Netherlands

Fiat offspring are racy hedge against anti-rich Xi

23 Sep 2021

BMW, Mercedes and others would be hit hard if China’s “common prosperity” drive extends to premium vehicles. Ferrari can power through, while Stellantis’ low sales in the world’s top car market would offer investors cover, if rivals don’t offload vehicles on the cheap elsewhere.

Universal spin makes case for even slimmer Vivendi

21 Sep 2021

Tycoon Vincent Bolloré has enriched himself and other shareholders by listing the $53 bln label behind artists like Taylor Swift. But his remaining media business still trades with a hefty discount. Offloading his Italian holdings, and putting a stop to M&A, would help fix that.

DSM rejig needs stronger growth flavour

14 Sep 2021

The 31 bln euro food ingredients maker is looking to sell its industrial materials unit. It’s an overdue step that will give the shares only a modest bump. If the Dutch group can grow its sales more quickly, a Givaudan-style valuation and sweeter gains could follow.

Prosus pushes hard on Indian fintech door

31 Aug 2021

The tech investor is paying $4.7 bln for payment processor BillDesk. That transforms its PayU operation and provides a profitable base to extend credit. The multiple of 19 times revenue is punchy, but a fraction of Paytm. And it’s a strong foothold in a big emerging market.

Goldman’s European fund foray may be a taster

19 Aug 2021

David Solomon’s bank bought Dutch insurer NN Group’s asset management arm for 1.6 bln euros. It gives it a boost in sustainable investing, but the real benefit looks like greater scale at a time of slow growth. On that metric, Goldman probably needs to do more deals.

Just Eat Takeaway is looking like an M&A leftover

17 Aug 2021

The 15 bln euro delivery company made a smaller-than-expected loss in the first half. It’s still battling a tough U.S. market and needs to step up investment in Europe. A cheap valuation and restive shareholders would make it hard for CEO Jitse Groen to fend off an offer.

Big Oil’s generosity has limited shelf life

29 Jul 2021

Royal Dutch Shell and Total will return billions of dollars to investors. High crude prices mean they can cut debt, invest in green energy and crank up payouts. Such largesse may get harder given growing pressure to cut emissions. Prudent payouts will limit future disappointment.

Apollo SPAC offers cheap ride on EV hype freeway

28 Jul 2021

Electric vehicle charging group Allego is listing through one of the buyout firm’s blank-cheque companies for $3 bln. It’s a crowded space, but a valuation multiple of 5 times 2024 sales is less racy than rivals. Still, only booming battery car demand will avoid a short-circuit.

Unilever’s inflation struggle is a mixed basket

22 Jul 2021

Higher costs squeezed the $155 bln Marmite maker’s profitability in the first half, forcing CEO Alan Jope to dump his goal of higher operating margins. Hefty marketing spend gives Unilever scope to raise prices faster. But investors are placing a bigger discount on future growth.

European tech titans’ sweet spot may turn sour

21 Jul 2021

Both $300 bln ASML and $170 bln SAP upped their revenue-growth projections. They’re riding trends like soaring demand for chips and cloud computing. But much of the good news is already priced in to their expensive shares. The next surprise for investors may be less encouraging.

UK credibility on China inward M&A gets wafer-thin

8 Jul 2021

Britain’s government initially declined to review Chinese-owned Nexperia’s $87 mln deal to buy the country’s largest semiconductor plant. It has now U-turned, which makes sense given the world chip shortage. But the mixed messages hardly inspire confidence in the process.

EssiLux has clear view to Dutch deal discount

22 Jun 2021

The Ray-Ban maker’s target, GrandVision, breached terms of a 7.2 bln euro takeover agreed in 2019. EssilorLuxottica can walk away, but a better option would be to negotiate a lower price. Lopping off 15% would reflect GrandVision’s weaker earnings and lack of alternative buyers.

Just Eat Takeaway risks heartburn with U.S. deal

16 Jun 2021

The Dutch food delivery group has swallowed Grubhub, its second big bite in just over a year. At 3 times expected 2023 sales, the $19 bln company is valued well below rival DoorDash. Boss Jitse Groen has repeatedly bested European competitors, but investors fear indigestion.

Shell’s U.S. rethink betrays lack of wiggle room

14 Jun 2021

The Anglo-Dutch driller may sell assets worth $10 bln in Texas. Not so long ago the U.S. Permian Basin was a key oil major growth area, but now Shell is under pressure to cut emissions. Restricting carbon while earning a financial return is increasingly determining strategy.

Viewsroom: Big Oil’s global blow

27 May 2021

A small activist fund upended Exxon Mobil’s board while Shell was dealt a setback in a Dutch courtroom. At the same time, Chevron shareholders backed a proposal to cut more emissions. The interests of both stakeholders and shareholders are rapidly aligning in fossil fuels.

Dutch court hands Shell chairman shakeup stick

26 May 2021

A Hague judge has told the oil giant to toughen up its targets for cutting carbon emissions. Besides appealing, Shell could try to dodge the ruling by moving its headquarters. Alternatively, new chair Andrew Mackenzie could shunt the group in the direction of rivals BP and Total.

Naspers goes all-in to crush South Africa discount

12 May 2021

The $100 bln internet group will swap shares with Dutch offshoot Prosus, removing some pressure on its stock. The resulting cross-shareholding is as far as CEO Bob van Dijk can go. Shrinking Prosus’ persistent shortfall to its $212 bln stake in China’s Tencent is a harder task.

KPN LBO looks doomed by arithmetic, nationalism

3 May 2021

The 12 bln euro Dutch phone company flatly rejected takeover approaches by buyout shops EQT and KKR, smacking its share price. Paying more would curb so-so prospective returns. Overcoming potential Dutch government resistance to a debt-laden bid is another challenge entirely.

Total is least-bad pick for confused oil investors

29 Apr 2021

First-quarter results show the French group and rivals BP and Royal Dutch Shell rebounding from last year’s woes. Yet BP’s turn to wind and solar may be too sharp and Shell’s too relaxed. For now, Total’s balanced green ambition and fat dividend look more appealing.

Naspers remains strapped to Tencent roller coaster

8 Apr 2021

Selling a $14.6 bln stake in the Chinese internet giant restocks the South African group’s war chest. But its residual $220 bln shareholding towers over other investments. The best hope for investors is that Naspers finds a way to shrink its weighting on the Johannesburg bourse.