Germany

Theresa May embraces “extend and pretend” Brexit

22 September 2017

Fifteen months after Britain voted to leave the European Union, the prime minister still has no coherent idea how to deliver it. Her proposal to keep things as they are until 2021 lowers the risk of a chaotic Brexit. If accepted, the temptation will be to delay further.

Viewsroom: German election all about runners-up

21 September 2017

Chancellor Angela Merkel and her Christian Democrats should win more votes than rivals. But they’ll need coalition partners to form a government. Choosing among them promises to be a nail-biter. Also: the Toys R Us bankruptcy won’t be a total loss for its private-equity owners.

Siemens-Alstom train-deal economics trump politics

21 September 2017

The German firm may merge its train unit with the French peer Alstom, rather than Bombardier. That would create a global player in high-speed rail, but leave Siemens in an awkward embrace with joint-owner French government. It’s a price worth paying to create a European champion.

UniCredit has narrow lead in Commerzbank M&A fight

21 September 2017

The Italian bank wants to buy the 14 bln euro lender. BNP Paribas is also a reported partner. A deal makes sense: the target is cheap, and Germany needs to sell a stake. UniCredit’s scale gives it an edge, but Berlin may favour the French bank, or a domestic peer like Deutsche.

Uniper bid lacks spark for all bar E.ON

20 September 2017

Finnish utility Fortum’s plan to buy its German rival for 8 billion euros may create more losers than winners. Uniper's top shareholder E.ON has reasons to accept a 4.5 percent premium but its other investors will rightly grumble. Nor does the deal make much sense for the bidder.

Tata Steel deal crystallises overseas M&A pain

20 September 2017

The Indian group’s deal with ThyssenKrupp will shore up the ailing business it bought in 2007. But the joint venture will assume just a quarter of the European unit’s 9.5 bln euros of liabilities. That’s bad for Tata Steel shareholders. At least its rich parent is supportive.

Tata Steel JV pays ThyssenKrupp four dividends

20 September 2017

A historic joint venture with India's Tata will unshackle the German group from the fickle, capital-intensive steel industry. Lower pension liabilities, a share of synergies worth 3 bln euros and a more robust balance sheet are further benefits. Workers will fare better too.

Breakdown: Colour-coding Germany’s election

18 September 2017

GroKo, black-green or Jamaica? Angela Merkel is almost certain to win a fourth term, but the race to be her partner is wide open. The outcome matters for Germany – and for Europe. Breakingviews decodes the colourful jargon, and looks at the consequences of different outcomes.

EU foreign investment review raises bar for China

13 September 2017

Brussels has proposed a pan-European scheme to vet sensitive purchases by other countries. Unlike the U.S., rulings will be non-binding. Even so, the People’s Republic will find it harder to buy up EU infrastructure and technology. It’s another reason for Beijing to open up.

Hadas: EU single economy eases way for separatism

13 September 2017

Catalan and Scottish nationalism have bubbled up recently. Besides sentiment, the European Union has played a part. The super-national single market not only provides economic protection, but opens up a new vision of sovereignty. It’s the same idea Brexit fans have rejected.

Campaign for euro zone budget is a distraction

13 September 2017

The single currency area needs a way to absorb future economic shocks. But comments from European Commission chief Jean-Claude Juncker show that a common tax-funded budget would be a stretch. Better to tweak fiscal rules, deepen financial reform and beef up Europe’s bailout fund.

Ten years on, UK banks still far from utility-like

13 September 2017

A decade after the run on Northern Rock, British lenders are smaller and better capitalised. But earnings remain bumpy and subdued economic growth means they will struggle to lift earnings. An average dividend yield of 4 pct compares poorly to genuinely safe and boring utilities.

Merkel’s past omissions will return to haunt her

12 September 2017

Germany’s Chancellor has for 12 years failed to invest enough, prepare for costly climate change goals, or tailor the welfare state to an ageing population. An economic upswing is hiding fault lines but Merkel’s past inactivity will exact a high price in the next downturn.

Dixon: No escape from debtors’ prison for Greece

11 September 2017

Alexis Tsipras is desperate to avoid surveillance of his actions by the country’s creditors when its third bailout ends next August. The best the Greek prime minister can hope for is to move from a high-security unit to an open prison – and only if he behaves.

Akzo investors get whiff of reality. It smells bad

8 September 2017

The Dutch paint maker promised much better earnings in its defence against an attractively priced takeover by U.S. rival PPG. A profit warning for 2017 shows Akzo will struggle to meet its fanciful targets. But it’s hard for new chief Thierry Vanlancker to wipe the slate clean.

Deutsche Bank CEO tells truth to robotic employees

7 September 2017

John Cryan wants the German bank to embrace a “revolutionary spirit” as people lose their jobs to artificial-intelligence technology. His comments reflect the competitive reality – but Deutsche’s whopping 86 pct cost-to-revenue ratio makes its staff among the most vulnerable.

Draghi and Carney’s FX headaches have similar cure

6 September 2017

ECB chief Mario Draghi has too little inflation while the Bank of England’s Mark Carney has too much. Currency moves are compounding the problem for both central bankers. Their best hope of fighting unwanted shifts is to convince traders that policy will adapt to such swings.

Elliott shows tail wags dog in German M&A

4 September 2017

The U.S. investor has nudged Bain and Cinven into paying minority shareholders in drugmaker Stada 12 pct more than others got last month. Germany’s odd rules and passive investing make it all too easy for holdouts who own small stakes to throw their weight around.

Elliott’s Stada shakedown is cheeky but rational

31 August 2017

The hedge fund wants the private equity firms buying drugmaker Stada to pay 74.40 euros for its minority stake. That’s nearly 50 pct above the firm’s value before Bain and Cinven began bidding. Yet Elliott has a point: the buyers could pay up and still make a respectable return.

German car industry may become Merkel’s nemesis

30 August 2017

Re-election in September will lumber Chancellor Angela Merkel with the challenge of managing a crisis that is looming in the auto sector. The fight for clean air in cities could accelerate the shift to electric vehicles and jeopardise up to a tenth of Germany’s industrial jobs.