Kyiv’s defence requires European supply-side shock 5 Mar 2024 Europe is not producing the 2 mln artillery shells Ukraine needs, and missile plants are idle. Meanwhile, its stockpiles are shrinking, threatening the region’s ability to defend itself. To crank up production lines, manufacturers will need a steady flow of government orders.
How to solve Europe’s defence riddle 5 Mar 2024 At 360 bln euros, the bloc’s military expenses are three times Russia’s. Yet fragmented defence systems are a problem, Bruegel senior fellow Guntram Wolff tells The Exchange podcast. To improve scale and boost aid for Ukraine, Europe should consider more joint debt.
Post-crisis Adani is cranking up his IPO factory 29 Feb 2024 Indian tycoon Gautam Adani is on a comeback from a short-seller attack that stress-tested his $200 bln empire. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how the spotlight impacted his group and look at the next crop of listed companies it is set to produce.
Capital Calls: BAE Systems 21 Feb 2024 Concise views on global finance: The $46 bln British defence company is forecasting slower year-on-year earnings growth in 2024 despite reporting record orders.
Orsted revival requires more than belt-tightening 7 Feb 2024 The $23 bln Danish group cut its 2030 power capacity target and cancelled dividends after facing $4 bln of US impairments. For investors, it’s better than an equity raise. But an Orsted share-price recovery hinges on regaining their trust – and expected rate cuts materialising.
A pinch of salt could unsettle electric-car order 7 Feb 2024 Carmakers Stellantis and BYD are betting on sodium-based batteries. The cells’ bulk and need for more frequent charging mean they may struggle to drive lithium tech off the road. But affordability and the prospect of loosening China’s grip on the industry will spur adoption.
Capital Calls: China bank privatisation 29 Jan 2024 Concise views on global finance: The troubled regional lender Bank of Jinzhou has received a rare takeover offer from a Chinese province, which could pave the way for similar deals.
Capital Calls: Intel 26 Jan 2024 Concise views on global finance: A 67% rise for the chipmaker’s stock over the past year implied problems have melted away. The company’s warning that first-quarter earnings would fall 60% short of expectations is not the last reality check.
EU’s energy security drive may have gone too far 11 Jan 2024 The bloc’s pivot away from Russian pipeline gas has worked. But Europe’s fast-rising capacity to import the fossil fuel in liquid form will surpass its total gas needs by 2030. LNG infrastructure’s public and private backers have a stark choice: scale back, or risk writedowns.
Every country needs an Inflation Reduction Act 23 Nov 2023 The US's $370 bln in green subsidies left allies fearing they’d be at a disadvantage. Now they’re realising that adapting the blueprint can unlock private capital, boost economies and speed up the energy transition. Funding remains a challenge, but not an insurmountable one.
Capital Calls: Goodyear, Target 15 Nov 2023 Concise views on global finance: By offloading assets, the 125-year-old tire maker is succumbing to a similar overhaul as many other iconic US industrial centenarians; the $60 bln retailer has finally taken aim at what it can control – keeping watch over inventory and costs.
Capital Calls: Disney’s Marvel flop, US inflation 14 Nov 2023 Concise views on global finance: Bob Iger’s prized acquisitions Marvel, Pixar and Lucasfilm are losing their mojo, just as his dealmaking mettle is being tested; inflation has eased even as growth looks strong, but warnings from consumers and companies signal potential weakness.
Workers are missing cog in US manufacturing gears 7 Nov 2023 Government subsidies have sparked a construction bonanza, with spending on microchip, EV and other factories running at an annualized pace of $200 bln, 60% more than a year ago. Buying the needed equipment comes next. Filling all the new jobs, however, will be the hardest part.
Orsted’s losing US bets need rethink of UK plans 1 Nov 2023 The Danish wind giant lost a fifth of its value after a surprising $4 bln impairment in the States. That erases most of the capex spent there. Yet it still wants to invest in the world’s biggest economy to meet its lofty targets, a risky gamble that requires restraint in Britain.
KKR’s Japan chip gear IPO clears high first bar 18 Oct 2023 Kokusai’s $720 mln float is the country’s largest in five years and coincides with the bottom of the semiconductor cycle. Pricing was cautious and two investors bought nearly half the offer. But with war drums beating, Japan’s elongated, inefficient listings process is in focus.
Next EU chief will need cash more than trade wars 10 Oct 2023 Ursula von der Leyen kicked off her campaign to stay European Commission president by attacking China’s car subsidies. But what the bloc craves is a plan to grow its economy and enlarge eastwards, including finding $411 bln for Ukraine. A bigger, better Europe won’t come cheap.
Germany risks letting a good crisis go to waste 3 Oct 2023 Europe’s largest economy is on track to shrink this year. The immediate causes are lower exports to China and higher energy prices. But decades of under-investment will continue to crimp growth unless Berlin ditches its hostility to fiscal stimulus and comprehensive reforms.
Uncle Sam risks recession by a thousand cuts 22 Sep 2023 A government stoppage would shave a sliver from US economic expansion. Restarting student loan payments will have a similar effect. Add striking autoworkers, high oil prices and costly mortgages, and 0.8% growth forecast for the fourth quarter and 0.5% in early 2024 look shaky.
Deaths haunt Corporate America via labor strikes 15 Sep 2023 Auto workers, pilots, and truck drivers have had upper hands in labor strikes. That’s despite labor supply healing. One reason may be that men have left the workforce. Opioids and Covid are partly to blame. But it highlights the dangers of demographically concentrated jobs.
Auto strike may put Carvana’s turnaround on detour 7 Sep 2023 A walkout at Detroit’s Big Three automakers may freeze new-car supply, pushing up old vehicles’ prices. Yet that’s bad news for the used-car dealer, which books fatter profit when inventory is cheap. Supply snarls threaten a re-run of post-pandemic woes that tanked shares by 99%.