Swedes’ gaming split is far from a next-level fix 22 Apr 2024 Struggling $3 bln Embracer will divide itself into three discrete companies. Leveraging up the group’s board games arm and splitting out hit-and-miss blockbusters and steadier mobile games makes sense. But it’s unlikely to unlock value akin to the Swedish firm’s glory days.
Galderma IPO offers EQT a temporary facelift 6 Mar 2024 The Swiss skin care group is looking to raise $2 bln in a listing to cut debt. At $22 bln, in line with L’Oréal’s valuation, its private equity owners could get decent returns. But with the French beauty giant growing similar products faster, retaining margins may be challenging.
EU’s $2 bln Apple bite is still more of a bark 4 Mar 2024 Brussels is fining the US giant more than expected for hurting streaming competition. That leaves $2.7 trln Apple open to similar cases. But as with other EU bids to rein in Big Tech, it hikes the cost of doing business more than it shakes up the sector.
Klarna IPO now makes less sense than one later 28 Feb 2024 Decent growth and lower losses mean the Swedish buy now, pay later group can justify a $20 bln valuation. Given that’s three times the level of its last cash injection, there’s an argument for a speedy listing. Still, Klarna’s messy governance suggests a 2025 IPO is more logical.
Narrow exits will fatten fattest buyout fat cats 10 Jan 2024 Some private equity shops may be forced to start accepting discounted valuations on a record $2.8 trln of unsold investments. Others like KKR and EQT are best positioned to hold out. This disparity should help 25 firms, with 22% of the industry’s firepower, pad their dominance.
Profitable Klarna poses IPO valuation conundrum 9 Nov 2023 The pay-later group is making money. Ahead of a possible float, that makes it easier for CEO Sebastian Siemiatkowski to claim he has a viable business. Yet to get an uplift on his last $7 bln price tag, he’ll have to persuade investors to value Klarna like a fintech, not a bank.
‘Tomb Raider’ maker’s odyssey charts gaming pains 12 Oct 2023 Embracer’s share price is back at 2018 levels, when it stepped up an M&A spree that saw it become Europe’s largest video game group. The $2.5 bln Swedish firm has slipped on its own banana skins. But its decline also shines a light on the sector’s post-pandemic struggles.
Belated euro U-turn could be a winner for Sweden 6 Oct 2023 Top advocates of snubbing the single currency 20 years ago are now pushing for its adoption. The crown’s fall makes curbing inflation harder, and rate-setters are under the ECB’s spell. With low public deficit and debt levels, Stockholm may find joining late is better than never.
Central banks start game of chicken over rate cuts 21 Sep 2023 Officials in Sweden and Norway hiked borrowing costs, while their British peers didn’t. All hinted policy will stay tight, fearing that stoking expectations of an early start of the loosening cycle may fuel inflation. An economic slowdown may prompt rate-setters to be less tough.
Europe’s listless IPOs are red flag for big floats 31 Jul 2023 The region’s string of mostly mid-sized initial public offerings this year are now just 3% above their listing price on average. Such poor performance will make investors wary of backing new ones. That will give larger float candidates, like CVC and Galderma, pause for thought.
Embracer cash call undermines investors’ M&A play 6 Jul 2023 The Swedish gaming group raised $180 mln from various investors at a 9% discount to its closing price. Last summer, it raised $1.1 bln from Saudi Arabia at a 15% premium. The contrast suggests a lower chance of a takeover, meaning CEO Lars Wingefors faces a single-player slog.
Flailing property firms make for risky buyout prey 13 Jun 2023 Shares in Swedish landlord SBB crashed, while listed European peers also trade at heavily discounted valuations. It looks like a golden opportunity for private funds, with $700 bln of cash. The tough part will be securing debt financing and avoiding catching a falling knife.
Gaming transatlantic gap invites M&A shoot-’em-up 9 Jun 2023 Shares in European gaming groups like Ubisoft are off by a fifth over the past year, underperforming stateside peers. Self-inflicted slip-ups are partly to blame, but players’ love for US-owned blockbusters means the valuation divide will endure. Dealmaking is a likely endgame.
Swedish real estate is canary in the coal mine 13 Apr 2023 The Nordic nation is at the sharp end of Europe’s real estate slowdown. Residential prices fell 15% last year, with offices and shops set to follow as debt costs surge. Its property firms with borrowings equivalent to 40% of GDP have little cushion if foreign bondholders panic.
Spotify’s next act: hosting ad lollapalooza 24 Feb 2023 The music service attracted activist ValueAct as founder Daniel Ek starts to whack costs. Yet rather than cutting its way to profit, Spotify could stem its losses by nabbing a quarter of the streaming and podcasting ad pie. It’s a tough but plausible performance to pull off.
Battered fintech sector’s next play: sell ads 20 Jan 2023 Erstwhile financial technology stars like $47 bln Block and Klarna are suffering from falling valuations and slowing sales. Yet they’re sitting on potentially valuable insights about punters’ spending habits. That points to an opportunity in helping retailers reach their users.
EQT embodies private markets’ two big problems 18 Jan 2023 Shares in the $28 bln buyout group fell 6% after CEO Christian Sinding flagged a fundraising slowdown. Another issue is that, like its rivals, the Swedish firm spent big when asset prices were high. Its relatively steady fund valuations may not yet reflect all the future pain.
Oatly’s best turnaround recipe is dollops of cash 25 Nov 2022 Shares in the $950 mln faux-milk maker are down 80% this year, and revenue growth is slowing. CEO Toni Petersson will struggle to stop burning cash, and has ruled out selling the company. That means a looming capital hike may have to be much bigger than he currently thinks.
Plant-based food stocks lack sustainable finance 10 Jun 2022 Shares in faux-milk maker Oatly and plant-based burger purveyor Beyond Meat have tumbled this year. Despite flimsy gross margins, both still trade at a premium to bigger food rivals. Without a plan to cut costs, they will struggle to attract buyers or survive on their own.
Klarna’s $46 bln price tag endures only in theory 19 May 2022 Investors heavily marked down the value of the Swedish startup’s buy-now-pay-later rivals like Affirm. On their sales multiples, privately held Klarna’s valuation would be cut by 75%. While the business is diversified with better funding, it still requires lots of red pen.