to interpret the mixed message for private equity groups sitting on $3 trln of unsold assets.
Packaging deal’s US interloper may end up as pulp 27 Mar 2024 New York-listed International Paper proposed merging with $7 bln DS Smith as an alternative to the target’s union with UK peer Mondi. But the intruder’s premium offer crumpled in value as its own share price fell. It now faces the tough choice of either retreating or overpaying.
LNG angst seeps from consumers to producers 27 Mar 2024 A few years ago, supplies of liquefied natural gas were scarce and prices sky-high. Extra capacity arriving this decade means there could soon be a price-sapping glut. Big suppliers like Qatar and Shell have long-term contracts that can ease the pain, but only up to a point.
Capital Calls: Shell and Russia 26 Mar 2024 Concise views on global finance: Russian state giant Gazprom will buy the British energy major’s 27.5% stake in a major Siberian liquefied gas field for the equivalent of $1 bln. Shell is however unlikely to be able to get hold of the cash any time soon.
Big banks’ shock absorbers are still far too slim 26 Mar 2024 Credit Suisse and a string of US regional banks failed last year. In this Exchange podcast, Stanford Professor Anat Admati argues that lenders’ equity buffers are punier than they seem – and that fixing the problem needn’t cause a credit crunch.