Reckitt slump offers a cue to slim down 18 Mar 2024 The $41 bln Lysol maker’s shares fell sharply after it lost a US court case. One option for Reckitt Benckiser is to separate the nutrition arm, focus of the legal woes. That would ease the hit to the rest of the group, but also leave a new arm that may yet be worth something.
JD gives China bargain hunters glimmer of hope 7 Mar 2024 The $36 bln retailer improved quarterly sales and profitability and is boosting dividends and buybacks. It's nothing spectacular, but JD's beaten-down shares rallied 16%. Amid geopolitics, China's economic woes and rock-bottom valuations, getting back to basics can pay off.
Cosmetics IPO application calls for a steady hand 4 Mar 2024 Buyout firm CVC is braving uncertain markets to list retailer Douglas, possibly for 7 bln euros. Shoppers’ appetite for premium makeup despite inflation is a positive sign. Yet the group’s high leverage and competition from Sephora call for a valuation discount to US rival Ulta.
Elliott has limited ammo in UK retail bidding war 4 Mar 2024 The US investment group’s latest $951 mln offer for retailer Currys could have yielded an adequate return. But the target has rejected it. Hiking the offer looks tricky given the ropey UK economy, reduced scope for leverage, and potential rival bidder JD.com’s deep pockets.
Capital Calls: Airline recovery, AMS Osram 29 Feb 2024 Concise views on global finance: A travel boom lifted 2023 operating profit at the $10 bln parent of British Airways and Iberia above its pre-pandemic level; shares in the sensor company, a supplier of Apple, fell 43% after the group cancelled a major micro-LED project.
Stephen King ghost-writes trustbusting bestseller 27 Feb 2024 The US FTC is suing to block the $25 bln merger of grocers Kroger and Albertsons partly because of perceived harm to union labor. It resembles, oddly enough, a winning DOJ lawsuit over Penguin’s deal to buy Simon & Schuster. The case has a good shot at becoming a horror classic.
Alibaba is the ultimate contrarian China bet 21 Feb 2024 The $188 bln e-commerce group was once emblematic of the country’s growth and tech innovation. But over-expansion, regulatory crackdowns, and slowing consumption are forcing CEO Eddie Wu to perform a hard reset. Winning back investors requires Beijing to correct course too.
Walmart buys TV portal to nowhere 20 Feb 2024 The $484 bln retailer is buying smart-TV maker Vizio for $2.3 bln. It’s a tiny gamble on the possibility the operating system eventually captures individual viewing habits and beefs up ad capabilities. But given Walmart’s M&A track record, chances are, it’s still a waste.
JD is logical winner of odd UK retail bidding war 19 Feb 2024 The $37 bln Chinese e-tailer is mulling an offer for Britain’s Currys, also the subject of interest from Elliott Advisors. A feeding frenzy for a sub-$1 bln UK asset with an unproven turnaround story sounds weird. But JD.com’s need to expand overseas is a strong motivation.
Hermès’ winning style is hard to replicate 9 Feb 2024 The French seller of $10,000 Birkin bags has outshined rivals, shrugging off inflation fears and a slowing China. Elite shoppers who see its high-end leather products as a store of value create resilience. Gucci-like brands, more exposed to fashion moods, look more fragile.
Unilever is test case for ‘edible stranded assets’ 2 Feb 2024 The $123 bln consumer goods group relies on brands that look vulnerable to sugar taxes and changing eating habits. Like oil majors facing lower demand, Unilever and others like Nestlé may have to write down the value of these assets. Unfortunately, the problem defies easy fixes.
Capital Calls: Paramount takeover bid 31 Jan 2024 Concise views on global finance: Media mogul Byron Allen, whose company owns The Weather Channel, is offering to buy the TV and film conglomerate for $30 bln. Even if he doesn’t become the next owner, his presence should help get a sale process moving and plump up the price tag.
Tired trends make their way to Macy’s 26 Jan 2024 The department store chain dressed down a $5.8 bln takeover bid by two investment shops because of financing concerns. From Kohl’s to Saks, the designs are typically the same: split stores from property or online from brick-and-mortar. Neither option looks especially attractive.
Shein’s China and ESG risk puts IPO on iffy ground 25 Jan 2024 The fast-fashion giant is preparing a New York stock market listing. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how US investors might be wary of links to Beijing, and how its hard-to-recycle $5 tops and sweaters could be vulnerable to future regulation.
P&G cleans up by getting its hands dirty 23 Jan 2024 The $366 bln consumer goods company raised prices just enough to exact pain onto consumers without sacrificing overall sales. It isn’t feeling the effects of inflation either, which helped gross margins. That enabled P&G to reinvest in brands, creating a sweet spot.
Shein’s waste factor is its ultimate IPO risk 19 Jan 2024 The China-linked retailer’s lean production model helps it keep inventory low. Yet its polyester garments are carbon-intensive and hard to recycle. Regulators’ growing unease about textile pollution, and the cost of addressing the mess, may require giving up clients or margins.
Capital Calls: Richemont revival 18 Jan 2024 Concise views on global finance: Shares in the $72 bln owner of Cartier rallied 9% after its quarterly results beat expectations, but concerns over the luxury sector persist.
Athleisure boom offers edge to premium retailers 18 Jan 2024 Wealthy shoppers are splurging on pricey leggings and sneakers despite inflationary pressure. That helps premium brands like $59 bln Lululemon and On while Nike and others deal with inventory pile-ups. If the big players can’t catch up, valuation gaps will only get wider.
Burberry’s weakness could entice luxury shopper 12 Jan 2024 After a profit warning, the $6 bln UK fashion group is worth 45% less than it was a year ago. Potential buyers will have noticed. While private equity firms may struggle to make decent returns in a slow market, sector leader LVMH could find the situation more tempting.
‘Polluter pays’ doctrine will take on new meaning 3 Jan 2024 Carbon-intensive throwaway fashion and ubiquitous plastic waste are dirtying the globe. That may change as governments start to crack down on discarded textiles and polymer-based items. Companies and their investors face a costlier journey to a more sustainable world.