Pirelli CEO pivots from globalisation to trade war 5 Jun 2023 Marco Tronchetti Provera teamed up with a Chinese buyer to take the tyremaker private in 2015. Now Sinochem’s 37% stake poses business and governance risks for the $5 bln company. An appeal to Italy’s nationalist government may help the veteran industrialist maintain control.
Capital Calls: Turkey, Indivior 5 Jun 2023 Concise views on global finance: President Tayyip Erdogan’s new treasury minister will struggle to steer the $900 bln economy towards orthodox monetary policies; shares in the London-listed drugmaker jumped after it settled a lawsuit, making it more appealing to potential buyers.
Chinese battery cash will fuel Europe’s EV drive 31 May 2023 The country’s investments in foreign plants and projects to power electric cars quadrupled to $15 bln, chiefly into the EU. Over-reliance on tech leader CATL and its compatriots is a risk. But European rivals are few and carmakers like VW and BMW have more to gain than lose.
Elon Musk is Beijing’s ideal foreign investor 31 May 2023 Officials rolled out the red carpet for the billionaire’s first visit since 2020. His EV investments stimulated local brands, he’s made Twitter amenable to authoritarians, and he shows the People’s Republic is still investable. That buys Tesla lots of political cover in China.
Capital Calls: US debt deal 30 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: The pending deal for raising the debt ceiling would shift $20 billion out of the government’s tax collector. The move eases some short-term budget pressures, but could surrender a seven-fold payoff down the road.
Capital Calls: Russian cash, Chinese car feud 25 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: European plans to divert Russian money to Ukraine are ill-thought-out; a feud between China’s BYD and Great Wall Motor is spooking investors.
Geely’s Aston Martin stunt could backfire 19 May 2023 The Chinese auto giant is doubling its stake in the storied carmaker to 17%, and snagging a board seat. But the 45% premium looks rich. Aston Martin needs to speed electrification and sales in China, but Geely will struggle to squeeze value from a stalling British business.
Tesla pushes limits of India’s electric-car dreams 18 May 2023 Elon Musk hopes to make and sell cars in the country. Giving up demands for import tax breaks and building a factory at scale makes sense if his $550 bln company is a market-maker as it was in China. Tesla would need to follow Apple’s roadmap and engineer a new export hub too.
Tesla’s governance autopilot heads for disaster 17 May 2023 Despite a 60% drop from peak market value and Twitter distractions, shareholders backed the EV-maker’s board yet again. Boss Elon Musk’s indulgence of conspiracy theories and avowal to keep speaking his mind raise more red flags. The supine stance invites dangerous consequences.
EU can afford to extend UK car sector’s pit stop 17 May 2023 Stellantis wants Britain to tweak its trade deal with Europe to avoid tariffs on electric vehicles. Delaying rules on where carmakers source material would help both EU and British manufacturers. Moreover, a reprieve would still leave the bloc streets ahead in the EV race.
Vietnam’s Tesla debuts with wrong kind of power 15 May 2023 VinFast is going public at a sales multiple seven times its rival. Merging at a $27 bln valuation with casino mogul Lawrence Ho’s SPAC secures it a listing in the US where the electric-vehicle maker is expanding. But it needs funding and an inflated 2021-style deal doesn’t help.
Volkswagen has increasingly narrow recovery track 4 May 2023 The $77 bln German auto giant reported bumper revenue, but faces an era of slowing growth as slick rivals like Tesla expand. CEO Oliver Blume hopes to boost car sales by 15% and avoid a collapse in prices. Neither looks easy, but at least its stock is priced for the worst.
Ford and GM can afford to put on a brave face 2 May 2023 Detroit carmakers say profit will hold up despite economic woes and costly electric makeovers, though markets look skeptical. Their reinventions carry risks, but 3.6 mln missing car sales thanks to Covid-era shortages mean their gas guzzlers enjoy plenty of unfulfilled demand.
Tesla’s California slump will be a US slump 24 Apr 2023 The $510 bln electric-car kingpin saw its share of battery-powered sales in California, a bellwether US market, tumble by 13 percentage points from 2022. Emerging rivals and a nascent price war are taking their toll; Musk’s position in Twitter may only make it worse.
Tesla can no longer succeed just on its own terms 19 Apr 2023 The EV maker’s key margin gauge tumbled 11 percentage points, below its own forecast, as it slashed prices to boost sales. Costs are at least under control, but sagging growth is a concern. A lot now rides on producing new models to fend off technological and competitive threats.
Pirelli will help read China investment tea leaves 4 Apr 2023 Sinochem has denied plans to ditch a 37% stake in the Italian tyremaker. But Beijing’s pressure on state-controlled firms to boost shareholder value and dump non-core assets may lead to a sale. Pirelli’s fate will have a bearing on China’s $1 trln overseas portfolio.
Capital Calls: H&M, UK car goals 30 Mar 2023 Concise views on global finance: The $20 bln Swedish retailer’s investors seem to think the worst has passed; Britain has loosened its ambition to phase out combustion engine cars, but the big question is how many green vehicles will be made domestically.
Ferrari’s green journey takes surprise turn 30 Mar 2023 Europe’s plan to support carbon-neutral fuels is good news for the $50 bln luxury carmaker, CEO Benedetto Vigna says on the Exchange podcast. It will allow the group to flog the roaring engines that made its fortune. Electric cars remain a goal, but self-driving Ferraris are not.
Europe throws ignition cars a thin lifeline 28 Mar 2023 A last-minute EU deal will exempt autos running on carbon-neutral propellants from a 2035 combustion engine ban. That may help sports carmakers like Ferrari. Such fuels are costly and energy-intensive. Brands betting big on electric rides, like VW, will struggle to change tack.
Ford’s path to electric glory requires rocket fuel 23 Mar 2023 The US carmaker revealed $3 bln of losses in its electric-vehicle unit, with $3 bln more coming this year. Its targets suggest $8 bln of operating profit by 2027. That gives investors a roadmap for Ford’s race against Tesla, and a clearer vision of how ambitious that is.