Netherlands

Prosus CEO exit leaves Tencent elephant in room

18 Sep 2023

Bob van Dijk has quit as boss of the $380 bln Chinese giant’s top investor. Interim CEO Ervin Tu can call for more asset sales to boost Prosus’ returns. But without a plan to move on from a status quo where Tencent makes up three-quarters of the portfolio, its valuation will lag.

Grocers learn lessons of ‘greedflation’ drama

12 Sep 2023

Food-price rises are easing, which is good news for supermarkets that stand accused of profiting from consumer pain. In this Exchange podcast, Ahold Delhaize CEO Frans Muller explains why demand for own-brand goods gives the Dutch group an upper hand in supplier negotiations.

Samsung’s ASML sale highlights vexing cash bind

18 Aug 2023

South Korea’s $330 bln chipmaker more than halved its stake in the Dutch group to raise an estimated $2 bln for its expansion plans. Yet the company already has $66 bln in the bank. Trouble is, much of that is probably trapped abroad, necessitating some creative funding choices.

Shell may as well try green plug for valuation gap

27 Jul 2023

The $204 bln group’s shares have outperformed US rivals since it flagged a renewed focus on oil, but still lag Chevron and Exxon Mobil. New boss Wael Sawan could try to close the gap by listing his green energy bits. It’s not certain to work, but is better than more buybacks.

Prosus’ juggle leaves bigger worries up in the air

27 Jun 2023

The $147 bln Dutch investor is ending its complex shareholder structure with South African parent Naspers. It’s simpler for investors, and enables more buybacks. But the group will still have a stake in Tencent it can’t easily sell and lopsided governance, meriting a discount.

Dutch chip export saga exposes EU shortcomings

13 Jun 2023

The Netherlands is limiting exports of high-end semiconductor gear to China, after a US push to curb Beijing’s AI and military prowess. While the EU will soon unveil a plan, it looks hard to strike the right power balance in the defense arena. Brussels needs a clearer role.

Europe’s oil major sweet spot could yet turn sour

4 May 2023

Shell, BP and Total are still making fat profits, and investors seem fine with a slower route out of oil. Rising rates also make wind projects look even less enticing than fossil fuel ones. But longer term, Europe’s oil titans may lose their head start in the shift to net zero.

Germany’s electricity headache has an M&A cure

6 Mar 2023

Berlin may spend over 20 bln euros on the local unit of Dutch-owned TenneT. Every country’s power grid needs an overhaul to make it fit for the green transition, but Germany’s need is especially pressing. Still, relatively low debt also makes it easier to take swift action.

Banks’ state shareholders can afford slow selldown

2 Mar 2023

The Belgian and Dutch governments took advantage of a market rally to offload chunks of BNP and ABN. Valuations have risen but are still low relative to lenders’ returns. That means Britain and Germany would be wise to move gradually with their NatWest and Commerzbank holdings.

Euronext may have to dig deeper to snare Allfunds

22 Feb 2023

The 8 bln euro exchange offered 5.5 bln euros for the wealth technology group, the latest in a slew of deals. Boss Stéphane Boujnah would get much-needed diversification away from sluggish markets. Yet the price is not a knockout, and rivals like Deutsche Boerse could barge in.

Payments darling wisely resists tech layoff trend

8 Feb 2023

Shares in $40 bln Adyen fell 12% after a hiring spree crimped its earnings. Adding more staff is conspicuous at a time when rivals like Stripe are doing the opposite. But boss Pieter van der Does has still-chunky margins, and needs to boost his small in-store payments business.

Rough chip waters give ASML little room for error

25 Jan 2023

The Dutch giant expects sales to grow by a chunky 25% in 2023. Clients’ fear of missing out on an economic rebound is propping up demand for its equipment. Yet rising costs and the risk of a widening export ban to China may take the shine off the $264 bln group’s rich valuation.

Chip dilemma will buy Beijing precious time

19 Dec 2022

America is pushing Asian and European allies to stifle semiconductor progress in China. But antagonising the $466 bln market will be costly for South Korea's Samsung and Dutch ASML as global demand slows. Their hesitancy to fully embrace the blockade will benefit Beijing.

Energy crisis gives beermakers a lasting hangover

26 Oct 2022

Heineken’s shares fell 10% after reporting weaker-than-expected sales. Inflation is eroding punters’ disposable income, making it harder for brewers to raise prices like in previous crises. Soaring costs for fuel and wheat, which bite next year, pose a further threat to margins.

Philips’ supply shock will haunt earnings season

12 Oct 2022

The medical-kit maker lost more than 7% of its value after saying chip shortages curbed sales. It’s a setback for the ailing group’s turnaround under new CEO Roy Jakobs. For automotive and manufacturing companies, it’s a sign that supply bottlenecks may last longer than hoped.

Naspers “put” tackles one of its Tencent problems

27 Jun 2022

The South African firm and its Dutch offshoot will buy back stock by slowly trimming their $133 bln stake in the Chinese tech giant. Tax liabilities and clunky governance remain valuation drags. But investors can worry less about Naspers blowing its riches on other startups.

BNP-ABN deal could put old bank M&A ghosts to rest

17 Jun 2022

The 59 bln euro French lender signalled an interest in its 10 bln euro state-owned Dutch peer. A tie-up would build on an inauspicious history: A pre-2008 carve-up of ABN prompted government bailouts. Yet a cheap stock and simpler cost-cutting logic argue for a second chance.

Samsung opens its wallet to a wary chip market

16 Jun 2022

Boss Jay Y. Lee's European trip has sparked hope that the South Korean conglomerate will finally use its $84 bln cash pile for M&A. Beat-up valuations at mooted targets like NXP make consolidation attractive. Appeasing concerned governments, though, will be a tough sell.

DSM stocks up on ingredients trend with Swiss deal

31 May 2022

The $29 bln Dutch producer of food supplements is swallowing family-owned Firmenich for shares and 3.5 bln euros in cash. That boosts its appeal with consumer groups seeking to manipulate taste, smell and texture. By making concessions on governance, DSM has got a decent price.

Just Eat investors are stuck with its founder

27 Apr 2022

Some shareholders want to oust the Dutch takeaway group’s finance chief and supervisory board. Yet they have no obvious replacement for CEO Jitse Groen, architect of its disastrous U.S. expansion. It exposes the limits of investors’ ability to challenge powerful entrepreneurs.