Debt

EU sovereign debt fix fails Italian test

24 May 2018

The European Commission wants to make it easier for investors to buy bonds that pool euro zone government debt. It’s part of a plan to reduce banks' exposure to indebted states. Recent Italian worries show such securities might help, but also why they are unlikely to work.

Italy’s next economy minister is the one to watch

22 May 2018

Radical parties have proposed little-known academic Giuseppe Conte to head their government. Yet the economic portfolio matters more for the indebted country’s future. The new minister’s attitude towards the euro will go a long way towards determining investors’ faith in Italy.

Local bureaucrats struggle to come clean in China

17 May 2018

Beijing is suppressing off-balance-sheet borrowing by regional governments, while new rules ease bond issuance. Yet the gap between their legal fundraising and fiscal obligations persists, hobbling efforts to cut a $2.6 trln debt pile. Mixed messages from the centre are to blame.

UniCredit may be stuck with costly crisis capital

10 May 2018

The Italian bank should not be able to treat the proceeds of a 2009 hybrid issue as equity, a hedge fund argues. CEO Jean Pierre Mustier might prefer to get rid of the expensive instruments. But it’s hard to extract UniCredit from the transaction without upsetting investors.

Review: China experts enter their own “New Era”

27 April 2018

Two new books from respected scholars try to make sense of the country under Xi Jinping. Both see it fast moving toward a more centralised political regime, with messy and probably unpredictable consequences. As interesting is the shifting mood among China analysts themselves.

WeWork junk-bond investors enable a contradiction

26 April 2018

The trendy shared-office outfit is the latest firm with heady prospects and huge cash burn to tap credit markets. Like Uber, Tesla and Netflix, WeWork needs funds for expansion to justify its valuation. Yet the healthy cash flow creditors prefer may only come with slower growth.

Hadas: Debt overload is an easy problem to solve

25 April 2018

Three financial revolutions would be enough to bring down debt. Tax corporate debts, don’t subsidise them. Let the public share unearned gains on land. And replace government debt with newly printed money. These ideas may sound too radical – until the next mega-crisis arrives.

UK slide raises Santander’s modest bar to success

24 April 2018

Net profit in its British unit dropped 21 pct, blotting the Spanish bank’s solid first quarter. Strong growth in Brazil and Spain, however, more than made up for Brexit-related jitters. More of the same should allow Santander to hit its full-year earnings and dividend targets.

ECB has big enough stick to repel bad-loan revolt

24 April 2018

A political backlash may force the European Central Bank to ditch plans for stricter provisioning of 760 bln euros of dud loans. The saga has weakened chief supervisor Daniele Nouy, and may delay reform of Europe’s banking union. But the ECB has other tools to cut the loan pile.

Capita swerve averts Carillion-style crash

23 April 2018

The outsourcer is raising 700 mln pounds from shareholders. Halving its debt-to-EBITDA ratio helps new CEO Jonathan Lewis avoid the downward spiral that felled the UK contractor. The bigger task is showing that a stronger balance sheet can reverse sliding revenue and cash flow.

VW truck IPO may squander $20 bln opportunity

19 April 2018

The German carmaker might list its trucks and buses unit next year. The flotation could boost the group’s shares by nearly a fifth, if the market values the division more highly than the rest of it. Yet a partial listing and Volkswagen’s messy governance would limit the upside.

Beijing sets off careless Wanda fire sale

19 April 2018

Officials pushed the developer to shed assets to pay down debt, forcing it to scramble to stave off default. Buyers of its properties got discounts that let them book billions in quick profit. In retrospect, Beijing’s meddling looks more hapless than prudent.

China’s surprise reserve cut exposes growth angst

17 April 2018

The central bank cut reserve requirements for banks, freeing $200 bln for lending. That backs up other moves to help over-stretched banks amidst a purge on loose credit. The timing, however, suggests Beijing is looking for a cushion if the economy slows, or a trade war escalates.

Intesa offers partial hope for Italy’s dud loans

17 April 2018

The Italian lender is nearing a deal with Swedish group Intrum to shed 10.8 bln euros of dodgy loans from its balance sheet. Domestic peers will be cheered by the price, which is higher than rivals have attained in similar transactions. Then again, Intesa is a better bank.

Zambia debt dispute undermines African credit

17 April 2018

The copper producer has denied it has dollar debt beyond its $8.7 bln of foreign borrowing. Its vague clarification comes two years after a $3 bln bond scandal in neighbouring Mozambique. Bilateral lending, particularly from China, is blurring the credit picture across Africa.

Review: The ultimate truth about blockchain

6 April 2018

The technology behind bitcoin has applications that extend far beyond the crypto-currency hype. But is it the panacea for humanity’s problems? “The Truth Machine” takes a positive view of decentralised digital ledgers, but underplays fundamental questions of safety and trust.

Chinese banks healthy enough for stronger medicine

28 March 2018

Stable real estate and solid corporate profits helped boost annual earnings at AgBank, CCB, ICBC and others. Manic asset growth slowed and risk buffers thickened. The way is clear for reformers to tolerate more defaults and address flaws in China’s debt-for-equity swap programme.

Cox: A beneficent billionaire should buy Remington

27 March 2018

The AR-15 maker filed bankruptcy papers a day after millions of Americans marched in favor of banning its products. Owners and creditors just want out in a hurry. But Bloomberg, Gates or Bezos could turn Remington into a force for sensible gun policies with mere pocket change.

Chancellor: Index investment riskier than it looks

22 March 2018

That investors are abrogating their responsibilities to allocate capital intelligently is a danger from the rapid growth of passive fund management. Less widely aired, but of greater concern, is the threat posed to financial stability by the dominance of benchmark-tracking funds.

Asia’s banks leave room for debt funds to thrive

21 March 2018

Traditional lenders neglect many smaller borrowers in the region. But while they are weighed down by bad loans and tough regulation, that creates a gap for new providers. Private debt funds are benefiting from limited competition and better bankruptcy regimes too.