Khashoggi is ghost at Milken’s Abu Dhabi confab 15 February 2019 Financiers at the billionaire’s annual Gulf shindig adopted a Trumpian shrug over Saudi agents’ murder of the dissident journalist. Lucrative forthcoming Aramco deals and White House support for the regime explain why. But the issues raised by Khashoggi’s death still linger.
Cannabis brings out mellow side of U.S. politics 13 February 2019 It’s one of the few issues on which most Americans agree, and a revived proposal to let banks serve state-sanctioned marijuana producers has a chance of becoming law. Fully legal weed remains a long way off – but that is something few in the industry actually want.
Holding: SEC stays classy on class-action lawsuits 13 February 2019 The U.S. watchdog allowed Johnson & Johnson to block a proposal to ban shareholders from suing en masse. The move preserves an essential check on corporate fraud – for now. Rising litigation and Supreme Court hostility to securities cases may soon force the regulator to yield.
Holding: Boards miss message about personal email 5 February 2019 Until recently, directors and officers could chat on individual accounts with near impunity. Now courts are forcing bosses at Uber, Facebook, Papa John's and elsewhere to cough up private and often incriminating texts. Think twice before sending that smiley-face emoticon.
M&A conflict case is advert for independent advice 31 January 2019 United Natural Foods is suing Goldman Sachs, saying the firm put its own interests first when it advised on and financed an acquisition. Goldman disagrees. Whatever the reality, having one adviser in multiple roles may be efficient, but it carries some risk of bad blood later.
Europe’s telcos have 20 bln reasons to love Huawei 29 January 2019 Ditching the Chinese supplier could push up costs for the region’s carriers, and knock 7 pct off their market value. Politicians may deem that a price worth paying to ensure the security of mobile networks. Yet slow-growing, debt-heavy telcos hardly need another cash flow hit.
Deripaska markdown will persist at En+ and Rusal 28 January 2019 The Russian metals groups have been freed from U.S. sanctions. Though their shares have perked up, they still trade below pre-sanctions level. Given the risk of new penalties should previous majority owner Oleg Deripaska exercise control, the valuation gap will linger.
Ghosn successors may further strain Nissan ties 24 January 2019 Renault has well-qualified successors lined up to replace its former CEO and chair, who resigned. They have the French state’s implicit backing. The political association could, however, raise hackles at its Japanese partner, making it harder to resolve the crisis in the alliance.
Renault-Nissan saga will eventually favour France 21 January 2019 Governance changes on the Japanese side may reduce its French partner’s board power. Yet Renault’s 43 pct stake is its trump card, and Nissan’s moves to skirt it are likely to fail. It’ll take time, but Paris should one day get what it wants: closer integration and maybe a deal.
PG&E takes one for the California wildfire team 14 January 2019 The utility is readying a bankruptcy filing, facing $30 bln of fire-related liabilities partly thanks to the Golden State’s questionable legal norms. Poor planning, including inadequate insurance, was its own fault. But state and other government actors have also fallen short.
Bond markets shrug off Danske dirty-money risks 11 January 2019 The bank at the centre of a money-laundering scandal saw its cost of issuing risky debt more than double. Still, its yields are far below those of Italy’s UniCredit. The troubles at the Danish lender may have further to run, and are harder to predict, than Rome’s political drama.
Holding: U.S. watchdog is in denial about denials 11 January 2019 As a condition of settling cases, the SEC typically bars alleged wrongdoers from later claiming innocence. This arguably violates free-speech protections. If a lawsuit challenging it succeeds, the financial regulator may finally have to start – gasp! – proving its charges.
Trump’s crisis powers are a Pandora’s box 9 January 2019 The U.S. president may yet try to bypass Congress to build a border wall by declaring a national emergency. In theory, similar authority could enable him to close CNN or block Facebook. Such scenarios would be tested in court. But there’s leeway, and only lawmakers can reduce it.
Ghosn puts up his freedom as bond for his legacy 8 January 2019 The deposed 64-year-old automaker CEO has declared his innocence. Given Japan's 99 pct conviction rate, he could face a decade in jail. Ghosn may hope prosecutors back off. Either way, the man who saved Nissan creates space to pull off another unprecedented rescue - of himself.
Credit Suisse Mozambique mess is shameful at best 4 January 2019 Three of the Swiss lender’s former bankers have been arrested on charges of facilitating kickbacks on $2 bln of loans for the African country. Credit Suisse blames deceptive employees and says it has tightened controls. Even if the fallout ends there, it’s highly embarrassing.
U.S. will find a way to make Danske Bank suffer 4 January 2019 Congress has made banks’ anti-money laundering a key concern. That bodes ill for Danske Bank, embroiled in a 200 billion euro suspicious funds scandal. The Danish lender is hardly a household name in the U.S. That gives politicians who wish to make an example of it free reign.
Deutsche Bank’s new dark clouds have silver lining 29 November 2018 The lender has been hit by police raids linked to clients’ alleged tax evasion and speculation its investment bank head could leave. Yet Panama Papers issues have thus far not meaningfully hit European banks. And Deutsche’s traders should have a decent 2019 – whoever’s in charge.
Holding: Big tech cruising for antitrust bruising 26 November 2018 Facebook’s Russian-meddling fumbles and Amazon’s second-headquarters hubris are Exhibits A and B for legal reform. Derided as “hipster antitrust,” the idea that bigness alone can breed evil is true to competition law’s original aim. It’s time trustbusters became disruptors, too.
UBS’s Ermotti can afford a legal brawl or two 9 November 2018 The Swiss lender has refused a $2 bln U.S. settlement over missold securities, according to Reuters. Barclays, which spurned a similar deal, offers some hope of a lower eventual hit. With healthy capital, Ermotti has headroom to fight both this and a separate French tax battle.
U.S. vote could put Wall St, Big Tech in same boat 1 November 2018 Polls give Democrats a good shot at taking control of the U.S. House in next week’s elections. That would mean more scrutiny for big banks like Wells Fargo and Silicon Valley titans. Tension with the White House would rise, but mortgage agency reform may spur rare bipartisanship.