Next Premier League CEO will start one goal behind 17 January 2019 A second candidate refused English soccer’s top job. It’s a tough role since Sky and BT are loath to keep bankrolling the sport, Amazon is sitting on the sidelines and rowdy soccer-club chairmen have to be tackled. Whoever takes the job will know the league’s glory days are past.
Hadas: Governance gold would help the Olympics 17 January 2019 A new probe into how Tokyo won the 2020 summer games feels sadly familiar. Persistent wrongdoing at executive and athletic levels arises from a toxic mix of money, symbolism and hypocrisy. That can’t be changed, but the Olympic “faster, higher, stronger” motto offers guidance.
A century on, bet on a new Black Sox-like scandal 2 January 2019 Legalized U.S. sports wagering is set to soar after a court cleared the way. Bringing some of the $150 bln gambling market out of the shadows has merit, but also raises the stakes – and temptations. Odds are improving for an incident like the baseball-fixing disgrace of 1919.
Tencent will become world e-sports champion 27 December 2018 The global $1 bln competitive video-game market will reach a new level in 2019. As audiences for “League of Legends” tournaments pull even with the NFL, ad revenue will post explosive growth. That will fund Tencent’s expansion of its overseas franchise.
Anta deal enters arena of extreme financial sports 13 December 2018 Instead of a straightforward acquisition, the Chinese company structured a $5.2 bln LBO of Finland’s Amer. Partners like Lululemon’s founder may help accelerate sales of workout apparel and Salomon skis, but hefty debt also implies a risky race for private equity-style returns.
Anta deal would be a marathon not a sprint 19 November 2018 Tencent may join the Chinese sportswear company and others in their $5.3 bln approach for Salomon owner Amer. The price, plus initial hits to the margin and dividend, worry shareholders. And yet if Anta could replicate what it did with Fila, the acquisition might pay off in time.
Casino M&A regulatory pushback worth the gamble 8 November 2018 More trouble at Wynn could make it a takeover target. MGM may place its chips on Caesars. Watchdogs take a hard line on casino deals. But with legalized sports betting and a drop in table gambling challenging the Las Vegas Strip, bulking up may be the safest way to beat the odds.
There’s method in Saudi’s Man Utd soccer madness 15 October 2018 The kingdom’s crown prince may back a tilt at the UK soccer club, reports the Sun. It sounds barmy, and a convenient distraction from the international storm over a journalist’s disappearance. Yet Saudi backing for a new elite club tournament means it could make financial sense.
The Dolans are better at spinoffs than coaching 9 October 2018 The family behind $7 bln Madison Square Garden is separating yet another business from its empire. This time, it’s cleaving off the NY Knicks and Rangers from the Rockettes. The sports teams may win no trophies, but the deal could bag up to a 33 pct bonus for shareholders.
Chinese $5 bln winter sports bid is hard to beat 11 September 2018 Fujian-based Anta has approached Finnish ski-wear maker Amer. The offer values the group at a hefty 17 times EBITDA. Anta’s need to fend off U.S. peers in its home turf suggests it will pay more than any rival. Still, the target’s share price suggests investors aren’t convinced.
Nike puts politically divisive spring in its step 4 September 2018 The U.S. brand is putting Colin Kaepernick, the first NFL player to kneel for the national anthem, in its revived “Just Do It” ads. Airlines, sports stores and pizza chains have wrestled with partisan issues. In the commoditized sneaker trade, it’s a risk worth taking.
World Cup win partially vindicates transfer market 16 July 2018 The French players who lifted the trophy had the highest value of any team in the soccer jamboree. Other expensive stars fell short, and hard-to-quantify factors played a big role, as finalists Croatia showed. In a hyper-financial sport, though, prices offer a guide to success.
Hadas: World Cup reveals competitive market secret 11 July 2018 The intense rivalry of the soccer championship is built on a cooperative foundation of shared rules and desires. Markets for products display similar superficial fights and deep common roots. Like sport, business competition also tends to become lopsided without careful controls.
Elliott may beat Juventus in returns shoot-out 11 July 2018 Paul Singer’s hedge fund has taken control of Italian soccer team AC Milan, while rival Juventus has bought goal machine Cristiano Ronaldo for 100 mln euros. Neither looks an easy financial score. But Elliott’s bargain price and Milan’s scope to improve combine for better odds.
Chinese sportswear may be hard turf to defend 11 July 2018 As Nike and Adidas duke it out at the World Cup in Russia, a bigger matchup looms. China’s market for sneakers and kit is growing quickly, and local rivals like $14 bln ANTA have had a good run. Younger and richer consumers, though, could start giving foreign brands an advantage.
World Cup Soccernomics 29 June 2018 A Breakingviews calculator predicted 14 of the 16 teams that made the soccer tournament’s knockout stage. But the analysis of player values, home support and participation did not foresee defending champion Germany’s early exit. The data now points to Brazil lifting the trophy.
Winner’s curse defeats numbers game at World Cup 29 June 2018 A Breakingviews calculator predicted 14 of the 16 teams that made the soccer tournament’s knockout stage. But the analysis of player values, home support and participation did not foresee defending champion Germany’s early exit. The data now points to Brazil lifting the trophy.
AC Milan’s UEFA loss is Elliott’s gain 28 June 2018 The Italian soccer club has been excluded from next year’s Europa League given doubts over its finances. The ban likely curbs its struggling Chinese owners’ ability to resell it. But it boosts the chances that creditor Elliott ends up taking on the team at a rock-bottom price.
European TV ends self-destructive soccer splurge 26 June 2018 The financial balance of power is shifting from clubs to groups like Sky, Telefonica and Canal Plus. The sport gets less money. But halting rights inflation gives telecom companies cash to invest in mobile networks while media groups can better compete with Netflix and Amazon.
Viewsroom: Disney, Comcast go from zero to berserk 21 June 2018 The Magic Kingdom and the cable company are driving up the price for parts of Twenty-First Century Fox in a global M&A battle that throws financial logic out the window. But does it make sense strategically? Plus: India’s cricket league takes a few pages from the NFL playbook.