West is sleepwalking off healthcare cliff 17 Jul 2023 Europe is scrambling to end its reliance on Chinese raw materials for green energy and chips. But policymakers forget the region sources 80% of ingredients for top medicines in the East. Producing them at home may prevent a crisis but it risks exacerbating public debt piles.
Old Cold War tool could help in new era of tension 17 Jul 2023 The US and allies created a committee to vet exports to the Soviet Union during their long conflict. This gave its partners a say in setting policy and ensured they stayed aligned. The G7 should set up something similar to handle the quasi-Cold War with China, says Hugo Dixon.
Activision’s comeback raises $69 bln question 13 Jul 2023 After defeating US trustbusters in court, Microsoft may need more time to seal the deal with UK authorities. The 45% premium struck when the “Call of Duty” maker was reeling looks less generous 18 months later. If negotiations drag, boss Bobby Kotick could push for a sweetener.
BP’s German wind option risks multiple blowbacks 13 Jul 2023 The UK oil major and TotalEnergies have won Berlin’s $14 bln auction to boost green power, helping all three hit wind capacity targets. But the winners only have to pay 10% of the cost in the short term. Given the high prices offered, the risk is the projects don’t get built.
Thames Water’s leaky financials are far from fixed 13 Jul 2023 The privately owned UK water company managed to cobble together a rescue from existing shareholders. But in this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss why the fresh funds may not be enough, and the threat of nationalisation hangs over the sector as a whole.
Microsoft-Activision deal not yet game on 12 Jul 2023 The $2.5 trillion tech giant has beaten down the US antitrust regulator. But the similar counterpart in the UK is digging in. Microsoft will have to either renegotiate its $69 billion deal with the gaming company or offer concessions, and then go through approval again.
Andrew Bailey’s silence is hurting UK homeowners 12 Jul 2023 Traders’ confusion over the Bank of England’s decisions is sending market interest rates wild. That has pushed the cost of a popular mortgage to a 15-year high. To limit household pain, the governor needs to ditch his usual reticence and tell markets that they are wrong.
History is against UK and Spanish telecoms M&A 12 Jul 2023 Vodafone and Orange have deals worth $40 bln on antitrust agencies’ desks. Europe has only once approved a similar merger without competitive remedies, which involved a tiny Dutch player. The telcos may have to make big concessions, undermining their tie-ups, or accept defeat.
UK growth plan aims pea-shooter at monster problem 11 Jul 2023 Finance minister Jeremy Hunt wants Britain’s $2.5 trln pension system to invest more in private equity and startups. His scheme avoids the risky idea of forcing managers into buying British assets. But it’s too fuzzy and timorous to solve the country’s dismal lack of investment.
BT’s vacant CEO job will only appeal to masochists 10 Jul 2023 Less than two months after releasing a turnaround plan that failed to convince investors, boss Philip Jansen said he will leave. There are no clear alternatives to his strategy of laying fibre broadband and cutting costs. Tricky shareholders will only add to the new broom’s pain.
UK could borrow a leaf from Canada’s mortgage book 7 Jul 2023 High levels of housing debt have left British borrowers exposed to rising interest rates. One way to avoid this problem is to fix payments as a proportion of the loan. Some Canadian lenders offer such adjustable-term mortgages, Edward Chancellor writes. The UK could follow suit.
Ocado has better options than a cheap sale 7 Jul 2023 Bid hopes have pumped up the $6 bln grocer-cum-warehouse operator’s shares. Yet retailers like Amazon would struggle to buy a company that also works for competitors. CEO Tim Steiner could instead sell the UK business, letting the market value Ocado more like rival AutoStore.
UK’s leaky water model faces a growing storm 5 Jul 2023 Thames Water’s financial strife has put privately held UK utilities under the spotlight. The sector’s huge investment needs mean bills have to rise yet further. Politicians are likely to ramp up their scrutiny of shareholder returns, and the model of private ownership itself.
Canary Wharf’s pivot looks like a tall order 3 Jul 2023 HSBC’s exit has set tongues wagging about the London financial hub’s demise. To thrive, its main landlord needs to manage a refinancing hump, and the estate needs a sustainable Plan B. Absent these, the Docklands may see the sort of upheaval it experienced in 1992, 2004 and 2015.
UK water meltdown resurrects bank crisis dilemmas 29 Jun 2023 The government may take over indebted 18 bln pound utility Thames Water. Funding a big potential capital hole via bills and taxpayer cash injections could be as politically toxic as 2008-era bailouts of RBS and peers. But imposing losses on creditors may spark even more turmoil.
UK banks are appropriate airbag for mortgage crash 27 Jun 2023 British politicians are starting to call out lenders that have delayed passing on higher rates to savers, even as they charge borrowers more. Bank share valuations already implied such windfalls might be temporary. The sector’s rising margins justify some political arm-twisting.
Eni’s bet on gas comes at an acceptable price 23 Jun 2023 The Italian group and Var Energi, in which it holds a 63% stake, are buying Neptune Energy for $4.9 bln. The seller’s private equity owners once hoped for an IPO at twice that level. Bulking up in fossil fuels carries risks, but Eni’s price at least creates some sort of buffer.
Firefighting leaves central banks on shaky ground 22 Jun 2023 Policymakers in the UK, Switzerland, Norway and Turkey all hiked rates on Thursday. Stubborn inflation gives them little choice, even though they may cause recessions. In London and Ankara, ratesetters’ job is made much harder by politicians’ own failures and need for scapegoats.
Masayoshi Son’s new AI push merits a pinch of salt 22 Jun 2023 The SoftBank founder said he would place further bets on artificial intelligence after taking a pause. Some of his investments may pay off. But Arm is his only real AI win from a $112 bln portfolio, his credibility has taken a knock, and his war chest is smaller than it looks.
UK has little wiggle room on mortgage aid 21 Jun 2023 Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is under pressure to cushion the 1.7 trln pound home loans market from high interest rates. Taxpayer support would spook markets and add to the Bank of England’s inflation headache. Targeted relief from banks would do less damage – but have less impact.