Venezuela gives Washington lesson in realpolitik 9 Mar 2022 The Latin American country’s oil could conveniently replace U.S. imports from Russia. But the regime of Nicolás Maduro has been under U.S. sanctions since 2017. Easing them would amount to accepting the lesser of two evils, with nearly 30 million Venezuelans as pawns.
Trump’s Venezuela curveball smashes more norms 27 Jul 2020 The U.S. belatedly asked a district court to reverse a decision allowing the forced sale of shares in refiner Citgo – a crown jewel among Venezuela's assets. Despite D.C.’s weak logic and wishful premise, it could muck up the case. There may be broader damage, too.
Guest view: Venezuela is least equipped for virus 15 Apr 2020 The country’s health, water, electrical and economic systems were under immense pressure before Covid-19. With 5 mln refugees from the Maduro regime displaced in the region, the U.N., IMF and others need to brace for a wider humanitarian crisis, warns a WHO epidemiologist.
Rosneft Venezuela exit is not as good as it looks 30 Mar 2020 The $41 bln oil giant is selling its operations in the country to the Russian state to avoid more sanctions. Moscow is making a generous share payment but in practice keeps voting control. It’s a cheap way for the government to protect a key asset and send a message to the U.S.
Viewsroom: LVMH wants more sparkle 31 Oct 2019 The $200 bln luxury conglomerate is making a $14.5 bln bid for Tiffany. The iconic brand known for putting its bling in blue boxes would be wise to accept the proposal. Plus: Venezuela’s leadership saga and a surreal debt drama collide. And: the world’s most expensive chocolate.
Venezuelan oil-debt fight takes Dadaist turn 29 Oct 2019 The U.S. helped Juan Guaido, the opposition leader it sees as president, by preventing creditors from seizing Citgo, the U.S. refiner that backs defaulted PDVSA bonds. But Guaido still filed a lawsuit to void the debt because the national assembly didn’t approve it. It’s a mess.
Africa growth outlook puts democrats on back foot 3 Jul 2019 Ballooning populations mean per capita wealth is falling in key democracies Nigeria and South Africa. That’s a recipe for trouble. Alongside a stronger performance by autocratic Egypt, it also makes worrying reading for those who believe a democratic Africa is a more stable one.
African miners get mix of red carpet and red card 8 Feb 2019 The continent can’t work out whether to shake hands with the sector, or shake its fist. Warm welcomes from Ghana, South Africa and Ethiopia contrast with the aggressive resource nationalism of Tanzania. A nasty slowdown there would bolster the open-door approach.
Breakdown: How to fix Venezuela 4 Feb 2019 The oil-rich Latin American country resembles a failed state. It may need $80 billion in loans and investment if embattled President Maduro departs. At 2013 pumping levels and $50 a barrel, that’s two years’ output for state oil firm PDVSA. A U.S. invasion would be a mistake.
U.S. intervention in Venezuela carries retro risk 28 Jan 2019 Uncle Sam is sanctioning state oil firm PDVSA in a bid to spur regime change. President Maduro’s woeful record has united much of the hemisphere in demanding his ouster. But a U.S. history of regional meddling means the Trump administration must avoid arrogance to retain allies.
Venezuela’s Maduro caught in pincer movement 23 Jan 2019 Protesters are demanding the socialist leader’s ouster. Opposition leader Juan Guaidó has, with U.S. blessing, declared himself interim president. But a self-inflicted wound will get Maduro in the end: By tanking oil output, he robbed himself of a key means of clinging to power.
Latam can exorcise returning decades-old demons 12 Sep 2018 Argentina’s peso crisis and the stabbing of a far-right candidate in Brazil echo the region’s past economic instability and political violence. Mexico’s oil industry, too, may revisit the 1970s; Venezuela is in a totalitarian time warp. But history doesn’t have to repeat.
Venezuela’s Maduro rearranges economy’s deckchairs 20 Aug 2018 The president’s plan to devalue the bolivar, peg it to an obscure state-backed cryptocurrency and raise the minimum wage will widen the already gaping hole in the OPEC member’s finances. Promised fuel-price hikes, if botched, could send his socialist government to the seabed.
U.S. salvo at Glencore has unintended consequences 12 Jul 2018 A request for details on anti-corruption practices wiped more than $6 bln off the commodities giant's value in a week, raising questions over its future. Yet action is not without a sting for Washington too - if it leaves China even more dominant in resource-rich trouble spots.
Maduro election win will soon be his loss 17 May 2018 Securing another term as Venezuela’s president in Sunday’s poll is almost a foregone conclusion. But the country’s collapsing oil output may finally mean Nicolas Maduro’s days in power are numbered. Successors will face the mammoth task of rebuilding the economy he has trashed.
The Exchange: The fate of Venezuela 8 May 2018 The OPEC member’s mismanaged economy is in freefall and its oil output collapsing. Siobhan Morden, head of Latin America fixed-income strategy at Nomura Securities, tells Martin Langfield how President Nicolas Maduro may lose power even if he wins a controversial May 20 election.
Latam oil opening demands hedged bets 2 May 2018 The region's growing receptiveness to foreign investment in its energy assets could be a dream come true for oil majors. Political winds can change, though, and there is no perfect blend of hydrocarbon potential and legal certainty. Brazil and Mexico will do better than the rest.
Cuba rings changes while trying to stay the same 18 Apr 2018 Raul Castro's coming handover of Cuba's presidency is an effort to prolong beyond his own life span the communist revolution he built with late brother Fidel. Trying to modernize could also destroy it, though. And with neighbor Venezuela getting less able to provide cheap oil, economic reform can't wait.
Illicit money is Europe bank stability blind spot 22 Mar 2018 U.S. authorities arrested the head of a Maltese bank for violating Iran sanctions, prompting calls for it to lose its licence. Similar issues triggered the recent folding of a Latvian bank. Without power to fight financial misconduct, euro zone regulators can’t keep banks safe.
Venezuela’s crypto-currency reeks of snake oil 21 Feb 2018 President Maduro says early sales of its oil-backed petro raised $735 mln. Investing in the virtual coinage is tantamount to a bet on the increasingly autocratic administration’s probity, transparency and basic grasp of economic reality. Good luck with that.