Orsted revival requires more than belt-tightening 7 Feb 2024 The $23 bln Danish group cut its 2030 power capacity target and cancelled dividends after facing $4 bln of US impairments. For investors, it’s better than an equity raise. But an Orsted share-price recovery hinges on regaining their trust – and expected rate cuts materialising.
Green investors will learn the art of stockpicking 21 Dec 2023 Wind and solar stocks had a torrid 2023, as stars like Orsted crashed. But renewables investment is strong, input cost inflation is abating and rates may have peaked. Investors able to pick developers in the right sector, or suppliers in the right regions, may find bargains.
Santa puts coal stocks in stockings for last time 19 Dec 2023 Producers of the dirty fuel, like Peabody and Arch Resources, have generated excellent returns over the past two years, a trend that may continue in the near term. But government policies are rapidly eroding demand. Fewer investors will want the shares in Christmases future.
Renewable will increasingly mean mostly solar 7 Dec 2023 Cheap green power is eating coal and gas, but solar's price is falling fast. It isn’t an exact wind substitute, so even costly offshore farms have a future. Texas shows the future, where solar now accounts for 7% of generation and has grown 5 times as fast as wind since 2019.
Britain solves half of its wind power problem 16 Nov 2023 After a humiliating failed auction, the UK is hiking green energy subsidies. That will draw bidders, and the resulting power should still be cheaper than gas. But to hit a target of 50 GW of offshore wind by 2030, PM Rishi Sunak will need to allot more cash in new bidding rounds.
Siemens Energy solves just one of its many issues 15 Nov 2023 CEO Christian Bruch got 12 bln euros of financial guarantees, including from the German state, which fixes the turbine maker’s urgent problem. But he now faces dividend and bonus restrictions. And reviving the struggling wind-power unit will involve racking up yet more losses.
Capital Calls: Disney’s Marvel flop, US inflation 14 Nov 2023 Concise views on global finance: Bob Iger’s prized acquisitions Marvel, Pixar and Lucasfilm are losing their mojo, just as his dealmaking mettle is being tested; inflation has eased even as growth looks strong, but warnings from consumers and companies signal potential weakness.
Wind woe opens door for alternative green ideas 9 Nov 2023 Shares of Orsted and Siemens Energy are being battered by their inability to boost profits. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how trouble in offshore wind may encourage investors to back other clean energy segments like battery storage, cables and solar.
Orsted’s losing US bets need rethink of UK plans 1 Nov 2023 The Danish wind giant lost a fifth of its value after a surprising $4 bln impairment in the States. That erases most of the capex spent there. Yet it still wants to invest in the world’s biggest economy to meet its lofty targets, a risky gamble that requires restraint in Britain.
Capital Calls: Food prices, Brookfield, SPAC spin 3 Oct 2023 Concise views on global finance: The cost of ingredients for the average UK meal fell 0.1% in September; the Canadian giant’s $1 bln renewables deal reflects how European green assets are getting more appealing; Singapore’s SPAC puts a new spin on blank-cheque targets.
Cable makers are green investing’s dark horses 28 Sep 2023 Net zero requires annual grid investment to more than double to $750 bln by 2030, plus the building of more solar and wind farms. That’s a boon for makers of power lines like Prysmian and Nexans. Green investors searching for growth may increasingly pay them more attention.
Capital Calls: UK wind 8 Sep 2023 Concise views on global finance: The country’s latest offshore wind auction predictably receives no bids, complicating its decarbonisation targets.
Orsted’s issues fan way beyond the United States 30 Aug 2023 Denmark’s $27 bln wind giant saw shares plunge over 20% after it said it may need to write down $2 bln of US projects. Yet Orsted’s supply chain and subsidy problems may also upend progress in the UK. And by recently implying all was well, management has lost credibility.
Capital Calls: PIF, Siemens Energy 7 Aug 2023 Concise views on global finance: Saudi Arabia’s big sovereign wealth fund is getting bigger; the $13 bln German company unveiled a $2.4 bln charge due to persistent wind turbine problems.
UK net-zero ‘pragmatism’ is an odd way to get real 4 Aug 2023 PM Rishi Sunak says he cares about decarbonisation, but is also signing off new oil schemes. Uncertain energy transition costs make that a logical political strategy. But the government’s own data suggest relying on volatile gas over renewable power could be an expensive mistake.
UK is in danger of becoming the Nigeria of wind 20 Jul 2023 Ex-PM Boris Johnson wanted Britain to be for green energy what Saudi Arabia is for oil. Yet Vattenfall is halting a key offshore wind scheme, and it’s not clear if the UK will let developers hike prices to offset soaring costs. The more apt OPEC comparison is output-hit Nigeria.
BP’s German wind option risks multiple blowbacks 13 Jul 2023 The UK oil major and TotalEnergies have won Berlin’s $14 bln auction to boost green power, helping all three hit wind capacity targets. But the winners only have to pay 10% of the cost in the short term. Given the high prices offered, the risk is the projects don’t get built.
Capital Calls: Canada is calling Meta’s bluff 23 Jun 2023 Concise views on global finance: The Facebook owner plans to pull news on its platforms in Canada after the country passed a bill that requires internet giants pay publishers. If Australia is any guide, Meta will eventually cave.
Europe’s oil major sweet spot could yet turn sour 4 May 2023 Shell, BP and Total are still making fat profits, and investors seem fine with a slower route out of oil. Rising rates also make wind projects look even less enticing than fossil fuel ones. But longer term, Europe’s oil titans may lose their head start in the shift to net zero.
Rich countries and India should cut a climate pact 10 Apr 2023 Helping the world’s most populous nation grow in a green way is one of the best things that could happen for its people and the planet. While there are many obstacles to a deal between the G7 and India, the prize is great enough for both sides to overcome them, says Hugo Dixon.