Mining pain may be just getting started 22 Feb 2024 Falling prices for nickel, lithium and copper have hit earnings at Glencore and Anglo American. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain why competition and dwindling demand for electric vehicles will keep key battery commodities under pressure.
BHP and Rio take competition out of going green 9 Feb 2024 The giant miners are teaming up to try and decarbonise steel production. Cutting the 8% of global emissions the current process belches out is key to saving the planet. The collaboration can help Australia keep up too. It makes this unusual setting aside of rivalry doubly smart.
OPEC+ is a weird club for Brazil to want to join 30 Nov 2023 Latin America’s largest economy is mulling joining the 23-strong oil producer group. But OPEC+’s latest 2 mln barrels of daily cuts are not needed to balance the market, will rile the US at a sensitive time, and may increase internal strife. It seems more like a club to leave.
Natura takes a bath to pass on Body Shop stink 14 Nov 2023 The Brazilian beauty giant is selling the shower gel retailer for around $260 mln six years after buying it from L’Oréal for $1.1 bln. The 80% price discount reflects the eco-friendly brand’s loss of relevance. For buyer Aurelius, restoring glow requires applying a lot of polish.
Body Shop sale may give Natura skin-deep makeover 30 Aug 2023 After offloading Aesop for top dollars, the Brazilian beauty giant may struggle to fetch the cosmetics brand’s original $1 bln price tag in a sale. The M&A spree reversal will simplify Natura’s structure. But sprucing up its surviving Avon arm and other labels looks hard.
Saudi pays rich but logical price for Vale metals 28 Jul 2023 The kingdom is buying one-tenth of the $66 bln Brazilian miner’s nickel and copper arm. The $26 bln valuation on Vale’s base metals unit is steep, but cheaper than a full takeover. It also acts as a down payment on Saudi’s efforts to become an energy transition industrial hub.
Investors can discount IMF’s emerging-market gloom 21 Apr 2023 The multilateral lender has sounded a now-traditional warning about the financial distress facing emerging economies. Yet these markets have navigated rising US interest rates surprisingly well. Deep reforms mean there may be more good news to come, argues Felix Martin.
Three carry trades for a new monetary policy era 27 Jan 2023 Central banks’ moves mean that investors borrowing money in yen and placing it in U.S. assets – a once-popular “carry trade” – are no longer onto a sure-fire winner. They can do better by shorting the euro and investing in Mexico, Brazil or Hungary.
Brazil gives flagging climate fight a timely boost 31 Oct 2022 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva beat Jair Bolsonaro in the Latin American state’s presidential election. He could curb deforestation that makes the country a big greenhouse gas emitter. It’s a bright spot in a year when public and private sector momentum on climate change has slowed.
Brazil can buoy Sea’s growth ambitions 28 Oct 2022 The Singaporean games-to-payments group is exiting smaller countries and cutting costs to satisfy impatient investors. But it is making progress in the fast-growing Latin American market, where losses are narrowing. A $6.5 bln cash pile suggests Sea can stay the course.
Nubank becomes LatAm’s biggest, and riskiest, bank 9 Dec 2021 An IPO worth above $40 bln tops even Itaú Unibanco. At roughly 10 times tangible book value it’s a pricey bet that a Warren Buffett-backed Brazilian fintech can disrupt the region’s market before established players react, without missteps, and with immunity from economic perils.
Big miners are steeled against falling iron ore 21 Sep 2021 The mineral’s price has collapsed in two months, bucking inflationary trends. Rising supply, China’s cooling economy and changing consumer spending habits portend a further decline. Capital discipline and diversification will cushion the blow for BHP, Rio and Fortescue.
Guinea coup is win for Australia and Brazil 6 Sep 2021 Soldiers have deposed the West African nation’s president, Alpha Condé. Besides disruption to bauxite exports, the upheaval may upend development of the Simandou mine’s 8.6 billion tonnes of iron ore deposits, capable of adding 10% to global output. Rival diggers will be smiling.
Surf ‘n’ turf is juicy ESG starter for M&A feast 17 Aug 2021 Brazilian meatpacker JBS made a curious second bid for Tasmanian salmon farmer Huon after mining billionaire Andrew Forrest raised environmental and animal-welfare concerns. Buyers often come ready to clash over price, not sustainability. Add a new chapter to the deal cookbook.
Guest view: How companies can cut deforestation 20 May 2021 Yet more destruction of the Amazon last year raises climate-change fears. Former Brazil Finance Minister Joaquim Levy argues the key to ending this economically unsound treatment of rainforests lies in a mix of animal-tracing tech, integrated farming and better use of pastures.
Carrefour makes most of French M&A exceptionalism 24 Mar 2021 After seeing its own takeover blocked by President Emmanuel Macron, the Paris-based retailer is buying Brazil’s third-largest grocery chain. The $1.3 bln price is reasonable, and the touted savings large. Foreign expansion is more appealing than bulking up in slow-growth France.
Guest view: Consider a debt for vaccines program 9 Mar 2021 Such plans may help reduce currency mismatches in jab distribution, reduce the need for “new money” and avoid overloading balance sheets with unsustainable pre-existing debt. Epidemiologist Cristina Valencia and banker William Rhodes argue for piloting the idea in Latin America.
Guest view: Latin America has a Covid-19 cash gap 16 Oct 2020 Economic weakness has helped make the region’s health crisis one of the world’s worst, write former Citibank Chairman William Rhodes and epidemiologist Cristina Valencia. Even if a vaccine arrives, the recovery will demand more direct funding from the international community.
Three-pronged Brazil mobile assault can succeed 28 Jul 2020 Telecom Italia, Telefonica and America Movil have offered $3 bln to buy the wireless business of bankrupt Oi. With an established presence in Brazil, the three have an edge over a rival private equity offer. With the price already full, however, a bidding war could get costly.
Brazil’s tax reform is too little, too late 23 Jul 2020 The economy minister just proposed a simplified 12% VAT – part one of a much-needed tax reform. Passage would be a positive step, but small potatoes on its own – especially as its economy could shrink by almost 8%. The window for big-time economic reform may have closed.