Inflation dip puts central bankers in a pickle 27 Jul 2023 The Federal Reserve and ECB once again hiked interest rates. Yet US price rises are easing with few signs of economic pain. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss how this phenomenon, dubbed ‘immaculate disinflation’, complicates what policymakers do next.
Alphabet pins growth hopes to a cloud 25 Jul 2023 The $1.5 trln Google parent’s results beat expectations, led by gangbusters expansion at its cloud business. Though still in third place to Amazon and Microsoft, investing in that unit could be a way to offset risks looming over the company’s core advertising operation.
Amazon-EU web content spat is all about grey areas 20 Jul 2023 The $1.4 trln e-commerce giant is fighting Brussels’ decision to class it as a large online platform and hence face extra scrutiny. Given its size, Amazon’s challenge at first looks like a long shot. Yet the legislation’s vague language creates scope for disputes.
AT&T is another corporate elder aging ungracefully 19 Jul 2023 The telecom’s stock hit 30-year lows over liability fears from decades-old lead-lined cables. As with J&J now or oil giants tomorrow, over-the-hill corporate titans have the time to accumulate opaque environmental and legal liabilities that are often ignored, until they can’t be.
Microsoft-Activision deal not yet game on 12 Jul 2023 The $2.5 trillion tech giant has beaten down the US antitrust regulator. But the similar counterpart in the UK is digging in. Microsoft will have to either renegotiate its $69 billion deal with the gaming company or offer concessions, and then go through approval again.
Capital Calls: KKR’s reluctant bidding war 30 Jun 2023 Concise views on global finance: Despite pushing arguments about antitrust and financing risks, the buyout shop ended up parrying a rival suitor for industrials company Circor by matching it on price.
Alphabet threats show up everywhere but its shares 29 Jun 2023 The Google-owner’s valuation has powered ahead as it touts its prowess in artificial intelligence, in spite of mounting menaces. A report questioning Google's video ad sales compounds ongoing antitrust threats, and even AI might not be an unalloyed good.
LinkedIn ages like fine wine in Microsoft’s cellar 28 Jun 2023 In contrast to souring Meta and Twitter, the drier social media app is flourishing. Although veiled by its parent’s cloud dominance, the 2016-vintage acquisition has tripled in value from its $26 bln price tag. Business-related data also will help it keep maturing in the AI era.
EU phase-out of Huawei, ZTE is tricky but vital 20 Jun 2023 Commissioner Thierry Breton wants EU countries to end use of Chinese telecoms gear on national security grounds. Some states have already cut Huawei and ZTE from 5G networks. The EU survived decoupling from Russian energy, and it can manage this. But it requires German buy-in.
Reddit’s golden geese foul up its IPO plans 16 Jun 2023 The social network differs from peers like Facebook in its reliance on moderators – effectively unpaid employees, many of whom are on strike. Until CEO Steve Huffman can align their interests with his future investors, it’s hard to see Reddit as ready for public-company life.
Vodafone’s do-or-die UK deal is a risky bet 14 Jun 2023 The $24 bln telecoms firm is merging its UK mobile business with CK Hutchison’s Three to create Britain’s largest network. It is promising investment to win over competition watchdogs. It could backfire, but CEO Margherita Della Valle has few easy ways to please weary investors.
Gaming transatlantic gap invites M&A shoot-’em-up 9 Jun 2023 Shares in European gaming groups like Ubisoft are off by a fifth over the past year, underperforming stateside peers. Self-inflicted slip-ups are partly to blame, but players’ love for US-owned blockbusters means the valuation divide will endure. Dealmaking is a likely endgame.
Amazon wireless plan makes sense for almost no one 7 Jun 2023 The $1.3 trln e-commerce company is once again reported to be mulling a mobile service. But potential partners AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile have plenty to lose by letting Amazon use their networks. It also would be too expensive to make sense for cost-conscious boss Andy Jassy.
Activist Yelp review is worth hearing out 23 May 2023 TCS Capital wants the local listings site to explore a sale, pitching a tie-up with Barry Diller’s home-services rival Angi. A targeted $70-per-share price – double Yelp’s current valuation – seems absurdly high. But potential cost savings make the combo an intriguing blueprint.
Capital Calls: US gifts Big Tech 19 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: The US’s high court left internet firms’ liability protections untouched in two Thursday rulings. For Twitter, Meta and Google, business as usual is the ideal outcome.
Capital Calls: BT, Mediobanca 18 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: The 14 bln pound UK telco’s vague guidance is a concern for its two big shareholders seeking to recoup losses; the 8.5 bln euro Italian bank buys its biggest boutique yet.
Telecom Italia is stuck in risky game of chicken 4 May 2023 The telco’s board must decide on rival bids from KKR and state investor CDP for its fixed-line grid. None comes close to the 31 bln euro price wanted by top investor Vivendi, but cash is needed to slash debt. If neither side blinks, the group could face a messy capital increase.
“Super Mario” augurs more media-gaming tie-ups 20 Apr 2023 Nintendo and Universal’s film adaptation of the hit video game franchise could rake in $1.5 bln. That’s a big victory for an industry whose spinoffs have more often been the butt of jokes. With gaming stocks having sold off sharply, there’s logic in more media giants plugging in.
SoftBank exit eases Alibaba’s mega reboot 13 Apr 2023 The Japanese group is slashing its stake in the Chinese e-commerce firm to 4%, a symbolic end to a 23-year investment. Not much changes for Alibaba, but SoftBank’s position was a distraction. Now boss Daniel Zhang can focus on pitching shareholders on his radical breakup plan.
Google giggles at China tech’s shrinking act 31 Mar 2023 Investors like Alibaba’s plan to split six ways, hoping peers like Tencent follow. Yet Chinese online giants are already dwarfed by US colossi like $1.3 trln Alphabet. Smaller firms might be nimbler, but they’ll have less R&D funds and M&A firepower to take on the Americans.