Mining

Cautious miners leave room for new swashbucklers

17 August 2018

Heavyweights like BHP have retreated from promising projects in tough spots. Even daring Glencore is fretting about Congo. The result is a long list of untapped resources and few buyers outside China. An intrepid fresh player could step in - if it can access private capital.

Antofagasta shows markets’ low bar to trade panic

14 August 2018

Shares in the London-listed Chilean copper miner slumped after it said U.S.-China trade tensions may hit demand for the metal. Antofagasta had a weak first half, but its guidance is unchanged. Macro jitters mean investors are unwilling to give companies the benefit of the doubt.

Glencore risks writ large in balance sheet caution

8 August 2018

The $60 bln commodities giant only narrowly missed first-half EBITDA forecasts, despite a slew of Congo and U.S. subpoena-related woes. Given its swashbuckling image, investors might have expected more of a splash. The fact they got deleveraging instead flags the group’s concern.

Viewsroom: Trump’s Supreme Court pick

12 July 2018

The U.S. president has chosen a friend of big business in Brett Kavanaugh. But he faces bigger questions from Senate democrats about executive power. Plus: Commodity giant Glencore faces mounting risks in Washington, and what’s behind the Chinese yuan’s downward slide.

U.S. salvo at Glencore has unintended consequences

12 July 2018

A request for details on anti-corruption practices wiped more than $6 bln off the commodities giant's value in a week, raising questions over its future. Yet action is not without a sting for Washington too - if it leaves China even more dominant in resource-rich trouble spots.

Glencore’s investor sunshine aided by U.S. cloud

5 July 2018

A $1 bln buyback will please investors wanting to see the commodities giant’s stronger balance sheet reflected in cash goodies. Yet Glencore is doing it as U.S. authorities demand details on anti-corruption compliance. Its usual gung-ho dealmaking may need to take a back seat.

Agarwal’s Anglo American carve-up looks a stretch

4 July 2018

The Indian billionaire is mulling a merger of his Vedanta empire with the global miner’s South African arm, Mint reports. The valuation case for a breakup is less compelling than it was. If Agarwal acts, it looks more logical to target the miner’s non-South African assets.

Mongolian coal IPO may keep wandering

22 June 2018

The Central Asian nation revived plans to list its prize mine, seven years after it tried at a $15 bln valuation. Coal prices have rebounded from 2015 lows and Chinese demand is strong. With just one big customer and years of false starts, though, investors will need convincing.

South32 finds acceptable way to splash the cash

18 June 2018

The BHP spinoff is paying $1.3 bln for the rest of Canadian miner Arizona Mining. The 50 percent premium sounds reminiscent of past mining M&A excess. Yet the deal makes strategic sense, and isn’t too pricey. Besides, South32 needs to deploy its mountain of net cash.

Glencore Congo settlement is a calculated risk

15 June 2018

Paying royalties to Israeli businessman Dan Gertler in euros rather than dollars helps solve the commodities giant’s headache in the African country, while avoiding falling foul of American sanctions. The danger, though, is that the United States changes the goalposts.

Glencore solves least troubling Congo problem

13 June 2018

A debt-for-equity swap at a DRC unit settles a thorny dispute with state miner Gecamines. But the $74 bln resources giant is no nearer to a deal on the country's burdensome new mining code. Heightened uncertainty over upcoming presidential elections only adds to the discomfort.

Chinese deal offers DRC miners a rare sign of hope

12 June 2018

State-backed CITIC has poured $560 mln into Robert Friedland’s Ivanhoe Mines. That is an unusual endorsement of the Democratic Republic of Congo, following a punitive new mining code. The move suggests a compromise is still likely, which would benefit Glencore and Randgold too.

M&A pause is promising for Wesfarmers investors

7 June 2018

The $39 billion Australian conglomerate is exiting British DIY and spinning off supermarkets. Newish boss Rob Scott is wary about future dealmaking. That is encouraging for shareholders: it makes more sense for now to work existing businesses harder and return more cash.

China’s Chile deal highlights a battery dilemma

16 May 2018

Tianqi Lithium is set to buy a stake in the $14.9 bln SQM. That suggests worries about excessive Beijing control over the key battery ingredient’s supply have eased. Still, the People's Republic would raise its share of output, hampering resource-rich nations’ scope to push back.

Glencore can dig its way out of Kinshasa quagmire

30 April 2018

A former partner is threatening to freeze two of the $71 bln commodity giant's operations in Congo, demanding $3 bln. It's the latest in a list of woes in the African country, including a tough new mining code. But the 6 pct drop in the stock over the past week is overblown.

Indonesia’s green ploy for copper raises red flag

25 April 2018

New environmental rules complicate and delay already tricky negotiations over control of Freeport-McMoRan's Grasberg mine. Cleaning up is a good thing, but the timing smacks of strong-arm tactics. It's a cautionary tale to foreign investors about an economy with so much appeal.

U.S. sanctions rethink is only partly reassuring

24 April 2018

A Treasury decision to delay the effects of sanctions on Rusal and allow it to disentangle itself from Oleg Deripaska has boosted the shares of the Russian group. But it leaves U.S. policy harder to gauge. That doesn’t augur well for next month’s crunch decision on Iran.

Russia’s banks could once more be its airbag

16 April 2018

The Kremlin has already authorised short-term liquidity to metals group Rusal. If the U.S. sanctions net gets cast wider, Moscow could use its control of the big Russian banks to prop up stricken companies. After all, that’s what it did when things last got dicey in 2014.

Opacity makes U.S. sanctions on Russia more potent

11 April 2018

Rusal aluminium will be barred from London’s Metal Exchange, and the Russian group and parent En+ will be deleted from some stock indices. In theory, non-Americans should be able to deal with both. But fear of how rules will be enforced is compounding the pain of tough sanctions.

Glencore’s Rusal cloud has a silver lining

9 April 2018

The commodity trader is nursing a hit to its 9 percent stake in the Russian miner, whose shares have halved due to U.S. sanctions. But the loss is bearable and disruption to the aluminium market and growing protectionism may end up helping CEO Ivan Glasenberg’s trading business.