Brazil

Brazil’s Bolsonaro gives China electric shock

5 November 2018

Beijing-backed energy companies hope to invest tens of billions in Brazilian power, but the president-elect has warned of Chinese intentions. Firms like State Grid would bring needed money and expertise, but populist suspicion might overrule commercial logic.

Viewsroom: Europe faces life after Angela Merkel

1 November 2018

Germany’s chancellor won’t seek re-election in 2021 and is stepping down as party chair next month after electoral setbacks. It may herald a rightward swing at home and less EU unity. Plus: investors’ embrace of Brazil’s far-right President-elect Jair Bolsonaro may prove risky.

Investors put excess faith in new Brazil president

29 October 2018

Markets approve of far-right populist Jair Bolsonaro’s election victory. Yet he’s only a recent convert to free-market policies and has odd ideas about the rule of law. Perhaps he can stick to his guns and dragoon Congress to fix the country’s fiscal woes. But it’s a risky wager.

In need of cool head, Brazil braces for opposite

25 October 2018

Far-right ex-army man Jair Bolsonaro looks set to win Sunday’s presidential runoff, riding voter anger over corruption, violence and economic stagnation. Prioritizing pension reform over strongman tactics would better address the nation’s ills. You can’t shoot fiscal deficits.

Brazil choice is how far back to wind the clock

3 October 2018

Elections on Sunday will probably send Jair Bolsonaro, a far-right nostalgist for military rule, and Fernando Haddad, a surrogate for jailed leftist icon Lula, into a two-man presidential runoff. Either would serve Brazilians best by letting his angriest backers down.

U.S. for once hits right note with Petrobras fine

27 September 2018

America’s foreign corruption laws often spark outrage about overreach. But penalizing the Brazilian state energy group $850 mln is a judicious result. It shows companies with ADSs will be held to account. And it mainly rewards Brazil’s authorities, which get 80 pct of the money.

Latam can exorcise returning decades-old demons

12 September 2018

Argentina’s peso crisis and the stabbing of a far-right candidate in Brazil echo the region’s past economic instability and political violence. Mexico’s oil industry, too, may revisit the 1970s; Venezuela is in a totalitarian time warp. But history doesn’t have to repeat.

Consumer giants have bigger problems than Turkey

28 August 2018

Unilever and Nestlé can resist a crisis in Turkey, which accounts for little of their revenue. But both will suffer if troubles spread across emerging markets, which account for about half of group sales. All the more so since Western shoppers are unlikely to take up the slack.

Latam’s market-friendly shift is at a parlous pass

27 August 2018

Argentina’s faltering growth imperils President Macri’s reforms. Mexico has delayed oil liberalization. Brazil’s main pro-business presidential candidate looks weak. Losing fiscal nous and foreign investment in the region’s biggest economies would hit business and the poor alike.

Brazil’s voters want firebrands, need the opposite

17 August 2018

Latin America’s biggest economy could use some competent fiscal stewardship. Geraldo Alckmin, a onetime anesthesiologist running in October’s presidential election, fits the bill. Many Brazilians, though, would prefer riskier choices: jailed leftist Lula, or a Trumpian demagogue.

Boeing’s $3.8 bln deal looks sleek, may not fly

5 July 2018

The aerospace giant is paying a fair price for 80 pct of Brazilian rival Embraer’s commercial-jet unit. Boeing can use the new joint venture to extend its dogfight with Airbus across the full range of aircraft. But Brasilia hasn’t signed off yet, and an election looms in October.

Guest view: Beware emerging market storm clouds

22 June 2018

A new period of mounting risks and uncertainties looms on the horizon for developing economies like Turkey, Malaysia, Brazil and Mexico, argues former Citibank executive William Rhodes. Rising price volatility and pressures on a range of currencies are merely the warning signs.

Walmart throws its BRICs into one basket

4 June 2018

The retailer is taking a $4.5 bln hit to sell most of its Brazil unit to private-equity firm Advent. As with its China - and UK - retreat, Walmart will at least get some benefit if fortunes improve. But it leaves CEO Doug McMillon’s shop even more dependent on India’s Flipkart.

Petrobras CEO exit weakens Brazil’s adult oversight

1 June 2018

Pedro Parente had been a successful boss of the state oil giant until it cut diesel prices to placate striking truckers. Now his tenure looks more like a blip than the end of traditional government meddling. Petrobras’ share-price plunge is a warning about how the economy is run.

Enel’s Brazil dominance needs elbow grease

31 May 2018

The Italian utility offered $2 bln to buy grid operator Eletropaulo, over three times its market value in March. It makes sense for Enel to grow its presence in South America’s biggest country, but extracting value at this price will require hefty cost savings and efficiencies.

Brazil’s truckers drive toward a fiscal hole

29 May 2018

Protesters demanding lower fuel prices have won concessions from the Temer government. But the specter of revived subsidies and state meddling in oil giant Petrobras hit investor confidence and the real currency, part of the truckers’ problem. Fiscal laxity is not a solution.

World Cup Soccernomics

29 May 2018

Who will lift soccer’s ultimate trophy in Russia this summer? Breakingviews ranked the 32 contenders according to player values, population, home support, and participation in the sport. Put them all together, and Germany is best placed to successfully defend its crown.

Numbers add up to Germany retaining World Cup

29 May 2018

Who will lift soccer’s ultimate trophy in Russia this summer? Breakingviews ranked the 32 contenders according to player values, population, home support, and participation in the sport. Put them all together, and Germany is best placed to successfully defend its crown.

Latam oil opening demands hedged bets

2 May 2018

The region's growing receptiveness to foreign investment in its energy assets could be a dream come true for oil majors. Political winds can change, though, and there is no perfect blend of hydrocarbon potential and legal certainty. Brazil and Mexico will do better than the rest.

Enel and Iberdrola’s Brazil war lacks restraint

30 April 2018

The two companies’ rival bids for Eletropaulo have nearly doubled the market value of Brazil’s top utility in a month, to $1.6 billion. The Europeans want to boost their presence in Latin America’s biggest nation. But the deal is too pricey to create much value for the winner.