How to sustain the big rebound in dealmaking 12 Mar 2024 The year kicked off with a 75% increase in global M&A activity, to $525 bln. Speaking to The Exchange podcast from a gathering of merger mavens in New Orleans, Evercore banker Bill Anderson discusses the resurgence and what’s needed to keep the momentum after a two-year slump.
Generali has some scope to think bigger on M&A 12 Mar 2024 Under CEO Philippe Donnet, the $38 bln insurer did smallish deals. Targeting big players like $16 bln Aviva, to shrink a gap with rivals, may require clashing top investors to back an equity hike. But Generali could also fund a large buy by running down its chunky capital buffer.
A $35 bln gas reunion tracks a topsy-turvy market 11 Mar 2024 Gas producer EQT spun off its midstream unit in 2018 to sate activists. The argument was that pipelines return cash while gas firms spend it. But that’s no longer true and the operational logic was thin. Striking amid low gas prices invites scrutiny, but recombining makes sense.
Hostile bidders run into a credibility crunch 11 Mar 2024 Retailer Macy’s and hunting-gear maker Vista Outdoor are resisting uninvited $7 bln and $3 bln buyouts, arguing that the funding is flimsy. Higher interest rates indeed make life harder for suitors. Both proposals, however, look carefully calibrated to reflect the times.
Simmering M&A gumbo lacks essential ingredients 8 Mar 2024 Dealmakers cooked up more than $520 bln of mergers during the first two months of 2024, up 75% from last year’s ultra-sluggish start. Financial and legal advisers gathered in New Orleans are still stewing, however. For them, the recipe calls for some Fed and private equity spice.
Capital Calls: Packaging M&A 8 Mar 2024 Concise views on global finance: A potential 11 bln pound tie-up of UK-listed packaging companies DS Smith and Mondi will rest on yet-to-be-disclosed synergies.
A year on, SVB’s killer is still at large 7 Mar 2024 Twelve months after Silicon Valley Bank’s demise, investors worry more about real estate than flighty depositors. The disjointed system that enabled a crisis remains intact, though, with patchy oversight, incomplete safety nets and ambiguity over who loses if a lender fails.
Virgin Money sale is UK challenger banks’ swansong 7 Mar 2024 Nationwide Building Society is paying a high premium for the embattled lender, but accounting gains and the scope to rival giants like Lloyds Banking Group sweeten the $3.7 bln deal. Still, the demise of the most prominent smaller bank suggests the sector is reverting to form.
Swarming investor gnats circle too widely 6 Mar 2024 New US rules have started helping smaller fund managers make a mark. They’re increasingly needling boards and stinging CEOs. When they flit around bigger targets such as Disney and Crown Castle, however, they’re easily swatted away and become a nuisance for larger activists.
Nelson Peltz becomes gadfly to Disney’s flywheel 5 Mar 2024 A 130-plus page presentation makes a strong case for how and why the $210 bln company's boss Bob Iger didn't do his job. Activist Nelson Peltz’s ideas for fixing Disney are weaker. Still, CEOs run companies; board members keep tabs. In a smaller world, Peltz might win a seat.
Boeing’s reverse deal thrust augurs small tailwind 4 Mar 2024 Jettisoning supplier Spirit AeroSystems in 2005 benefited the plane-maker, but only temporarily. Financial weakness is now compounding 737 MAX woes and hurting shareholders of both companies. Buying back the $4 bln former subsidiary should generate value in quality improvement.
Elliott has limited ammo in UK retail bidding war 4 Mar 2024 The US investment group’s latest $951 mln offer for retailer Currys could have yielded an adequate return. But the target has rejected it. Hiking the offer looks tricky given the ropey UK economy, reduced scope for leverage, and potential rival bidder JD.com’s deep pockets.
UK $4 bln insurance mash-up may yet motor 28 Feb 2024 Direct Line rejected a cash and share offer from its $8 bln Belgian rival Ageas. The target’s depressed share price suggests it has good reason to hold out for more. And synergies related to the two groups’ capital should give Ageas scope to hike its offer.
A $16 bln deal models buyouts’ modest comeback 28 Feb 2024 Private equity’s 2023 was a year to forget; 2024’s near-$100 bln of buyouts is a better start. The carve-out of Truist’s insurance unit shows banks willing to lend, finally, at a decent level. Crazy checks won’t return until rates fall again, but for LBO shops, it’s a start.
Vodafone’s Italy exit puts speed before valuation 28 Feb 2024 The UK telco looks poised to sell its hard-pressed local business to Swisscom for 8 bln euros in cash. The price tag is lower than a previous Iliad offer. But it’s a cleaner exit, and advances boss Margherita Della Valle’s goal of prompt M&A to make her company less sprawling.
Exxon juggles stick of dynamite near Hess deal 27 Feb 2024 The oil giant and Chinese partner CNOOC say Chevron’s $53 bln acquisition of Hess gives them the right to buy the latter’s crown jewel stake in a Guyana oil field. While that threatens to blow up Chevron’s plan, an Exxon purchase also could saddle it with a risky time-bomb.
Capital Calls: Charter and Altice 27 Feb 2024 Concise views on global finance: Tying up Charter, the cable giant backed by the media mogul, with rival Altice USA would form the country’s largest broadband player. That isn’t worth bearing the burden of regulatory hurdles, Altice’s mountain of debt, or its over-rich valuation.
Stephen King ghost-writes trustbusting bestseller 27 Feb 2024 The US FTC is suing to block the $25 bln merger of grocers Kroger and Albertsons partly because of perceived harm to union labor. It resembles, oddly enough, a winning DOJ lawsuit over Penguin’s deal to buy Simon & Schuster. The case has a good shot at becoming a horror classic.
Europe defence push requires clearing M&A barriers 27 Feb 2024 The region is hiking military spending to aid Ukraine and become less dependent on the US. Yet governments are squandering investment on incompatible weapons and systems. Creating more regional champions, like aerospace giant Airbus and missile maker MBDA, is a top priority.
Alcoa forges smart deal out of metal woes 26 Feb 2024 The US metal producer wants to buy Alumina, whose sole asset is 40% of a joint venture with its wannabe new owner. Benefits to Alcoa from the $2.2 bln deal include a simpler structure. And selling investors get a premium despite rising costs and falling aluminium prices.