Joe Biden out-MAGAs Donald Trump 14 Mar 2024 The US president is siding with union workers who oppose a US Steel takeover by Japan’s Nippon. He also said he would sign a bill forcing TikTok’s Chinese owner to sell the popular app or see it banned. The ad hoc approach to national security concerns sets a dangerous precedent.
Japan’s rate shift will hit zombie firms hardest 14 Mar 2024 The central bank could end an era of negative borrowing costs as early as next week. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists argue that large companies are ready for the tightening, but many struggling small businesses could hit the wall even if policymakers go slow.
Japan faces a reckoning with its zombie companies 5 Mar 2024 Big firms are ready for the onset of higher wages and the end of negative rates. Smaller rivals, which employ 60% of workers, risk being crushed. One in six already struggles to cover interest payments. If too many fail, they can derail confidence and the economic recovery.
Europe shares’ granola rush will become thin gruel 26 Feb 2024 The STOXX 600 Index has hit a record, but local funds are seeing outflows. As in the US a small bunch of companies – the so-called GRANOLAS group – are behind the good news. But in the Old Continent they’re more dependent on weak economic growth rather than the AI revolution.
Japan loses a big title, and perhaps its way 15 Feb 2024 A surprise technical recession means the country is no longer the world’s third-largest economy. Even more unnerving is a slew of weak data that make it harder for the central bank to end an era of ultra-low interest rates. Companies’ wage negotiations will be a deciding factor.
Japan’s overseas tech deal crosses financial wires 15 Feb 2024 Electronics design outfit Altium has a smart product and is growing at a decent pace. That doesn't justify Renesas paying $6 bln for the Australian-listed company. Unless the buyer can supercharge revenue, it's another Japanese outbound deal that will generate meagre returns.
Toyota hitches a ride with the zeitgeist 7 Feb 2024 The car company’s bet on a slower transition is playing well. Shares hit a record high as third-quarter earnings grew 86% and sales of hybrids rose nearly 50%. Even a slowdown in China didn’t dampen the mood as expectations for the world’s largest auto market are fast fading.
Japan is the new Disneyland of global activism 7 Feb 2024 Elliott wants $24 bln property giant Mitsui Fudosan to offload its stake in the Tokyo theme park operator and buy back shares. Like many of his peers, Mitsui's CEO is a convert to shareholder religion. The new challenge for activists is getting company bosses to be more devout.
Nomura offers tantalising glimpse at mediocrity 1 Feb 2024 Japan’s vibrant market helped the investment bank churn out quarterly earnings in line with its 2025 target. Boss Kentaro Okuda’s job now is not just to sustain the performance but to improve the ho-hum 6.2% return on equity that came with it. History is not on his side.
US Steel calibrates depth of trustbuster discounts 24 Jan 2024 Before Nippon prevailed, Cleveland-Cliffs fought hard to seal a deal, new documents show. Even $1.7 bln of synergy value and a chunky $1.5 bln break fee couldn’t sway the target, however. It’s a revealing portal into how competition authorities are altering merger decisions.
Sony enters a painful new M&A season in India 23 Jan 2024 The Japanese giant is ditching the agreed union of its Indian unit with $3 bln broadcaster Zee. Sony dodges a difficult partner but it will prolong the slugfest in the country's cutthroat entertainment industry. The plot could thicken and disrupt rival Disney's dealmaking too.
Capital Calls: Greek airport IPO 16 Jan 2024 Concise views on global finance: State-backed Athens International Airport may be able to fetch a 3 bln euro valuation in a planned February listing.
China’s auto exports can hold the fast lane 10 Jan 2024 The country has displaced Japan as the world's largest shipper of cars abroad, sending more than 5 mln overseas last year, per an industry group. Companies best known for gas guzzlers are among the winners. But EV makers like BYD are gaining share and will drive the trend on.
Peer pressure is new activist tool for Japan Inc 10 Jan 2024 The Tokyo Stock Exchange is set to name all the companies which responded to its push for better capital efficiency and returns. The bourse is betting transparency will shame the rest into action. Success could pull investors and M&A bankers alike to the $6 trln market.
T-Mobile’s climb to top dog risks winner’s curse 8 Jan 2024 The US telecom’s decade-long rise, sealed by 2020’s Sprint merger, has lapped rivals AT&T and Verizon and triggered an $8 bln payout for backer SoftBank. The tie-up threatened unshakable dominance. But now, newer cable entrants may wrench open the market much as T-Mobile did.
Toyota will engineer a half-electric renaissance 27 Dec 2023 The world’s largest carmaker is playing catchup with electric upstarts like Tesla and China’s BYD, just as global demand for EVs slows. But boss Koji Sato will capitalise on the Japanese giant’s edge in hybrid vehicles as the tech enjoys a sudden renaissance.
Sony Activision riposte will involve mobile gaming 27 Dec 2023 Microsoft’s $69 bln Activision deal threatens its Japanese rival’s console dominance. But it also establishes a bridgehead for the US firm in the $90 bln mobile gaming space. Recent mobile weakness and an expected return to growth mean 2024 is a good time for Sony to plug in too.
Nippon’s $15 bln US Steel deal burns too hot 18 Dec 2023 The Japanese company beat out Cleveland-Cliffs and others to buy a tempting supplier to American automakers. Overseas expansion also makes sense, but disgruntled unions may be problematic. And the bidding war pushed the price to a level that undermines the acquisition’s strength.
How a bold $60 bln deal went right yet so wrong 6 Dec 2023 Japan’s Takeda has cause to celebrate the fifth anniversary of its landmark acquisition of Irish peer Shire. Boss Christophe Weber achieved many aims, including broader reach and hefty cost savings. As with myriad mega-mergers, however, there’s little for shareholders to cheer.
Forex swings will upend lucrative yen carry trade 1 Dec 2023 Investors who borrowed Japanese currency and invested in dollars or, even better, Latin American assets, have been enjoying big returns. Yet expected changes to monetary policy in the US and far east point to more volatility. Bets on diverging interest rates will get riskier.