BT’s vacant CEO job will only appeal to masochists 10 Jul 2023 Less than two months after releasing a turnaround plan that failed to convince investors, boss Philip Jansen said he will leave. There are no clear alternatives to his strategy of laying fibre broadband and cutting costs. Tricky shareholders will only add to the new broom’s pain.
Capital Calls: Eli Lilly gorges on obesity options 27 Jun 2023 Concise views on global finance: The drugmaker found patients losing an incredible 24% of their weight on one of its latest treatments. First-movers don’t always win out in pharma, however, as Pfizer proved with Lipitor. That’s why Lilly is wise to keep investing in alternatives.
EU phase-out of Huawei, ZTE is tricky but vital 20 Jun 2023 Commissioner Thierry Breton wants EU countries to end use of Chinese telecoms gear on national security grounds. Some states have already cut Huawei and ZTE from 5G networks. The EU survived decoupling from Russian energy, and it can manage this. But it requires German buy-in.
Vodafone’s do-or-die UK deal is a risky bet 14 Jun 2023 The $24 bln telecoms firm is merging its UK mobile business with CK Hutchison’s Three to create Britain’s largest network. It is promising investment to win over competition watchdogs. It could backfire, but CEO Margherita Della Valle has few easy ways to please weary investors.
Telco tycoons’ UK bets look stuck underwater 25 May 2023 Patrick Drahi, Xavier Niel, John Malone and Abu Dhabi’s e& have lost $2.4 bln on about $13 bln worth of investments in BT and Vodafone, Breakingviews estimates. It’s hard to see either firm recovering soon, leaving their big-money backers potentially stuck in the quicksand.
Capital Calls: BT, Mediobanca 18 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: The 14 bln pound UK telco’s vague guidance is a concern for its two big shareholders seeking to recoup losses; the 8.5 bln euro Italian bank buys its biggest boutique yet.
Vodafone CEO’s strategy hangs on missing M&A 16 May 2023 New boss Margherita Della Valle wants to cut 11,000 jobs. But there’s no fixing the $30 bln telecoms giant without striking mergers or sales in Britain, Italy, Spain and elsewhere. Even imperfect deals may be preferable to the wavering under Della Valle’s predecessor Nick Read.
Capital Calls: Unilever, Shopify 4 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: The consumer goods company may need to backtrack on a pay package for its incoming CEO to quell a shareholder revolt; shares in Canadian e-commerce firm Shopify shot up over 20% after it said it was selling its logistics business to Flexport.
Telecom Italia is stuck in risky game of chicken 4 May 2023 The telco’s board must decide on rival bids from KKR and state investor CDP for its fixed-line grid. None comes close to the 31 bln euro price wanted by top investor Vivendi, but cash is needed to slash debt. If neither side blinks, the group could face a messy capital increase.
Capital Calls: Exxon, US regional banks 28 Apr 2023 Concise views on global finance: Exxon’s two golden eggs are the Permian and Guyana; market composure gives time for a First Republic fix.
Apple’s store push marks its big Indian wedding 18 Apr 2023 Dhol drums – a high-decibel feature of marriage celebrations – played in Mumbai as Tim Cook opened the company’s first store. A retail presence is mostly a symbolic gesture given India’s lower-middle income status. Yet selling more iPhones isn’t the only thing Cook has to gain.
Capital Calls: IMF’s grim outlook, Electric cars 11 Apr 2023 Concise views on global finance: The International Monetary Fund’s medium-term forecast for the global economy is the bleakest since 1990; lower proposed mileage ratings for electric vehicles could force automakers to sell more of them to meet regulatory standards.
Satellite M&A may just create more space debris 11 Apr 2023 Luxembourg-based SES is in talks about a possible $10 bln combination with US rival Intelsat. Both companies need scale and cost savings to compete with a new breed of giants like Elon Musk’s SpaceX. But they also risk doubling down on slower-growing parts of the market.
Cellnex could use an outsider with a sharp knife 30 Mar 2023 Hedge fund TCI has accused the Spanish tower operator of “mishandling” an ongoing CEO search. Once an M&A machine, the $27 bln firm needs to cut its debt load markedly. That requires a new boss with a fresh perspective, not an insider.
Xavier Niel can feast on European telco misery 27 Mar 2023 The French tycoon has assembled a privately owned telecoms empire worth about $33 bln, Breakingviews calculates. Behind the scenes he’s manoeuvring to further spread his wings. Purchases of stakes in Vodafone and Luxembourg-based Millicom signal the scale of his ambition.
Capital Calls: Bank of England, Wonder drugs 23 Mar 2023 Concise views on global finance: The UK central bank has joined peers in raising rates, but there’s not much room to keep hiking. Meanwhile, a drug that might help smokers’ lung is could be good for makers Regeneron and Sanofi, but even better for society.
There’s hope beyond moaning for European telcos 3 Mar 2023 Orange and Deutsche Telekom asked for US Big Tech to pay for a “fair share” of network investment at the sector’s annual Barcelona bunfight. Even if it helps, it won’t be a quick fix. At least there’s hope the EU will allow more mergers, and new technology could help cut costs.
EU’s Big Tech shakedown heads down new blind alley 1 Mar 2023 The European Commission’s effort to squeeze money out of the likes of Alphabet and Apple now aims at telecommunications, with a bid to make Silicon Valley pay for the bloc’s broadband infrastructure. Regulators have pooh-poohed the idea since 2012. It hasn’t improved with age.
Airtel would be a complex saviour for Paytm 28 Feb 2023 Any investment from telecoms magnate Sunil Bharti Mittal would be a timely sign of confidence in the loss-making fintech darling as its big Chinese investors exit. Tycoons and banks are not happy bedfellows in India Inc, but deal talk at least shifts the debate to Paytm’s value.
Telecom Italia breakup can please all its masters 15 Feb 2023 The sickly telco needs to cut its 25.4 bln euro debt pile. Selling its fixed-line grid to KKR offers a fix, provided the government gets a stake in the strategic asset. For major investor Vivendi, the upside would be a chance to sell Telecom Italia’s revamped service business.