Energy

China’s solar stress could burn more dealmakers

13 August 2018

Slashing official support for solar energy helped scupper Shanghai Electric’s plan to snap up a $2 bln stake in giant GCL-Poly’s core unit. A downturn should drive consolidation in the heavily indebted sector. But the doomed deal shows how hard it is for two sides to agree.

China’s U.S. energy blow is effective but risky

8 August 2018

Beijing is slapping a levy on liquified natural gas, a booming American export. Iran’s LNG could fill the void. But that would flout U.S. sanctions, may spark criminal investigations and could bar Chinese firms from accessing dollars. The gamble relies on Trump blinking first.

Oil investors are complacent on climate change

6 August 2018

Shareholders in the likes of Shell aren’t holding companies to account on carbon targets. A Breakingviews analysis suggests why: they may suffer only mild losses if oil majors just run down their reserves. But doing nothing may backfire if governments take more radical action.

BP starts to differentiate itself in a good way

31 July 2018

The UK oil major’s net profit beat expectations in the second quarter, in contrast to rivals like Shell and Exxon. BP is generating free cash, doing logical deals and hiking output. A 5.4 percent dividend yield reflects past Gulf of Mexico problems more than future potential.

Saudi’s Aramco plan B is too clever by half

27 July 2018

With the oil giant’s listing stalled, Riyadh wants to lever it up to buy a stake in chemicals group SABIC. It shouldn’t overburden Aramco, and offers a roundabout way of getting money to the state. But compared to an IPO it’s riskier, and does less to boost Saudi capital markets.

BP takes worthwhile gamble with shale deal

27 July 2018

The $10.5 bln that the oil major is paying for BHP’s U.S. shale assets is a full price and allows the miner to finally extricate itself from an expensive mistake. But BP is plugging a strategic gap and can easily cut costs. That makes the price appear more reasonable.

Conoco escapes squeeze on Big Oil’s golden goose

26 July 2018

Infrastructure bottlenecks are depressing oil prices in America’s resource-rich Permian Basin. New pipelines should be running by next year if labor and steel problems don’t cause delays. While the $84 bln Conoco’s U.S. business is holding up, others may not be so fortunate.

Shell and Total can hand investors even more cash

26 July 2018

The Anglo-Dutch major has begun a $25 bln share buyback, months after its French peer. That may signal Shell lacks growth ideas, yet investing in new oil projects and green energy is also risky. Sharing windfalls from high oil prices with shareholders is the lesser of the evils.

Trump hardball may still become Iran oil softball

23 July 2018

The president’s Twitter attack on Tehran counterpart Hassan Rouhani doesn’t sound great for importers of Iranian crude. Yet U.S. sanctions policy is volatile - just ask Russia’s Rusal. Another Trump goal - low petrol prices - implies Iranian exports will still be tolerated.

Elon Musk outburst puts Tesla board on the spot

16 July 2018

Punishing a CEO who tweets, without evidence, that someone is a pedophile ought to be a no-brainer. But Musk’s fortunes and the electric-car maker’s are symbiotic, and his allies pack the board. Investors should worry for their own sakes if directors fail to act this time.

Exxon lobby exit boosts investor climate activism

13 July 2018

The $350 bln oil giant has quit a group trying to ease regulation of greenhouse gases. That’ll make it harder to fend off shareholders pushing Exxon to tackle how climate change will hit earnings. California cutting its emissions ahead of schedule shows that’s a growing risk.

Aramco fail hits Saudi ambition more than coffers

10 July 2018

If the state oil firm's IPO doesn't fly, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman will be $100 bln short. That's huge, but higher crude prices will help the budget and Riyadh can borrow too. The bigger problem is finding other ways to lure the foreign capital his 2030 vision depends on.

Aramco IPO retreat would leave few losers

6 July 2018

Pinning a $2 trln valuation on a company worth $1.6 trln was always going to be risky for the Saudi oil giant’s bankers. If Aramco’s IPO is scrapped, they may get another bite at a more modest cherry. It would, though, sting regulators who bent over backwards to accommodate it.

BP’s electric car foray is imperfect oil hedge

28 June 2018

The British giant is spending 1 pct of its $16 bln capex budget on battery-powered vehicle chargers. That’s unlikely to protect against a drop in crude demand. But after writing down most of its last $8 bln push into new energies, investors doubt BP can reinvent itself.

China’s homegrown shale is worth the bother

27 June 2018

The People’s Republic produced a fraction of U.S. shale gas output in 2017. Terrain issues, deep wells and limited data explain why, yet better domestic technology and state support are pushing production up. With trade tensions rising, Beijing's costly hedge looks sensible.

Saudi Arabia finds OPEC solution that helps itself

22 June 2018

At the oil producer group’s Vienna meeting Riyadh needed to hike output without sparking an Iranian walkout. It succeeded, and in a way that could gee Saudi oil revenue. The catch is that President Donald Trump may soon twig that the deal may not help to curb high oil prices.

Mongolian coal IPO may keep wandering

22 June 2018

The Central Asian nation revived plans to list its prize mine, seven years after it tried at a $15 bln valuation. Coal prices have rebounded from 2015 lows and Chinese demand is strong. With just one big customer and years of false starts, though, investors will need convincing.

Tax reform puts utilities’ good credit at risk

21 June 2018

Debt investors have long favored power companies because their regulated monopoly status provides good assurance of payback. But tax cuts are limiting companies' billing power and their ability to deduct investment spending. Natural disasters add an extra layer of risk.

French cable group suffers earnings power shortage

18 June 2018

Nexans lost almost a fifth of its value after saying EBITDA may fall 15 pct. The company’s racy growth plans rest on trends like offshore wind and soaring data use, but investors value it as a sector basket-case. Given the profit warning and a departing CEO, that looks fair.

Exxon muddies the picture with new trading push

12 June 2018

The $350 bln oil giant is bulking up in energy trading by poaching several veteran dealers from rivals. It could help mitigate fluctuations in the price of the commodity. But it also adds risk and opacity just as investors want otherwise, and does nothing for diversification.